VIGO Photonics S.A (VGO) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · PL · Market cap 476M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 539.04 PLN to 113.19 PLN (−79.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (166.57 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (58.43 PLN to 166.57 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 402.00 PLN – 802.00 PLN · fair‑value band 58.43 PLN – 166.57 PLN · the 494.00 PLN price screens above the 113.19 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
VIGO Photonics S.A (VGO) currently trades at 494.00 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 113.19 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 77.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, VIGO Photonics S.A generated revenue of 93.0M PLN at a net margin of -16.2%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.2%. Net debt stands at 14.6M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 58.43 PLN (bear case) to 166.57 PLN (bull case); at 494.00 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -77%, VGO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (120.39 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (87.82 PLN). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
VIGO Photonics S.A. manufactures and sells semiconductor materials, and devices for photonic and microelectronic applications worldwide. It offers epi-wafers; infrared detectors comprising photoconductive, multi-channel, photovoltaic, and superlattice detectors; and infrared detection modules.
Full company description
VIGO Photonics S.A. manufactures and sells semiconductor materials, and devices for photonic and microelectronic applications worldwide. It offers epi-wafers; infrared detectors comprising photoconductive, multi-channel, photovoltaic, and superlattice detectors; and infrared detection modules. The company's products are used in defense and security, environmental protection, healthcare, transport, and research and development industries. VIGO Photonics S.A. was formerly known as VIGO System S.A. and changed its name to VIGO Photonics S.A. in August 2022. The company was founded in 1987 and is based in Ozarów Mazowiecki, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
VIGO Photonics S.A reported revenue of 93.0M PLN in FY2025 versus 71.5M PLN in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was −15.1M PLN in FY2025.
VGO screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 625 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,880 TWD | 515.23 TWD | -73% |
| Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 | 242.50 TWD | 270.47 TWD | +12% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥62.14 | ¥38.44 | -38% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,260,000 KRW | 166,421 KRW | -87% |
| Elite Material Co 2383 | 4,990 TWD | 714.36 TWD | -86% |
| Yageo Corporation 2327 | 699.00 TWD | 216.55 TWD | -69% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.29 | ¥27.45 | -79% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥364.00 | ¥93.50 | -74% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$297.00 | HK$103.98 | -65% |
| Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 | ¥127.80 | ¥31.95 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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