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Tuas Limited (TUA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · AU · Market cap A$1.3B

TL Tuas Limited TUA · AU
PriceA$2.16
Fair ValueA$0.3100
Upside-85.7%
Quality64/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.2300 – A$0.3800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from A$0.3300 to A$0.3100 (−6.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.3800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$8.32 A$0.5800 Fair Value A$0.3100 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.5800 – A$8.32 · fair‑value band A$0.2300 – A$0.3800 · the A$2.16 price screens above the A$0.3100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Tuas Limited (TUA) currently trades at A$2.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3100, implying the stock looks roughly 85.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tuas Limited generated revenue of A$170M at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue grew 25.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$38.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.2300 (bear case) to A$0.3800 (bull case); at A$2.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -86%, TUA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.6800 A$1.13 A$1.82 72
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.4100 A$0.5800 A$0.7600 68
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.4400 A$0.6600 A$1.11 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.7200 A$1.02 A$1.92 38
Owner Earnings A$0.5300 A$1.01 A$1.92 31
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.4100 A$0.5800 A$0.9400 39
5Y EBITDA Exit A$1.17 A$2.11 A$3.96 41
5Y P/E Exit A$0.4200 A$0.7200 A$1.11 38
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.5100 A$0.8600 A$1.02 36
10Y EBITDA Exit A$1.02 A$2.34 A$4.69 37
10Y P/E Exit A$0.5300 A$0.8800 A$1.41 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0900 A$0.6000 A$0.8400 54
Lynch FV A$0.3100 A$0.4400 A$0.5700 50
PEG = 1.0 A$0.3100 A$0.4400 A$0.5700 46
EPV A$0.1600 A$0.1700 A$0.1800 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.2100 A$0.2800 A$0.3500 63
P/S Multiple A$0.1600 A$0.2100 A$0.2700 58
P/B Multiple A$0.1600 A$0.2100 A$0.2700 55
EV/EBIT A$0.3100 A$0.3900 A$0.4600 53
EV/EBITDA A$1.36 A$1.79 A$2.22 54
EV/Revenue A$0.2500 A$0.3300 A$0.4000 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.4100 A$0.5400 A$0.8100 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.6800 A$1.13 A$1.82 72
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.4400 A$0.6600 A$1.11 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.5300 A$0.4900 A$0.3400 61
ROIC Compounder A$0.1600 A$0.1700 A$0.1800 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.4100 A$0.5800 A$0.7600 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$0.8800) versus Economic Profit (A$0.1700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$170M
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.6%
Net margin 7.1%
Return on equity 1.9%
Free cash flow A$26.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 83.0
More key figures
Operating margin 12.9%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) +138%
Net cash A$38.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tuas Limited owns and operates a mobile network in Singapore. It also provides mobile telecommunications services, including data, voice, SMS, roaming, and other services; broadband equipment and on-site activation and installation of services to facilitate broadband connectivity; and support and maintenance services for technologies and system solution …

Full company description

Tuas Limited owns and operates a mobile network in Singapore. It also provides mobile telecommunications services, including data, voice, SMS, roaming, and other services; broadband equipment and on-site activation and installation of services to facilitate broadband connectivity; and support and maintenance services for technologies and system solution projects. Tuas Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Macquarie Park, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tuas Limited reported revenue of A$151M in FY2025 versus A$30.9M in FY2021, a compound +48.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$6.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$151M
Latest YoY
+29.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+38.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+97.0%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+358.9%
Revenue +48.8%/yr
FY21 A$30.9M
FY22 A$57.4M
FY23 A$86.1M
FY24 A$117M
FY25 A$151M
Net income
FY21 −A$20.9M
FY22 −A$26.7M
FY23 −A$15.3M
FY24 −A$4.4M
FY25 A$6.9M

TUA screens 86% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tuas Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TUA

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 252 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 77.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.01× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.26× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 34.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 30
FUTURE 100 · sector 15
PAST 8 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 72

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥89.98 ¥109.88 +22%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $187.61 $172.67 -8%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,922 ₹941.55 -51%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.01 ¥8.36 +39%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 507.27 MXN +95%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 379.00 THB 286.77 THB -24%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 133.50 TWD 100.00 TWD -25%
China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 HK$6.50 HK$13.03 +100%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 111.01 MXN +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tuas Limited (TUA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.3100 versus a price of A$2.16, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TUA?
Our model-based fair value for Tuas Limited is A$0.3100 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$2.16.
What is the quality score of TUA?
Tuas Limited has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tuas Limited (TUA)?
Tuas Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$170M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TUA?
The net profit margin of Tuas Limited is about 7.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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