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Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company (TPLAS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 297M THB

TP Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company TPLAS · BK
Price1.16 THB
Fair Value0.4000 THB
Upside-65.5%
Quality60/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.70% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range 0.3300 THB – 0.5000 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 0.4300 THB to 0.4000 THB (−7.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.5000 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

4.89 THB 0.7717 THB Fair Value 0.4000 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.7717 THB – 4.89 THB · fair‑value band 0.3300 THB – 0.5000 THB · the 1.16 THB price screens above the 0.4000 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company (TPLAS) currently trades at 1.16 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4000 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 65.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company generated revenue of 461M THB at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 48.7M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.3300 THB (bear case) to 0.5000 THB (bull case); at 1.16 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -66%, TPLAS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.2700 THB 0.2900 THB 0.3200 THB 80
Residual Income 0.7500 THB 0.7100 THB 0.5200 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 0.2800 THB 0.2900 THB 0.3000 THB 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.2700 THB 0.2900 THB 0.3200 THB 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.3200 THB 0.3800 THB 0.4800 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.4900 THB 0.6800 THB 0.9300 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.3900 THB 0.5200 THB 0.6700 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.2900 THB 0.3300 THB 0.3800 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.3800 THB 0.4900 THB 0.6000 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.3300 THB 0.4000 THB 0.4700 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.2000 THB 0.2400 THB 0.2800 THB 54
EPV 0.2800 THB 0.2900 THB 0.3000 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.2800 THB 0.3000 THB 0.3300 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.2800 THB 0.3200 THB 0.3800 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.3800 THB 0.5000 THB 0.6300 THB 63
P/S Multiple 0.3800 THB 0.5000 THB 0.6300 THB 58
P/B Multiple 0.3800 THB 0.5000 THB 0.6300 THB 55
EV/EBIT 0.4000 THB 0.4800 THB 0.5500 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 0.7600 THB 0.9600 THB 1.15 THB 54
EV/Revenue 0.3700 THB 0.4600 THB 0.5400 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5800 THB 0.7800 THB 1.16 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.2700 THB 0.2900 THB 0.3200 THB 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.7500 THB 0.7100 THB 0.5200 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 0.2800 THB 0.2900 THB 0.3000 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.2700 THB 0.3800 THB 0.5000 THB 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.7800 THB) versus Earnings-Based (0.2400 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 461M THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.0%
Net margin 3.3%
Return on equity 4.7%
Free cash flow 3.0M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 18.3
More key figures
Operating margin 10.2%
EPS (TTM) 0.0600 THB
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +256%
Net cash 48.7M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company Limited manufactures and sells food plastic bags, food plastic wrappers, and food paper containers in Thailand.

Full company description

Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company Limited manufactures and sells food plastic bags, food plastic wrappers, and food paper containers in Thailand. The company offers high-density polyethylene, poly-propylene, thin and thick T-shirt bag, LL T-shirt bag, PP T-shirt bag, LL beverage bag, flexible straws under the Makrook brand name; LDPE clear cold storage bags; food and bowl food containers beat box; PP bag side folding type; and poly-vinyi chloride food wrapping films under the Vow Wrap brand name. Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Nonthaburi, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company reported revenue of 451M THB in FY2025 versus 506M THB in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was 8.0M THB in FY2025, compounding −30.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
451M THB
Latest YoY
−7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Revenue −2.8%/yr
FY21 506M THB
FY22 560M THB
FY23 517M THB
FY24 488M THB
FY25 451M THB
Net income −30.4%/yr
FY21 33.9M THB
FY22 29.6M THB
FY23 12.6M THB
FY24 11.7M THB
FY25 8.0M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) −6.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.1 pp

of which total revenue +0.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −8.2 pp
Tax rate +0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

TPLAS screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TPLAS

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.95× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.65× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 40 · sector 0
PAST 19 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 74 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company (TPLAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4000 THB versus a price of 1.16 THB, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TPLAS?
Our model-based fair value for Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company is 0.4000 THB (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.16 THB.
What is the quality score of TPLAS?
Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company (TPLAS)?
Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 461M THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TPLAS?
The net profit margin of Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company is about 3.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company pay a dividend?
Thai Plastic Industrial (1994) Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.85% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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