Unicharm Corporation (UNICY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $9.6B
Unicharm Corporation
UNICY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from $3.12 to $2.54 (−18.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +7.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from $1.91 (bear) to $3.18 (bull), base $2.54. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 65/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.79 – $7.37 · fair‑value band $1.91 – $3.18 · the $3.22 price screens above the $2.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Unicharm Corporation (UNICY) currently trades at $3.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.54, implying the stock looks roughly 21.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Unicharm Corporation generated revenue of $952B at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $242B. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.91 (bear case) to $3.18 (bull case); at $3.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -21%, UNICY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($3.28) versus Earnings-Based ($0.6665). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Unicharm Corporation engages in the manufacturing and sale of pet care and related products in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Personal Care, Pet Care, and Others segments. It offers wellness care, feminine care, baby and child care products, as well as food-packaging materials, etc.
Full company description
Unicharm Corporation engages in the manufacturing and sale of pet care and related products in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Personal Care, Pet Care, and Others segments. It offers wellness care, feminine care, baby and child care products, as well as food-packaging materials, etc. The company also provides napkin-type incontinence pads, pants-type diapers, tape-type diapers, pants-type specialized urine pads, and tape-type specialized urine pads under the Lifree brand name; specialized liners for incontinence care under the Charm Nap brand name; fabric and facial masks under the Chorittai and Chokaiteki Mask brand name; Home care products under Wave brand; and kitchen paper towel under the Cook Up brand name. In addition, it offers pet food under the Pet Dog Genki, Pet Cat Genki, Grand Deli, Best Balance, Silver Spoon, Silver Plate, AllWell, and Physicalife brand names, as well as excrement cleanup sheets, disposable diapers, apparel-like absorption wear for excretion-care for dogs, and Deo-Sand series and Deo-Toilet system products for cats. Further, the company provides feminine care products including feminine napkins, tampons, sanitary shorts, and panty liners under the Sofy and Silcot names; and disposable baby diaper under the Moony, Mamy Poko, Trepanman, and Oyasuminman brands. Additionally, it is involved in recycling of disposable diapers, as well as offering products under RefF brand. Unicharm Corporation was incorporated in 1941 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Unicharm Corporation reported revenue of $991B in FY2025 versus $783B in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was $68.4B in FY2025, compounding −1.5%/yr from FY2021.
UNICY screens 21% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Unicharm Announces Full-Scale Entry into India’s Rapidly Growing Pet Care Market
- Unicharm Enters Brazil, World’s Third-Largest Pet Care Market, through Acquisition of Nutrire
- Assessing Unicharm (TSE:8113) Valuation After Mixed Share Price Returns And Margin Pressure
- Unicharm Group Discloses Global Initiatives in Conjunction with International Women's Day on March 8
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 1,273 MXN | +18% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,144 | ₹1,000 | -53% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 279.00 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹1,088 | ₹367.64 | -66% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹846.75 | ₹233.05 | -72% |
| APR Co 278470 | 375,000 KRW | 151,222 KRW | -60% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹429.45 | ₹181.60 | -58% |
| Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA | 38.07 MXN | 50.09 MXN | +32% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,730 IDR | 1,934 IDR | +12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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