Triton Development S.A (TRI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · PL · Market cap 22.1M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 49.42 PLN to 3.07 PLN (−93.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 2.82 PLN – 3.80 PLN · fair‑value band 2.30 PLN – 3.84 PLN · the 3.48 PLN price screens above the 3.07 PLN fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Triton Development S.A (TRI) currently trades at 3.48 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.07 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 11.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Triton Development S.A generated revenue of 23.9M PLN at a net margin of -22.7%. Revenue grew 53.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 8.4M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.30 PLN (bear case) to 3.84 PLN (bull case); at 3.48 PLN, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at -12%, TRI screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Triton Development S.A. engages in the residential construction business in Poland. It offers apartments in multi-family buildings, and single-family and semi-detached houses. The company also offers rental services and real estate administration services, as well as engages in investment brokerage business. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Warsaw, Poland.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Triton Development S.A reported revenue of 97.2M PLN in FY2025 versus 38.2M PLN in FY2021, a compound +26.3%/yr. Reported net income was 3.9M PLN in FY2025, compounding +39.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| D.R. Horton, Inc D1HI34 | R$810.00 | R$845.83 | +4% |
| PulteGroup, Inc P1HM34 | R$595.99 | R$666.06 | +12% |
| Lennar Corporation LEN | $90.90 | $120.07 | +32% |
| NVR, Inc NVR | $6,305 | $6,172 | -2% |
| Toll Brothers, Inc TOL | $151.92 | $223.66 | +47% |
| Sekisui House, Ltd SKHSY | $19.87 | $35.50 | +79% |
| Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC | $71.60 | $85.47 | +19% |
| Installed Building Products, Inc IBP | $195.65 | $95.58 | -51% |
| Sumitomo Forestry Co SMFRF | $7.98 | $11.72 | +47% |
| Persimmon Plc, PSMMF | $15.26 | $12.48 | -18% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.