PT Wahana Pronatural Tbk (WAPO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 143B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 16.05 IDR to 12.29 IDR (−23.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +13.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15.36 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (8.11 IDR to 15.36 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 68.00 IDR – 298.00 IDR · fair‑value band 8.11 IDR – 15.36 IDR · the 130.00 IDR price screens above the 12.29 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
PT Wahana Pronatural Tbk (WAPO) currently trades at 130.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.29 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 90.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Wahana Pronatural Tbk generated revenue of 1.6T IDR at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue grew 189.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 5.6B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.11 IDR (bear case) to 15.36 IDR (bull case); at 130.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -91%, WAPO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Wahana Pronatural Tbk engages in the trading of agriculture and marine products in Indonesia, China, Asia, and the Americas. It operates in two segments, Agricultural Product and Drinking Water Product.
Full company description
PT Wahana Pronatural Tbk engages in the trading of agriculture and marine products in Indonesia, China, Asia, and the Americas. It operates in two segments, Agricultural Product and Drinking Water Product. The company offers dried seaweed, rice, soybeans, sugar, and coffee beans; chewy, hard, snack, gummy, and chewy coated candies; mineral water under the Air Alam brand name; and lemon and orange-flavored ready-to-drink beverages under the Lemon Water C brand name. It also provides mining products, including manganese ore, nickel, and rock asphalt. In addition, the company is involved in the development, printing, transportation, and related services sectors. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as PT Wahana Phonix Mandiri Tbk and changed its name to PT Wahana Pronatural Tbk in June 2012. PT Wahana Pronatural Tbk was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Surabaya, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Wahana Pronatural Tbk reported revenue of 1.4T IDR in FY2025 versus 317B IDR in FY2021, a compound +45.9%/yr. Reported net income was −11.6B IDR in FY2025.
WAPO screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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