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Telefônica Brasil S.A (VIV) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $21.1B

TB Telefônica Brasil S.A logo Telefônica Brasil S.A VIV · US
Price$12.01
Fair Value$12.64
Upside+5.3%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
7.15% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/12)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range $9.48 – $15.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $16.01 to $12.64 (−21.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −9.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $9.48 (bear) to $15.79 (bull), base $12.64. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 65/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.46 $5.32 Fair Value $12.64 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.32 – $16.46 · fair‑value band $9.48 – $15.79 · the $12.01 price screens below the $12.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Telefônica Brasil S.A (VIV) currently trades at $12.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.64, implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Telefônica Brasil S.A generated revenue of $60.7B at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at $13.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.48 (bear case) to $15.79 (bull case); at $12.01, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 5%, VIV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $81.61 $120.59 $176.55 80
Residual Income $36.60 $39.84 $52.20 76
Rev-Margin DCF $60.55 $91.94 $128.31 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $80.29 $124.38 $191.84 38
Owner Earnings $83.04 $128.69 $198.51 31
5Y Revenue Exit $60.55 $91.39 $130.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $106.05 $176.66 $259.25 41
5Y P/E Exit $65.29 $100.27 $136.65 38
10Y Revenue Exit $65.41 $95.28 $134.47 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $95.98 $154.54 $233.17 37
10Y P/E Exit $69.98 $101.45 $139.43 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $25.73 $80.74 $107.47 54
Lynch FV $17.64 $25.20 $32.77 50
PEG = 1.0 $17.64 $25.20 $32.77 46
EPV $48.32 $56.09 $62.89 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $62.44 $83.26 $104.07 63
P/S Multiple $48.25 $64.34 $80.42 58
P/B Multiple $48.25 $64.34 $80.42 55
EV/EBIT $68.49 $90.76 $113.03 53
EV/EBITDA $134.31 $178.52 $222.73 54
EV/Revenue $52.35 $74.06 $95.77 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $21.49 $28.80 $42.99 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $81.61 $120.59 $176.55 80
Rev-Margin DCF $60.55 $91.94 $128.31 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $36.60 $39.84 $52.20 76
ROIC Compounder $49.69 $62.71 $79.15 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $51.52 $73.60 $95.69 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($101.45) versus Earnings-Based ($25.20). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $60.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.4%
Net margin 10.5%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow $11.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 17.4
More key figures
Operating margin 15.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.7600
Dividend yield 7.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.2%
Net debt $13.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Telefônica Brasil S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a mobile telecommunications company in Brazil. Its fixed line voice services portfolio includes local, domestic long-distance, and international long-distance calls; and mobile portfolio comprises voice and broadband internet access through 3G, 4G, 4.5G, and 5G, as well as value-added, …

Full company description

Telefônica Brasil S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a mobile telecommunications company in Brazil. Its fixed line voice services portfolio includes local, domestic long-distance, and international long-distance calls; and mobile portfolio comprises voice and broadband internet access through 3G, 4G, 4.5G, and 5G, as well as value-added, prepaid plans with data sharing features, family plans, voice mail, caller identification, voice minutes in unlimited bundles to mobile and fixed-line phones, and digital services, and wireless roaming services. The company also offers data services, including broadband and mobile data services; fixed-line local services consist of activation, monthly subscription, public telephones and measured services. In addition, it provides pay TV services through IPTV technologies; network services, such as rental of facilities and other services; wholesale services, including interconnection services to users of other network providers; and digital services that include entertainment, cloud, and security and financial services. Further, the company offers multimedia communication services, which include audio, data, voice and other sounds, images, texts, and other information, as well as sells devices and accessories, such as smartphones, broadband USB modems, and other devices. Additionally, it provides telecommunications solutions and IT support to various industries, such as retail, manufacturing, services, financial institutions, government, etc; insurance services; and sale of wireless devices and consumer electronics. It markets and sells its solutions through Vivo stores, dealers, retail channels, distribution and digital channels, door-to-door sales, and outbound tele sales. The company was formerly known as Telecomunicações de São Paulo S.A. - TELESP and changed its name to Telefônica Brasil S.A. in October 2011. Telefônica Brasil S.A. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Telefônica Brasil S.A reported revenue of $58.4B in FY2025 versus $44.0B in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was $6.0B in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$58.4B
Latest YoY
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
+9.9%
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY21 $44.0B
FY22 $48.0B
FY23 $52.1B
FY24 $55.8B
FY25 $58.4B
Net income −0.8%/yr
FY21 $6.2B
FY22 $4.1B
FY23 $5.0B
FY24 $5.5B
FY25 $6.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Telefônica Brasil S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VIV

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 252 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.4× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.09× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 30
FUTURE 37 · sector 15
PAST 37 · sector 28
HEALTH 97 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 72

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥89.98 ¥109.88 +22%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $187.61 $172.67 -8%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,922 ₹941.55 -51%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.01 ¥8.36 +39%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 507.27 MXN +95%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 379.00 THB 286.77 THB -24%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 133.50 TWD 100.00 TWD -25%
China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 HK$6.50 HK$13.03 +100%
TLKM TLKM 2,530 IDR 3,898 IDR +54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Telefônica Brasil S.A (VIV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.64 versus a price of $12.01, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VIV?
Our model-based fair value for Telefônica Brasil S.A is $12.64 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.01.
What is the quality score of VIV?
Telefônica Brasil S.A has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Telefônica Brasil S.A (VIV)?
Telefônica Brasil S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $60.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VIV?
The net profit margin of Telefônica Brasil S.A is about 10.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Telefônica Brasil S.A pay a dividend?
Telefônica Brasil S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.15% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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