Universal Insurance Holdings (UVE) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.1B
Universal Insurance Holdings
UVE · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $78.94 to $83.22 (+5.4%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +5.7% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 88% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (75/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($62.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.61 – $45.08 · fair‑value band $62.42 – $104.03 · the $44.15 price screens below the $83.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Universal Insurance Holdings (UVE) currently trades at $44.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $83.22, implying the stock looks roughly 88.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Universal Insurance Holdings generated revenue of $1.6B at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 38.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $308M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $62.42 (bear case) to $104.03 (bull case); at $44.15, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 88%, UVE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($56.79) versus Asset-Based ($13.23). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated insurance holding company in the United States.
Full company description
Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated insurance holding company in the United States. The company offers insurance products for personal residential insurance, such as homeowners, renters and tenants, condo unit owners, and dwelling and fire; and allied lines, coverage for other structures, and personal property, liability, and personal articles coverages. It also advises on actuarial issues, oversees distribution, administers claims payments, performs policy administration and underwriting, and assists with reinsurance negotiations; evaluates insurance risk and exposures on an individual and portfolio basis and assists the insurance entities with pricing risks; places and manages its reinsurance programs; and operates its digital insurance agency, Clovered.com. It offers its products through its independent agency network, direct-to-consumer online distribution, and digital insurance agency platform. The company was formerly known as Universal Heights, Inc. and changed its name to Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. in January 2001. Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Universal Insurance Holdings reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was $183M in FY2025, compounding +73.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC (UVE) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?
- UVE Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Lower Losses and Premium Growth
- UVE Stock Outperforms Industry, Trades Near 52-Week High: Time to Exit?
Peer Group
Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive Corporation PGR | $234.48 | $252.50 | +8% |
| Chubb Limited CB | $337.44 | $345.56 | +2% |
| The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV | $368.98 | $384.42 | +4% |
| The Allstate Corporation ALL | $251.61 | $503.22 | +100% |
| The People's Insurance Company 601319 | ¥7.06 | ¥13.71 | +94% |
| Intact Financial Corporation IFC | C$294.02 | C$247.44 | -16% |
| Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH | C$2,327 | C$3,252 | +40% |
| QBE Insurance Group QBE | A$25.47 | A$19.42 | -24% |
| Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 | 648,000 KRW | 658,771 KRW | +2% |
| Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU | 69.80 PLN | 100.85 PLN | +44% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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