Vivendi SA (VIV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Vivendi SA stock €0.80, price €1.68, that is 52.3% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.41 – €12.07 · fair‑value band €0.7300 – €0.9600 · the €1.68 price screens above the €0.8000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Vivendi SE operates in the content, media, and entertainment industries in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa.
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The company creates and publishes video games for various digital devices, including mobile, PC, and consoles; and engages in the recorded music, music publishing, music-based merchandise, and audio-visual content businesses.
It also provides online sports betting services; and media and education content in the Spanish and Spanish speaking markets, as well as creates, develops, sells, produces, and distributes content.
In addition, the company is involved in publishing, media, and travel retail; commercial television broadcasting; and television, audiovisual production, and internet activities. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Stock analysis
Vivendi SA (VIV) currently trades at €1.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.8000, 52% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €2.98 per share, and 3 of the 17 models we run sit above the €1.68 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.2000, and 14 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €0.7300 (bear) to €0.9600 (bull), the price of €1.68 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2014: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2014.
Vivendi SA reported revenue of €307M in FY2025 versus €9.6B in FY2021, a compound −57.7%/yr. Reported net income was €20.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €1.6B Small · P/E ratio 83.9 · P/S ratio 5.18 · EPS (TTM) €0.0200 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at −52%, VIV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€0.7300Fair Value €0.8000Bull€0.9600
Price €1.68 · Downside -52.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2014: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2014.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−68.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−54.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −29.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−53.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−56.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Per share before 2012divided by the spin-off factor 1.0333
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−56.3% vs −34.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → −34%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 27.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+57.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +53.9% a year for the price and +0.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 164 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vivendi SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VIV
Frequently asked questions
Is Vivendi SA (VIV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.8000 versus a price of €1.68, about 52% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VIV?
Our model-based fair value for Vivendi SA is €0.8000 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.68.
What is the quality score of VIV?
Vivendi SA has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vivendi SA (VIV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.8000 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.7300, optimistic scenario €0.9600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vivendi SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.8000, about 52% lower versus a price of €1.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.7300, optimistic scenario €0.9600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
Vivendi SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €302M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Vivendi SA pay a dividend?
Vivendi SA currently shows a dividend yield of 2.39% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Vivendi SA (VIV) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Vivendi SA pays a dividend of €0.04 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Apr 22, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2020. The payout ratio is 200% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.45 times. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What growth is priced into Vivendi SA (VIV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Vivendi SA would have to grow free cash flow by +57.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -54.7 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VIV use?
Our models discount Vivendi SA at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Vivendi SA that is +57.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Vivendi SA (VIV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Vivendi SA grew -54.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +57.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Vivendi SA (VIV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Vivendi SA (+57.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.15 %: that much free cash flow Vivendi SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vivendi SA it is €0.8000 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of €1.68. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Vivendi SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, VIV trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.68, fair value €0.8000, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VIV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.8000). For Vivendi SA the two are €0.8770 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vivendi SA worth?
The market values Vivendi SA at about €1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is €1.68; our models calculate a fair value of €0.8000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VIV?
Our models span a range for Vivendi SA: cautious scenario €0.7300, base €0.8000, optimistic €0.9600 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price €1.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VIV?
Vivendi SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 83.9 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €0.8000 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 9.6. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 0.3, P/S 5.2.
What is the PEG ratio of VIV?
The PEG ratio of Vivendi SA is 1.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vivendi SA (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 0.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VIV from its 52-week high?
Vivendi SA trades at €1.68, about 43% below its 52-week high of €2.95 and 19% above the low of €1.41 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.8000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vivendi SA?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vivendi SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price €1.68, calculated fair value €0.8000 (−52%), Quality Score 55/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VIV calculated?
We run Vivendi SA through 17 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €0.8000 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Vivendi SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €1.68. Our model-based fair value is €0.8000, about 52% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vivendi SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.9600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Vivendi SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
The market capitalisation of Vivendi SA is €1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vivendi SA is 5.18 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
Earnings per share at Vivendi SA are €0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 83.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
The dividend yield of Vivendi SA is 2.4% (payout 200%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
The net margin of Vivendi SA is 6.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vivendi SA is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vivendi SA is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vivendi SA (VIV)?
The operating margin of Vivendi SA is −35.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vivendi SA (VIV)?
Revenue at Vivendi SA is growing −3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −68.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vivendi SA (VIV)?
Earnings per share at Vivendi SA are growing −6.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Vivendi SA (VIV) carry?
The net debt of Vivendi SA is €1.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 85.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 8, 2026