Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Renewables Infrastructure Grp £0.74, price £0.79, upside -6.1%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.6034 – £1.07 · fair‑value band £0.4500 – £0.8500 · the £0.7880 price screens above the £0.7400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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The Renewables Infrastructure Group Limited specializes in infrastructure investments. The fund typically invests in operational assets which generate electricity from renewable sources, with a particular focus on onshore wind farms and solar photovoltaic parks.
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The Renewables Infrastructure Group Limited specializes in infrastructure investments. The fund typically invests in operational assets which generate electricity from renewable sources, with a particular focus on onshore wind farms and solar photovoltaic parks. It seeks to invest in United Kingdom and Northern European countries including France, Ireland, Germany and Scandinavia. The fund seeks to invest through equity and shareholder loans.
Stock analysis
Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG) currently trades at £0.7880, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.7400, implying the stock looks roughly 6.5% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of £1.15 per share, and 4 of the 8 models we run sit above the £0.7880 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at £0.1400, and 4 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: £0.4500 (bear) to £0.8500 (bull), the price of £0.7880 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Renewables Infrastructure Grp reported revenue of £126M in FY2025 versus £212M in FY2021, a compound −12.2%/yr. Reported net income was −£130M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.9B GBX · EPS (TTM) £−0.0100 · Dividend yield 9.6% · Net margin −103% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% · Operating margin 121% · Revenue (TTM) −18.9M GBX.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −6%, TRIG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.4500Fair Value £0.7400Bull £0.8500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−37.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +21.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
98.4% (2020) → −102.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.1% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (7 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Compare Renewables Infrastructure Grp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 205 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−103% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)121% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−97% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)9.6% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
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Is Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.7400 versus a price of £0.7880, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TRIG?
Our model-based fair value for Renewables Infrastructure Grp is £0.7400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.7880.
What is the quality score of TRIG?
Renewables Infrastructure Grp has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.7400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.4500, optimistic scenario £0.8500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Renewables Infrastructure Grp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.7400, about −6% upside versus a price of £0.7880 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £0.4500, optimistic scenario £0.8500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Renewables Infrastructure Grp pay a dividend?
Renewables Infrastructure Grp currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Renewables Infrastructure Grp would have to grow free cash flow by +6.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TRIG use?
Our models discount Renewables Infrastructure Grp at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.39, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Renewables Infrastructure Grp that is +6.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Renewables Infrastructure Grp grew +4.4 % a year. The price currently implies +6.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Renewables Infrastructure Grp (+6.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.35 %: that much free cash flow Renewables Infrastructure Grp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Renewables Infrastructure Grp it is £0.7400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £0.7880. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Renewables Infrastructure Grp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TRIG trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.7880, fair value £0.7400, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRIG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.7880); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.7400). For Renewables Infrastructure Grp the two are £0.0480 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Renewables Infrastructure Grp worth?
The market values Renewables Infrastructure Grp at about 1.9B GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £0.7880; our models calculate a fair value of £0.7400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRIG?
Our models span a range for Renewables Infrastructure Grp: cautious scenario £0.4500, base £0.7400, optimistic £0.8500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £0.7880). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Renewables Infrastructure Grp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TRIG from its 52-week high?
Renewables Infrastructure Grp trades at £0.7880, about 1% below its 52-week high of £0.7990 and 31% above the low of £0.6034 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.7400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Renewables Infrastructure Grp?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Renewables Infrastructure Grp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £0.7880, calculated fair value £0.7400 (−6%), Quality Score 70/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRIG calculated?
We run Renewables Infrastructure Grp through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.7400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Renewables Infrastructure Grp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was £0.7880. Our model-based fair value is £0.7400, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Renewables Infrastructure Grp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (£0.4500 to £0.8500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Renewables Infrastructure Grp
How large is the market capitalisation of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
The market capitalisation of Renewables Infrastructure Grp is 1.9B GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
Earnings per share at Renewables Infrastructure Grp are £−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
The dividend yield of Renewables Infrastructure Grp is 9.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
The net margin of Renewables Infrastructure Grp is −103% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Renewables Infrastructure Grp is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Renewables Infrastructure Grp is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
The operating margin of Renewables Infrastructure Grp is 121% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG) generate?
Renewables Infrastructure Grp generates revenue of −18.9M GBX (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
Revenue at Renewables Infrastructure Grp is growing −97.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −37.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG)?
Earnings per share at Renewables Infrastructure Grp are growing −93.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Renewables Infrastructure Grp (TRIG) hold?
Renewables Infrastructure Grp holds more cash than debt, 7.1M GBX net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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