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Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Toshiba Tec Corp stock $6.33, price $9.36, that is 32.4% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US · ADR · Based in Japan

TT Toshiba Tec Corp logo Some data Nov 5, 2026

Toshiba Tec Corp

TSHTY · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 32% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +23%, profit +137%.
Quality 49/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.3 %/yr in JPY)
Thin margins · 0.8% net margin (TTM)
0.7% dividend yield · Token dividend
Some data
Fair value $6.33 · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 23/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$20.02 $6.52 Fair Value $6.33 Jun 2015 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.52 – $20.02 · fair‑value band $5.58 – $7.15 · the $9.36 price screens above the $6.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Toshiba Tec Corporation offers retail and workplace solutions in Japan and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Retail Solutions Business and Workplace Solutions Business.

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It offers point-of-sale (POS) systems, multifunction printers, peripherals, self-checkout systems, and displays, as well as operating systems, managed services, commerce, and software solutions.

The company provides desktop and mobile printers, industrial and color printers, and industrial desktop printers; inkjet heads solutions; and color, monochrome, and hybrid MFP solutions, as well as mobile and cloud solutions, workflow and management solutions, and security solutions.

In addition, the company offers e-Bridge cloud, digital signage solutions, and engineering manufacturing services. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is based in Tokyo, Japan. Toshiba Tec Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Toshiba Corporation.

Stock analysis

Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY) currently trades at $9.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.33, 32% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $19.09 per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the $9.36 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.29, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $5.58 (bear) to $7.15 (bull), the price of $9.36 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Toshiba Tec Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥604B in FY2026 versus ¥445B in FY2022, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥2.4B in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $992M Small · EPS (TTM) $−0.1400 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 5.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.0% · Revenue (TTM) ¥597B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −32%, TSHTY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.58 Fair Value $6.33 Bull $7.15
Price $9.36 · Downside -32.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV $5.55 $6.16 $6.67 74
ROIC Compounder $5.55 $6.30 $7.12 72
EV/EBITDA $25.71 $34.38 $43.06 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $5.55 $6.16 $6.67 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $14.23 $19.09 $23.94 66
EV/EBITDA $25.71 $34.38 $43.06 67
EV/Revenue $7.03 $10.19 $13.34 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.45 $3.29 $4.90 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $5.55 $6.30 $7.12 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 47
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 10
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 54
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 91
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 27
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 88
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.0% (2021) → 2.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TSHTY screens overvalued: fair value 32% below the price. Compare with Dell Technologies Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 213 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −32.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 5.4% · Below median
Return on assets −0.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 3.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 22.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.14× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.66× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.26× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 84
PAST (return on equity)22 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)13 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
HP Inc HPQ $28.46 $52.85 +86% vs TSHTY
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$19.41 HK$33.69 +74% vs TSHTY
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥35.25 ¥46.76 +33% vs TSHTY
Sandisk Corporation SNDK $835.06 $789.73 −5% vs TSHTY
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $170.80 $160.68 −6% vs TSHTY
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 296.50 TWD 213.20 TWD −28% vs TSHTY
Western Digital Corporation WDC $263.78 $175.91 −33% vs TSHTY
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $328.53 $195.72 −40% vs TSHTY
Everpure, Inc P $96.75 $57.04 −41% vs TSHTY
Seagate Technology Holdings STX $460.99 $208.25 −55% vs TSHTY

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Toshiba Tec Corp ADR: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Toshiba Tec Corp ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSHTY

Frequently asked questions

Is Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.33 versus a price of $9.36, about 32% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TSHTY?
Our model-based fair value for Toshiba Tec Corp is $6.33 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.36.
What is the quality score of TSHTY?
Toshiba Tec Corp has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.33 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.58, optimistic scenario $7.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Toshiba Tec Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.33, about 32% lower versus a price of $9.36 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.58, optimistic scenario $7.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Toshiba Tec Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥597B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Toshiba Tec Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Toshiba Tec Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 0.65% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Toshiba Tec Corp has a dividend yield of 0.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 31, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2017. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.7% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.7% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Toshiba Tec Corp it is $6.33 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $9.36. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Toshiba Tec Corp ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, TSHTY trades above its calculated fair value: price $9.36, fair value $6.33, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TSHTY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.33). For Toshiba Tec Corp the two are $3.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Toshiba Tec Corp ADR worth?
The market values Toshiba Tec Corp at about $992M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $9.36; our models calculate a fair value of $6.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TSHTY?
Our models span a range for Toshiba Tec Corp: cautious scenario $5.58, base $6.33, optimistic $7.15 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $9.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Toshiba Tec Corp (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 5.4%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TSHTY from its 52-week high?
Toshiba Tec Corp trades at $9.36, about 14% below its 52-week high of $10.85 and 15% above the low of $8.17 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Toshiba Tec Corp ADR?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Sandisk Corporation, Seagate Technology Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Toshiba Tec Corp ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $9.36, calculated fair value $6.33 (−32%), Quality Score 49/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TSHTY calculated?
We run Toshiba Tec Corp through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $6.33 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Toshiba Tec Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $9.36. Our model-based fair value is $6.33, about 32% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Toshiba Tec Corp ADR right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (49/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Toshiba Tec Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The market capitalisation of Toshiba Tec Corp is $992M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Earnings per share at Toshiba Tec Corp are $−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The dividend yield of Toshiba Tec Corp is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The net margin of Toshiba Tec Corp is 0.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Toshiba Tec Corp is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Toshiba Tec Corp is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
The operating margin of Toshiba Tec Corp is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Revenue at Toshiba Tec Corp is growing +22.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY)?
Earnings per share at Toshiba Tec Corp are growing +137% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY) generate?
The free cash flow of Toshiba Tec Corp is −¥5.6B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Toshiba Tec Corp (TSHTY) carry?
The net debt of Toshiba Tec Corp is ¥5.6B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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