Ukrproduct Group (UKR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · GB · Market cap 2.6M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from £0.1746 to £0.0572 (−67.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +7.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.0615). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.0178 – £0.0914 · fair‑value band £0.0528 – £0.0615 · the £0.0660 price screens above the £0.0572 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Ukrproduct Group (UKR) currently trades at £0.0660, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0572, implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ukrproduct Group generated revenue of £40.7M at a net margin of -7.7%. Revenue grew 21.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -95.0%. Net debt stands at £5.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.0528 (bear case) to £0.0615 (bull case); at £0.0660, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -13%, UKR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (£0.8900) versus Asset-Based (£0.0300). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ukrproduct Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of dairy foods and beverages in Ukraine and internationally.
Full company description
Ukrproduct Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of dairy foods and beverages in Ukraine and internationally. It operates in four segments: Branded Products, Beverages, Non-Branded Products, Distribution Services and Other.The Branded Products segment provides processed and hard cheese, packaged butter, and spreads. The Beverages segment offers kvass and other beverages. The Non-Branded Products segment provides skimmed milk powder and other skimmed milk products. The Distribution Services and Other segment is involved in the resale of third-party goods; and processing services. It offers its products under the Nash Molochnik, Narodniy Product, Molendam, and Vershkova Dolina trademarks. The company supplies its products through distribution network and exports its milk powder products. Ukrproduct Group Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Saint Helier, Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ukrproduct Group reported revenue of £42.2M in FY2025 versus £52.0M in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −£170K in FY2025.
UKR screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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