VHM Ltd (VHM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$70.1M (≈ $50.5M) · ISIN AU0000253189
What is VHM Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 43% above our fair value of A$0.1400.
As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of VHM Ltd is A$0.1400 per share against a price of A$0.2000, so the fair value sits 30% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price −4.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.1000 to A$0.2100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range A$0.1850 – A$1.17 · fair‑value band A$0.1000 – A$0.2100 · the A$0.2000 price screens above the A$0.1400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
VHM Ltd (VHM) currently trades at A$0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1400, implying the stock looks roughly 42.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of A$0.6800 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the A$0.2000 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.1400, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$5.0K. It earns a return on equity of −9.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$6.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.1000 (bear case) to A$0.2100 (bull case); at A$0.2000, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −30%, VHM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.6800) versus Asset-Based (A$0.1400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (62).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
VHM Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It primarily explores for rare earths and zircon-titania deposits, as well as mineral sands. The company's flagship project is the Goschen project located in the Loddon-Mallee Region of Victoria.
Full company description
VHM Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It primarily explores for rare earths and zircon-titania deposits, as well as mineral sands. The company's flagship project is the Goschen project located in the Loddon-Mallee Region of Victoria. The company was formerly known as VHM Exploration Limited and changed its name to VHM Limited in November 2018. VHM Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
VHM Ltd reported revenue of A$5.0K in FY2025 versus A$110K in FY2023, a compound −78.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$6.4M in FY2025.
VHM screens 43% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 469 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHP | A$66.84 | A$42.16 | −37% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $15.31 | $8.95 | −42% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 65.50 SAR | 33.87 SAR | −48% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.42 | ¥16.15 | −12% |
| Teck Resources Limited TECK | $69.34 | $32.02 | −54% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.00 | ₹508.34 | −11% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥66.76 | ¥9.55 | −86% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | −74% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥37.85 | ¥25.99 | −31% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | −13% |
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