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TPI Polene Public Company (TPIPL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TH · Market cap 17.0B THB

TP TPI Polene Public Company TPIPL · BK
Price0.8900 THB
Fair Value1.79 THB
Upside+101.1%
Quality42/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 6.1% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range 1.35 THB – 2.05 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +8.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 101% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.35 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.67 THB 0.6332 THB Fair Value 1.79 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.6332 THB – 1.67 THB · fair‑value band 1.35 THB – 2.05 THB · the 0.8900 THB price screens below the 1.79 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

TPI Polene Public Company (TPIPL) currently trades at 0.8900 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.79 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 101.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, TPI Polene Public Company generated revenue of 34.7B THB at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at 75.4B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.35 THB (bear case) to 2.05 THB (bull case); at 0.8900 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 101%, TPIPL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 2.17 THB 2.13 THB 1.87 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 0.0100 THB 0.3800 THB 72
Gordon GGM 0.2800 THB 0.3700 THB 0.4600 THB 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.7200 THB 1.32 THB 1.64 THB 54
EPV 0.0100 THB 0.3800 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.2800 THB 0.3700 THB 0.4600 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.2800 THB 0.3800 THB 0.5000 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.35 THB 1.79 THB 2.24 THB 63
P/S Multiple 1.35 THB 1.79 THB 2.24 THB 58
P/B Multiple 1.35 THB 1.79 THB 2.24 THB 55
EV/EBIT 0.1600 THB 1.19 THB 2.23 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 0.6000 THB 1.78 THB 2.96 THB 54
EV/Revenue 0.7500 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.48 THB 1.98 THB 2.95 THB 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2.17 THB 2.13 THB 1.87 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 0.0100 THB 0.3800 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.9700 THB 1.38 THB 1.79 THB 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (1.98 THB) versus Earnings-Based (0.0100 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 34.7B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.3%
Net margin 6.1%
Return on equity 3.8%
Free cash flow −3.1B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 7.2
More key figures
Operating margin 15.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.1100 THB
EPS growth (YoY) +15.8%
Net debt 75.4B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TPI Polene Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes cement products and mortar cement under the TPIPL brand in Thailand, China, Bangladesh, Australia, India, the Philippines, and internationally. It operates through Construction Materials, Petrochemical & Chemicals, Energy & Utilities, and Agriculture segments.

Full company description

TPI Polene Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes cement products and mortar cement under the TPIPL brand in Thailand, China, Bangladesh, Australia, India, the Philippines, and internationally. It operates through Construction Materials, Petrochemical & Chemicals, Energy & Utilities, and Agriculture segments. The company offers cement products comprising masonry, plastering, and structural cement; mortar products, including masonry, plastering, floor screed, dry concrete, and other products; tile grouts; aquatic, livestock, and plant fertilizers; and fiber cement boards, digital boards, and fiber cement accessories, as well as wood replacement products. It also provides clear coat, interior and exterior, wall, waterproof, floor, and artistic paint; ready mixed concrete and blocks; concrete roof tiles, floor and wall concrete tiles, and related accessories; healthcare products comprising hand and body wash, oil removal, and cleaning detergents; low-density polyethylene and ethylene vinyl acetate copolymer resins; EVA films for photovoltaic modules; and drinking water products. In addition, the company operates municipal solid waste power, waste heat power, coal-fired power, and RDF production plants, as well as petrol and gas stations. TPI Polene Public Company Limited was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TPI Polene Public Company reported revenue of 35.7B THB in FY2025 versus 38.9B THB in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0B THB in FY2025, compounding −23.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
35.7B THB
Latest YoY
−0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Revenue −2.1%/yr
FY21 38.9B THB
FY22 48.1B THB
FY23 42.8B THB
FY24 35.8B THB
FY25 35.7B THB
Net income −23.0%/yr
FY21 5.7B THB
FY22 7.0B THB
FY23 3.2B THB
FY24 1.4B THB
FY25 2.0B THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.9 pp

of which total revenue +3.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.6 pp

EBIT margin +13.9 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −6.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TPI Polene Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TPIPL

Peer Group

Building Materials · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside +101% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.13× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.30× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 27
FUTURE 2 · sector 2
PAST 15 · sector 15
HEALTH 44 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TPI Polene Public Company (TPIPL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.79 THB versus a price of 0.8900 THB, about +101% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TPIPL?
Our model-based fair value for TPI Polene Public Company is 1.79 THB (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.8900 THB.
What is the quality score of TPIPL?
TPI Polene Public Company has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TPI Polene Public Company (TPIPL)?
TPI Polene Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 34.7B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TPIPL?
The net profit margin of TPI Polene Public Company is about 6.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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