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Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Waterstone Financial Inc $15.96, price $20.33, upside -21.5%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · US · ISIN US94188P1012

WF Waterstone Financial Inc logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Waterstone Financial Inc

WSBF · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $15.96 · Overvalued (−22%)
!Quality 58/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.7 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 19.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·3.05% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Weak on valuation: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$21.52 $8.82 Fair Value $15.96 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.82 – $21.52 · fair‑value band $15.25 – $19.31 · the $20.33 price screens above the $15.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Waterstone Financial, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for WaterStone Bank SSB that provides various financial services to customers in southeastern Wisconsin, the United States. It operates in two segments, Community Banking and Mortgage Banking.

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Waterstone Financial, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for WaterStone Bank SSB that provides various financial services to customers in southeastern Wisconsin, the United States. It operates in two segments, Community Banking and Mortgage Banking. The Community Banking segment offers consumer and business banking products and services, such as deposit and transactional solutions, such as checking, credit, debit and pre-paid cards, online banking and bill pay, and money transfer services; investable funds solutions, such as savings, money market deposits, individual retirement accounts, and certificates of deposit; residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, personal and installment loans, real estate financing, business loans, and business lines of credit; and fixed and variable annuities, insurance products, and trust and investment management accounts. It also provides transaction deposits, interest bearing transaction accounts, demand deposits, non-interest-bearing demand accounts, and time deposits; secured and unsecured lines; commercial real estate construction loans; term loans for working capital, inventory, and general corporate use; and personal term loans and investment services. The Mortgage Banking segment offers residential mortgage loans for the purpose of sale in the secondary market. It also invests in a portfolio of securities comprising mortgage-backed securities, government-sponsored and private-label enterprise bonds, collateralized mortgage obligations, municipal obligations, and other debt securities. The company was formerly known as Wauwatosa Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Waterstone Financial, Inc. in August 2008. Waterstone Financial, Inc. was founded in 1921 and is based in Wauwatosa, Wisconsin.

Stock analysis

Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF) currently trades at $20.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.96, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $19.01 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $20.33 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $7.63, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $15.25 (bear) to $19.31 (bull), the price of $20.33 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Waterstone Financial Inc reported revenue of $202M in FY2025 versus $268M in FY2021, a compound −6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $26.4M in FY2025, compounding −21.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $363M · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 1.61 · EPS (TTM) $1.65 · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 13.1% · Return on equity 8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −22%, WSBF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $15.25 Fair Value $15.96 Bull $19.31
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7563 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $15.02 $15.63 $16.04 74
Gordon GGM $4.63 $8.35 $11.50 66
DDM Multi-Stage $4.63 $7.63 $8.92 65
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.63 $8.35 $11.50 66
DDM Multi-Stage $4.63 $7.63 $8.92 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $14.26 $19.01 $23.77 63
P/B Multiple $18.65 $24.86 $31.08 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.68 $12.97 $19.35 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $15.02 $15.63 $16.04 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−12.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−13% vs 10%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.34% → 17%
2025 sits 67% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.4% a year for the price.

WSBF screens 27% overvalued. Compare with DBS Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1076 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −22% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.54× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.45× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 20.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)5 · sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)86 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)34 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)73 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)61 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 77.69 SGD 40.48 SGD −48%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$51.25 HK$62.30 +22%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.73 €4.04 −40%
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹737.25 ₹406.85 −45%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €98.43 €105.99 +8%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €82.18 €77.62 −6%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $6.75 −37%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,340 ₹616.16 −54%
The PNC Financial Services Group PNC $224.03 $159.52 −29%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 32.14 SGD 19.80 SGD −38%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Waterstone Financial Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WSBF

Frequently asked questions

Is Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.96 versus a price of $20.33, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WSBF?
Our model-based fair value for Waterstone Financial Inc is $15.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $20.33.
What is the quality score of WSBF?
Waterstone Financial Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $15.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.25, optimistic scenario $19.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Waterstone Financial Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $15.96, about −22% upside versus a price of $20.33 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $15.25, optimistic scenario $19.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
Waterstone Financial Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $149M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Waterstone Financial Inc pay a dividend?
Waterstone Financial Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.05% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Waterstone Financial Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +19.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -8.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WSBF use?
Our models discount Waterstone Financial Inc at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.74, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Waterstone Financial Inc that is +19.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Waterstone Financial Inc grew -8.7 % a year. The price currently implies +19.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Waterstone Financial Inc (+19.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.92 %: that much free cash flow Waterstone Financial Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Waterstone Financial Inc it is $15.96 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $20.33. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Waterstone Financial Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, WSBF trades above its calculated fair value: price $20.33, fair value $15.96, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WSBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($15.96). For Waterstone Financial Inc the two are $4.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Waterstone Financial Inc worth?
The market values Waterstone Financial Inc at about $363M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $20.33; our models calculate a fair value of $15.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WSBF?
Our models span a range for Waterstone Financial Inc: cautious scenario $15.25, base $15.96, optimistic $19.31 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $20.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WSBF?
Waterstone Financial Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $15.96 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 13.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Waterstone Financial Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.5%, debt of 0.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WSBF from its 52-week high?
Waterstone Financial Inc trades at $20.33, about 6% below its 52-week high of $21.52 and 42% above the low of $14.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $15.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Waterstone Financial Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Waterstone Financial Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $20.33, calculated fair value $15.96 (−22%), Quality Score 58/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WSBF calculated?
We run Waterstone Financial Inc through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $15.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Waterstone Financial Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $20.33. Our model-based fair value is $15.96, about −22% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Waterstone Financial Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($19.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF) come from?
Earnings per share at Waterstone Financial Inc grew +5.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.0 %, EBIT margin −4.2 %, tax rate +2.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Waterstone Financial Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
The market capitalisation of Waterstone Financial Inc is $363M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Waterstone Financial Inc is 1.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
Earnings per share at Waterstone Financial Inc are $1.65 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
The dividend yield of Waterstone Financial Inc is 3.0% (payout 37.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
The net margin of Waterstone Financial Inc is 13.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Waterstone Financial Inc is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Waterstone Financial Inc is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
The operating margin of Waterstone Financial Inc is 21.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
Revenue at Waterstone Financial Inc is growing +17.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF)?
Earnings per share at Waterstone Financial Inc are growing +105% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Waterstone Financial Inc (WSBF) carry?
The net debt of Waterstone Financial Inc is $348M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 19.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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