TX Rail Products, Inc (TXRP) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $9.0M
TX Rail Products, Inc
TXRP · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +2.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 44% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.2300 to $0.4300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0051 – $0.3800 · fair‑value band $0.2300 – $0.4300 · the $0.2215 price screens below the $0.3200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
TX Rail Products, Inc (TXRP) currently trades at $0.2215, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3200, implying the stock looks roughly 44.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, TX Rail Products, Inc generated revenue of $2.3M at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 59.7% year over year. Net debt stands at $3.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2300 (bear case) to $0.4300 (bull case); at $0.2215, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 191% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 44%, TXRP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($1.05) versus Asset-Based ($0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TX Rail Products, Inc engages in the supplying, distributing, and selling new and used rail and rail products to the coal mining industry, short line railroads, and tunneling contractors in the United States.
Full company description
TX Rail Products, Inc engages in the supplying, distributing, and selling new and used rail and rail products to the coal mining industry, short line railroads, and tunneling contractors in the United States. It also offers rail accessories, such as T-rail, switches, steel ties, and related products, including guardrail with flangeway block, crane rail clips, track bolts and spikes, lock washer, spring rod, and others. The company was formerly known as TX Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to TX Rail Products, Inc in January 2024. TX Rail Products, Inc was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Ashland, Kentucky.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TX Rail Products, Inc reported revenue of $8.3M in FY2025 versus $3.4M in FY2021, a compound +24.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0M in FY2025, compounding +66.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,376 | $625.61 | -55% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $45.49 | $20.64 | -55% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $232.02 | $151.92 | -35% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $326.71 | $213.01 | -35% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $385.16 | $268.10 | -30% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$232.22 | C$127.90 | -45% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $329.35 | $191.65 | -42% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$102.50 | C$76.38 | -25% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 329.20 | kr 156.35 | -53% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $44.66 | $49.47 | +11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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