EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Citigroup Inc (TRVC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Citigroup Inc €94.97, price €113, upside -16.2%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · DE · ISIN US1729674242

CI Broad data Sep 29, 2026

Citigroup Inc

TRVC · XETRA

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €94.97 · Overvalued (−16.2%)
!Quality 58/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +17.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 20.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.1% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 62/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€128.90 €33.55 Fair Value €94.97 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €33.55 – €128.90 · fair‑value band €78.22 – €104.34 · the €113.26 price screens above the €94.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Citigroup Inc., a diversified financial service holding company, provides various financial products and services to consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions. It operates through five segments: Services, Markets, Banking, U.S. Personal Banking, and Wealth.

Show more

Citigroup Inc., a diversified financial service holding company, provides various financial products and services to consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions. It operates through five segments: Services, Markets, Banking, U.S. Personal Banking, and Wealth. The Services segment includes treasury and trade solutions, which provides cash management, trade, and working capital solutions to multinational corporations, financial institutions, and public sector organizations; and securities services, such as cross-border support for clients, local market expertise, post-trade technologies, data solutions, and various securities services solutions. The Markets segment offers sales and trading services for equities, foreign exchange, rates, spread products, and commodities to corporate, institutional, and public sector clients; and market-making services, including asset classes, risk management solutions, financing, and prime brokerage. The Banking segment includes investment banking services comprising equity and debt capital markets-related strategic financing solutions; advisory services related to mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, restructurings, and corporate defense activities; and corporate lending consists of corporate and commercial banking. The U.S. Personal Banking segment provides proprietary and co-branded card portfolios; and traditional banking services to retail and small business customers. The Wealth segment offers financial services to high-net-worth clients through banking, lending, mortgages, investment, custody, and trust product offerings; professional industries, including law firms, consulting groups, accounting, and asset management; and affluent and high net worth clients. The company operates in North America, the United Kingdom, Japan, North and South Asia, Australia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Citigroup Inc. was founded in 1812 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Citigroup Inc (TRVC) currently trades at €113.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €94.97, 16.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €97.32 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the €113.26 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €47.55, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €78.22 (bear) to €104.34 (bull), the price of €113.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Citigroup Inc reported revenue of $168B in FY2025 versus $71.9B in FY2021, a compound +23.6%/yr. Reported net income was $14.1B in FY2025, compounding −10.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €196B · P/E ratio 13.9 · P/S ratio 1.17 · EPS (TTM) €8.15 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −16%, TRVC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €78.22 Fair Value €94.97 Bull €104.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€4.38 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income €91.95 €96.71 €106.46 76
DDM Multi-Stage €27.37 €47.55 €62.26 66
Gordon GGM €27.37 €59.75 €100.52 65
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €27.37 €59.75 €100.52 65
DDM Multi-Stage €27.37 €47.55 €62.26 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple €72.99 €97.32 €121.65 63
P/B Multiple €95.45 €127.26 €159.08 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €56.22 €75.33 €112.43 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €91.95 €96.71 €106.46 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when TRVC reaches fair value

Put TRVC on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+135.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.2% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0.7% vs 5.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 12%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−8.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.6% a year for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−43.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.1%

TRVC screens overvalued: fair value 16% below the price. Compare with JPMorgan Chase & Co →

Compare Citigroup Inc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM $330.83 $188.11 −43%
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited 601398 ¥8.28 ¥10.93 +32%
China Construction Bank Corporation 601939 ¥10.98 ¥13.69 +25%
Bank of America Corporation BAC $55.47 $42.37 −24%
Agricultural Bank of China Limited 601288 ¥6.97 ¥12.94 +86%
Bank of China Limited 601988 ¥6.62 ¥9.86 +49%
Royal Bank of Canada RY $200.95 $130.85 −35%
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group MUFG $23.37 $14.86 −36%
Wells Fargo & Company WFC $80.05 $66.44 −17%
Banco Santander, S.A SAN €11.81 €8.19 −31%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Financial Services stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Citigroup Inc · Fair Value
€94.97 −16%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Citigroup Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRVC

Frequently asked questions

Is Citigroup Inc (TRVC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €94.97 versus a price of €113.26, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRVC?
Our model-based fair value for Citigroup Inc is €94.97 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €113.26.
What is the quality score of TRVC?
Citigroup Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €94.97 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €78.22, optimistic scenario €104.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Citigroup Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €94.97, about −16% upside versus a price of €113.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €78.22, optimistic scenario €104.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
Citigroup Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $78.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Citigroup Inc pay a dividend?
Citigroup Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Citigroup Inc would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.3 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TRVC use?
Our models discount Citigroup Inc at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 1.09, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Citigroup Inc that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Citigroup Inc (TRVC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Citigroup Inc grew +17.3 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Citigroup Inc (TRVC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Citigroup Inc (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.96 %: that much free cash flow Citigroup Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Citigroup Inc it is €94.97 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €113.26. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Citigroup Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, TRVC trades above its calculated fair value: price €113.26, fair value €94.97, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRVC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€113.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€94.97). For Citigroup Inc the two are €18.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Citigroup Inc worth?
The market values Citigroup Inc at about €196B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €113.26; our models calculate a fair value of €94.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRVC?
Our models span a range for Citigroup Inc: cautious scenario €78.22, base €94.97, optimistic €104.34 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €113.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is TRVC from its 52-week high?
Citigroup Inc trades at €113.26, about 12% below its 52-week high of €128.90 and 41% above the low of €80.49 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €94.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Citigroup Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value JPMorgan Chase & Co, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited, China Construction Bank Corporation, Bank of America Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Citigroup Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €113.26, calculated fair value €94.97 (−16%), Quality Score 58/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRVC calculated?
We run Citigroup Inc through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €94.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Citigroup Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €113.26. Our model-based fair value is €94.97, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Citigroup Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€104.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Citigroup Inc (TRVC) come from?
Earnings per share at Citigroup Inc grew +4.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.8 %, EBIT margin −4.8 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Citigroup Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
The market capitalisation of Citigroup Inc is €196B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Citigroup Inc is 13.9. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Citigroup Inc is 1.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
Earnings per share at Citigroup Inc are €8.15 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
The dividend yield of Citigroup Inc is 2.1% (payout 29.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
The net margin of Citigroup Inc is 8.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Citigroup Inc is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Citigroup Inc is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
The operating margin of Citigroup Inc is 34.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
Revenue at Citigroup Inc is growing +15.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Citigroup Inc (TRVC)?
Earnings per share at Citigroup Inc are growing +56.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Citigroup Inc (TRVC) carry?
The net debt of Citigroup Inc is $366B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 16.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed

Continue in the live analysis

Fair value and trend for 35,000+ stocks, watchlist, comparison and the diversification check. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Open the live analysis →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.