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Toshiba Tec Corporation (TSHTY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $935M

TT Toshiba Tec Corporation logo Toshiba Tec Corporation TSHTY · US
Price$9.70
Fair Value$15.97
Upside+64.6%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -0.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.69% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: Low Range $12.39 – $19.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $16.58 to $15.97 (−3.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +11.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 65% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.39). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$20.02 $6.52 Fair Value $15.97 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.52 – $20.02 · fair‑value band $12.39 – $19.54 · the $9.70 price screens below the $15.97 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Toshiba Tec Corporation (TSHTY) currently trades at $9.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.97, implying the stock looks roughly 64.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Toshiba Tec Corporation generated revenue of $569B at a net margin of -0.4%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $7.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.39 (bear case) to $19.54 (bull case); at $9.70, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at 65%, TSHTY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $14.53 $15.97 $17.59 72
EPV $14.53 $15.87 $17.00 59
EV/EBITDA $54.32 $70.88 $87.44 54
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $11.63 $13.92 $16.71 31
Earnings-Based
EPV $14.53 $15.87 $17.00 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT $34.72 $44.74 $54.77 53
EV/EBITDA $54.32 $70.88 $87.44 54
EV/Revenue $24.92 $33.61 $42.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.75 $10.38 $15.49 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $14.53 $15.97 $17.59 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($44.74) versus Asset-Based ($10.38). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $569B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.8%
Net margin -0.4%
Return on equity -2.8%
Free cash flow −$5.6B FY2026
Operating margin 6.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1300
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +137%
Net cash $7.2B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Toshiba Tec Corporation offers retail and workplace solutions in Japan and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Retail Solutions Business and Workplace Solutions Business.

Full company description

Toshiba Tec Corporation offers retail and workplace solutions in Japan and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Retail Solutions Business and Workplace Solutions Business. It offers point-of-sale (POS) systems, multifunction printers, peripherals, self-checkout systems, and displays, as well as operating systems, managed services, commerce, and software solutions. The company provides desktop and mobile printers, industrial and color printers, and industrial desktop printers; inkjet heads solutions; and color, monochrome, and hybrid MFP solutions, as well as mobile and cloud solutions, workflow and management solutions, and security solutions. In addition, the company offers e-Bridge cloud, digital signage solutions, and engineering manufacturing services. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is based in Tokyo, Japan. Toshiba Tec Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Toshiba Corporation.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Toshiba Tec Corporation reported revenue of $604B in FY2026 versus $445B in FY2022, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.4B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$604B
Latest YoY
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+2.3%
Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY22 $445B
FY23 $511B
FY24 $548B
FY25 $577B
FY26 $604B
Net income
FY22 $5.4B
FY23 −$13.7B
FY24 −$6.7B
FY25 $29.9B
FY26 −$2.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Toshiba Tec Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSHTY

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 215 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +65% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 59 · sector 57
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 94 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 34 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR $0.0310 $0.0276 -11%
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $434.97 $163.87 -62%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $168.56 $43.74 -74%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $513.84 $74.05 -86%
Wiwynn Corporation 6669 4,685 TWD 1,559 TWD -67%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.12 ¥30.11 -12%
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 373.50 TWD 297.22 TWD -20%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥587.60 ¥60.86 -90%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$23.16 HK$3.07 -87%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥106.13 ¥28.88 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Toshiba Tec Corporation (TSHTY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.97 versus a price of $9.70, about +65% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TSHTY?
Our model-based fair value for Toshiba Tec Corporation is $15.97 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.70.
What is the quality score of TSHTY?
Toshiba Tec Corporation has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Toshiba Tec Corporation (TSHTY)?
Toshiba Tec Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $569B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TSHTY?
The net profit margin of Toshiba Tec Corporation is about -0.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Toshiba Tec Corporation pay a dividend?
Toshiba Tec Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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