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VRG S.A (VRG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · PL · Market cap 1.2B PLN

VS VRG S.A VRG · WAR
Price5.60 PLN
Fair Value9.22 PLN
Upside+64.6%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range 6.91 PLN – 11.52 PLN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +6.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 65% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (6.91 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

5.78 PLN 2.81 PLN Fair Value 9.22 PLN Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.81 PLN – 5.78 PLN · fair‑value band 6.91 PLN – 11.52 PLN · the 5.60 PLN price screens below the 9.22 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

VRG S.A (VRG) currently trades at 5.60 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.22 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 64.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, VRG S.A generated revenue of 1.5B PLN at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 21.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at 290M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6.91 PLN (bear case) to 11.52 PLN (bull case); at 5.60 PLN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 65%, VRG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 9.35 PLN 14.36 PLN 21.38 PLN 80
Residual Income 3.92 PLN 4.13 PLN 4.43 PLN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 7.00 PLN 10.89 PLN 15.80 PLN 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 9.44 PLN 15.04 PLN 23.33 PLN 38
Owner Earnings 8.65 PLN 13.76 PLN 21.33 PLN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 7.00 PLN 10.87 PLN 15.91 PLN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 9.90 PLN 16.72 PLN 25.07 PLN 41
5Y P/E Exit 7.64 PLN 12.16 PLN 17.14 PLN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 7.70 PLN 11.44 PLN 16.76 PLN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 9.59 PLN 15.30 PLN 23.61 PLN 37
10Y P/E Exit 8.23 PLN 12.29 PLN 17.68 PLN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2.85 PLN 12.19 PLN 16.66 PLN 54
Lynch FV 3.12 PLN 4.45 PLN 5.79 PLN 50
PEG = 1.0 3.12 PLN 4.45 PLN 5.79 PLN 46
EPV 4.52 PLN 5.10 PLN 5.58 PLN 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.7000 PLN 1.26 PLN 1.73 PLN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.7000 PLN 1.15 PLN 1.35 PLN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 6.91 PLN 9.22 PLN 11.52 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 5.34 PLN 7.12 PLN 8.90 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 5.34 PLN 7.12 PLN 8.90 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 8.86 PLN 11.72 PLN 14.58 PLN 53
EV/EBITDA 11.23 PLN 14.87 PLN 18.52 PLN 54
EV/Revenue 5.68 PLN 7.99 PLN 10.30 PLN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.48 PLN 3.32 PLN 4.95 PLN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 9.35 PLN 14.36 PLN 21.38 PLN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 7.00 PLN 10.89 PLN 15.80 PLN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.92 PLN 4.13 PLN 4.43 PLN 76
ROIC Compounder 4.52 PLN 5.22 PLN 6.38 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.37 PLN 7.68 PLN 9.98 PLN 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (12.29 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (1.15 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6B PLN
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.4%
Net margin 5.9%
Return on equity 8.3%
Free cash flow 209M PLN FY2025
P/E ratio 13.3
More key figures
Operating margin 4.0%
EPS (TTM) 0.3900 PLN
EPS growth (YoY) +9.2%
Net debt 290M PLN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

VRG S.A. designs, manufactures, and sells jewelry and clothing for women and men in Poland and internationally. It operates through the Apparel and Jeweler segments.

Full company description

VRG S.A. designs, manufactures, and sells jewelry and clothing for women and men in Poland and internationally. It operates through the Apparel and Jeweler segments. The company offers classical and avant-garde jackets, well-cut trousers, suits, modern knitwear, coats and jackets, polo shirts, and other accessories; luxury attire for women; and silk and bow ties, and cufflinks. It also provides gold and platinum jewelry, as well as jewelry with diamonds and precious stones; and watches. The company sells its products under the Vistula, BYTOM, Wólczanka, Deni Cler, and W.KRUK brands. In addition, it engages in the rental and management of own or leased real estate properties; retail sale of clothing, footwear, and accessories; retail sale of jewelry; operation of online stores; and provision of franchise services. VRG S.A. was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Kraków, Poland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

VRG S.A reported revenue of 1.5B PLN in FY2025 versus 1.1B PLN in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 98.2M PLN in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B PLN
Latest YoY
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Revenue +8.9%/yr
FY21 1.1B PLN
FY22 1.3B PLN
FY23 1.3B PLN
FY24 1.4B PLN
FY25 1.5B PLN
Net income +10.3%/yr
FY21 66.3M PLN
FY22 93.0M PLN
FY23 102M PLN
FY24 87.8M PLN
FY25 98.2M PLN
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.1 pp

of which total revenue +11.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.5 pp

EBIT margin +0.8 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VRG S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VRG

Peer Group

Apparel Manufacturing · 212 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +65% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 7.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 32
FUTURE 100 · sector 4
PAST 33 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB kr 163.45 kr 165.47 +1%
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL $374.08 $224.21 -40%
Moncler S.p.A MONC €52.08 €50.69 -3%
LPP SA LPP 19,380 PLN 17,754 PLN -8%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.88 HK$5.92 +21%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥7.57 ¥5.59 -26%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹39,900 ₹12,395 -69%
Hla Group 600398 ¥6.05 ¥9.92 +64%
Eclat Textile Co 1476 333.50 TWD 357.81 TWD +7%
Youngone Corporation 111770 87,600 KRW 196,629 KRW +124%

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Frequently asked questions

Is VRG S.A (VRG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.22 PLN versus a price of 5.60 PLN, about +65% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VRG?
Our model-based fair value for VRG S.A is 9.22 PLN (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 5.60 PLN.
What is the quality score of VRG?
VRG S.A has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of VRG S.A (VRG)?
VRG S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B PLN (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VRG?
The net profit margin of VRG S.A is about 6.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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