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Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Toshiba Tec Corp $6.40, price $9.20, upside -30.4%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US · ADR · ISIN US89153W1071

TT Toshiba Tec Corp logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Toshiba Tec Corp

TSHTY · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $6.40 · Overvalued (−30%)
!Quality 49/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.69% dividend yield
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$20.02 $6.52 Fair Value $6.40 Jun 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.52 – $20.02 · fair‑value band $5.64 – $7.23 · the $9.20 price screens above the $6.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Toshiba Tec Corporation offers retail and workplace solutions in Japan and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Retail Solutions Business and Workplace Solutions Business.

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Toshiba Tec Corporation offers retail and workplace solutions in Japan and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Retail Solutions Business and Workplace Solutions Business. It offers point-of-sale (POS) systems, multifunction printers, peripherals, self-checkout systems, and displays, as well as operating systems, managed services, commerce, and software solutions. The company provides desktop and mobile printers, industrial and color printers, and industrial desktop printers; inkjet heads solutions; and color, monochrome, and hybrid MFP solutions, as well as mobile and cloud solutions, workflow and management solutions, and security solutions. In addition, the company offers e-Bridge cloud, digital signage solutions, and engineering manufacturing services. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is based in Tokyo, Japan. Toshiba Tec Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Toshiba Corporation.

Stock analysis

Toshiba Tec Corp ADR (TSHTY) currently trades at $9.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.40, implying the stock looks roughly 43.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $23.43 per share, and 3 of the 7 models we run sit above the $9.20 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.18, and 4 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $5.64 (bear) to $7.23 (bull), the price of $9.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Toshiba Tec Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥604B in FY2026 versus ¥445B in FY2022, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥2.4B in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $974M · EPS (TTM) $−0.1300 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity −2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% · Operating margin 6.9% · Revenue (TTM) ¥569B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at −30%, TSHTY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.64 Fair Value $6.40 Bull $7.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $5.26 $6.38 $7.73 78
EPV $5.86 $6.40 $6.85 74
ROIC Compounder $5.86 $6.44 $7.09 72
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $5.26 $6.38 $7.73 78
Earnings-Based
EPV $5.86 $6.40 $6.85 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $18.04 $23.43 $28.81 66
EV/EBITDA $29.60 $38.85 $48.09 67
EV/Revenue $10.05 $13.55 $17.05 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.12 $4.18 $6.25 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $5.86 $6.44 $7.09 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.0% (2021) → 2.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TSHTY screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Dell Technologies Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 220 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Above median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)59 · sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)34 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Everpure, Inc P $110.89 $51.46 −54%
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Toshiba Tec Corp ADR · Fair Value
$6.40 −44%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Toshiba Tec Corp ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSHTY

Frequently asked questions

Is Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.40 versus a price of $9.20, about −30% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TSHTY?
Our model-based fair value for Toshiba Tec Corp ADR is $6.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.20.
What is the quality score of TSHTY?
Toshiba Tec Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.64, optimistic scenario $7.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Toshiba Tec Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.40, about −30% upside versus a price of $9.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.64, optimistic scenario $7.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Toshiba Tec Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥569B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Toshiba Tec Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Toshiba Tec Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Toshiba Tec Corp ADR it is $6.40 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $9.20. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Toshiba Tec Corp ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TSHTY trades above its calculated fair value: price $9.20, fair value $6.40, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TSHTY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.40). For Toshiba Tec Corp ADR the two are $2.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Toshiba Tec Corp ADR worth?
The market values Toshiba Tec Corp ADR at about $974M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $9.20; our models calculate a fair value of $6.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TSHTY?
Our models span a range for Toshiba Tec Corp ADR: cautious scenario $5.64, base $6.40, optimistic $7.23 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $9.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Toshiba Tec Corp ADR (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −2.8%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TSHTY from its 52-week high?
Toshiba Tec Corp ADR trades at $9.20, about 15% below its 52-week high of $10.85 and 13% above the low of $8.17 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Toshiba Tec Corp ADR?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Western Digital Corporation, Wiwynn Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Toshiba Tec Corp ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $9.20, calculated fair value $6.40 (−30%), Quality Score 49/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TSHTY calculated?
We run Toshiba Tec Corp ADR through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Toshiba Tec Corp ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $9.20. Our model-based fair value is $6.40, about −30% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Toshiba Tec Corp ADR right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Toshiba Tec Corp ADR

How large is the market capitalisation of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The market capitalisation of Toshiba Tec Corp ADR is $974M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Earnings per share at Toshiba Tec Corp ADR are $−0.1300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The dividend yield of Toshiba Tec Corp ADR is 1.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The net margin of Toshiba Tec Corp ADR is −0.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Toshiba Tec Corp ADR is −2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Toshiba Tec Corp ADR is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The operating margin of Toshiba Tec Corp ADR is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Revenue at Toshiba Tec Corp ADR is growing +11.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Earnings per share at Toshiba Tec Corp ADR are growing +137% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY) generate?
The free cash flow of Toshiba Tec Corp ADR is −¥5.6B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY) hold?
Toshiba Tec Corp ADR holds more cash than debt, ¥7.2B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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