Ukrproduct Group (UKR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ukrproduct Group £0.05, price £0.08, upside -31.8%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.0175 – £0.0900 · fair‑value band £0.0498 – £0.0593 · the £0.0800 price screens above the £0.0546 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Ukrproduct Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of dairy foods and beverages in Ukraine and internationally.
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Ukrproduct Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of dairy foods and beverages in Ukraine and internationally. It operates in four segments: Branded Products, Beverages, Non-Branded Products, Distribution Services and Other.The Branded Products segment provides processed and hard cheese, packaged butter, and spreads. The Beverages segment offers kvass and other beverages. The Non-Branded Products segment provides skimmed milk powder and other skimmed milk products. The Distribution Services and Other segment is involved in the resale of third-party goods; and processing services. It offers its products under the Nash Molochnik, Narodniy Product, Molendam, and Vershkova Dolina trademarks. The company supplies its products through distribution network and exports its milk powder products. Ukrproduct Group Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Saint Helier, Jersey.
Stock analysis
Ukrproduct Group (UKR) currently trades at £0.0800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0546, implying the stock looks roughly 46.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of £0.5000 per share, and 5 of the 6 models we run sit above the £0.0800 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.0300, and 1 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.0498 (bear) to £0.0593 (bull), the price of £0.0800 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Ukrproduct Group reported revenue of £42.2M in FY2025 versus £52.0M in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −£170K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.2M GBX · P/S ratio 0.06 · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity −9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% · Operating margin 3.2% · Revenue (TTM) £42.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) +7.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −32%, UKR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.0498Fair Value £0.0546Bull £0.0593
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.7% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.1% (2019) → 4.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 668 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−32% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.51× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.10× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)37· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ukrproduct Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UKR
Frequently asked questions
Is Ukrproduct Group (UKR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.0546 versus a price of £0.0800, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UKR?
Our model-based fair value for Ukrproduct Group is £0.0546 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.0800.
What is the quality score of UKR?
Ukrproduct Group has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.0546 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.0498, optimistic scenario £0.0593. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ukrproduct Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.0546, about −32% upside versus a price of £0.0800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.0498, optimistic scenario £0.0593. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
Ukrproduct Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £42.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ukrproduct Group it is £0.0546 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £0.0800. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ukrproduct Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, UKR trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.0800, fair value £0.0546, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UKR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.0800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.0546). For Ukrproduct Group the two are £0.0254 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ukrproduct Group worth?
The market values Ukrproduct Group at about 3.2M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £0.0800; our models calculate a fair value of £0.0546 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UKR?
Our models span a range for Ukrproduct Group: cautious scenario £0.0498, base £0.0546, optimistic £0.0593 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £0.0800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ukrproduct Group (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −9.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UKR from its 52-week high?
Ukrproduct Group trades at £0.0800, about 11% below its 52-week high of £0.0900 and 45% above the low of £0.0550 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.0546 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ukrproduct Group?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ukrproduct Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £0.0800, calculated fair value £0.0546 (−32%), Quality Score 52/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UKR calculated?
We run Ukrproduct Group through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.0546, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ukrproduct Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £0.0800. Our model-based fair value is £0.0546, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ukrproduct Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.0593). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Ukrproduct Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
The market capitalisation of Ukrproduct Group is 3.2M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ukrproduct Group is 0.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
The net margin of Ukrproduct Group is −0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ukrproduct Group is −9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ukrproduct Group is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
The operating margin of Ukrproduct Group is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
Revenue at Ukrproduct Group is growing +7.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ukrproduct Group (UKR)?
Earnings per share at Ukrproduct Group are growing +80.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ukrproduct Group (UKR) generate?
The free cash flow of Ukrproduct Group is −83.0K GBX (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ukrproduct Group (UKR) carry?
The net debt of Ukrproduct Group is 5.6M GBX (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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