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Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Red Light Holland Corp $0.02, price $0.02, upside -14.6%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · US

RL Red Light Holland Corp logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Red Light Holland Corp

TRUFF · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $0.0211 · Overvalued (−15%)
!Quality 37/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +113.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -119.2% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 14 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.2760 $0.0110 Fair Value $0.0211 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0110 – $0.2760 · fair‑value band $0.0211 – $0.0236 · the $0.0247 price screens above the $0.0211 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Red Light Holland Corp. engages in the production, growth, and sale of functional mushrooms and mushroom home grow kits to the recreational market in North America and Europe.

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Red Light Holland Corp. engages in the production, growth, and sale of functional mushrooms and mushroom home grow kits to the recreational market in North America and Europe. The company is also involved in the selection, distribution, and export of truffles, cannabidiol products, cannabis seeds, headshop products, growshop goods, cannabis bake house muffins, cookies, and cakes. It sells its products under the iMicrodose, Maka, Happy Caps, and Mistercap's brands through brick-and-mortar SmartShops, as well as through online stores. Red Light Holland Corp. is based in Toronto, Canada.

Stock analysis

Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF) currently trades at $0.0247, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0211, implying the stock looks roughly 17.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0211 (bear) to $0.0236 (bull), the price of $0.0247 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Red Light Holland Corp reported revenue of C$4.9M in FY2025 versus C$111K in FY2021, a compound +158.4%/yr. Reported net income was −C$4.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $11.9M · P/S ratio 2.86 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Net margin −81.8% · Return on equity −31.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −20.1% · Operating margin −94.7% · Revenue (TTM) C$4.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 125% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −15%, TRUFF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0211 Fair Value $0.0211 Bull $0.0236
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 50

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 32
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+113.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+177.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−293.1% (2020) → −85.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TRUFF screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Merck KGaA →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 630 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −14% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −119% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −95% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.69× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.86× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)14 · sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)41 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 32

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Merck KGaA MRK €133.95 €108.70 −19%
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK $18.81 $11.29 −40%
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥45.58 ¥50.14 +10%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,865 ₹1,979 +6%
Galderma Group GALD CHF 163.80 CHF 109.88 −33%
Haleon plc HLN $9.25 $8.50 −8%
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA $39.01 $20.75 −47%
Sandoz Group SDZ CHF 70.76 CHF 40.16 −43%
Zoetis Inc ZTS $71.61 $108.48 +51%
Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 HK$35.34 HK$38.87 +10%

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Red Light Holland Corp · Fair Value
$0.0211 −17%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Red Light Holland Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRUFF

Frequently asked questions

Is Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0211 versus a price of $0.0247, about −15% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRUFF?
Our model-based fair value for Red Light Holland Corp is $0.0211 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0247.
What is the quality score of TRUFF?
Red Light Holland Corp has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0211 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0211, optimistic scenario $0.0236. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Red Light Holland Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0211, about −15% upside versus a price of $0.0247 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0211, optimistic scenario $0.0236. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
Red Light Holland Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$4.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Red Light Holland Corp it is $0.0211 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.0247. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Red Light Holland Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TRUFF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0247, fair value $0.0211, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRUFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0247); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0211). For Red Light Holland Corp the two are $0.0036 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Red Light Holland Corp worth?
The market values Red Light Holland Corp at about $11.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.0247; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0211 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRUFF?
Our models span a range for Red Light Holland Corp: cautious scenario $0.0211, base $0.0211, optimistic $0.0236 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.0247). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Red Light Holland Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −31.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TRUFF from its 52-week high?
Red Light Holland Corp trades at $0.0247, about 25% below its 52-week high of $0.0330 and 125% above the low of $0.0110 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0211 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Red Light Holland Corp?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Merck KGaA, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company, Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Red Light Holland Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.0247, calculated fair value $0.0211 (−15%), Quality Score 37/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRUFF calculated?
We run Red Light Holland Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0211, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Red Light Holland Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.0247. Our model-based fair value is $0.0211, about −15% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Red Light Holland Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0236). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0211 to $0.0236), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Red Light Holland Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
The market capitalisation of Red Light Holland Corp is $11.9M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Red Light Holland Corp is 2.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
Earnings per share at Red Light Holland Corp are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
The net margin of Red Light Holland Corp is −81.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Red Light Holland Corp is −31.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Red Light Holland Corp is −20.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
The operating margin of Red Light Holland Corp is −94.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF)?
Revenue at Red Light Holland Corp is growing +8.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF) generate?
The free cash flow of Red Light Holland Corp is −C$2.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Red Light Holland Corp (TRUFF) hold?
Red Light Holland Corp holds more cash than debt, C$16.7M net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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