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White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $5.0B

Price$2,022
Fair Value$4,045
Upside+100.0%
Quality85/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3,034 – $5,056

Analysis

White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) currently trades at $2,022, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4,045 — implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 85/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. provides insurance services in the United States, the United Kingdom, Bermuda, and internationally. It operates through Ark/WM Outrigger, HG Global, Kudu, Distinguished, and Other Operations segments. The company offers property insurance and reinsurance; specialty insurance and reinsurance consisting of aviation, contingency, cyber, fine art and specie, mortgage, nuclear, political and credit, space, surety, and terrorism and political violence; marine and energy insurance and reinsurance; casualty insurance and reinsurance, such as medical malpractice, and professional and general liability; and accident and health insurance and reinsurance, which includes personal accident, sickness, disability, travel, short-term life, and medical products through brokers, managing general agents (MGA), and reinsurance intermediaries. It also provides municipal bond guarantee reinsurance, which focuses on single risk limits for small-to-medium sized, and pub…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.