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XPLR Infrastructure, LP (XIFR) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $1.1B

XI XPLR Infrastructure, LP logo XPLR Infrastructure, LP XIFR · US
Price$11.44
Fair Value$19.18
Upside+67.7%
Quality31/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.7% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.84 – $37.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −8.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 68% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($3.84 to $37.87). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$67.97 $7.96 Fair Value $19.18 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.96 – $67.97 · fair‑value band $3.84 – $37.87 · the $11.44 price screens below the $19.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

XPLR Infrastructure, LP (XIFR) currently trades at $11.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.18, implying the stock looks roughly 67.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, XPLR Infrastructure, LP generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 8.7%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.2%. Net debt stands at $5.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.84 (bear case) to $37.87 (bull case); at $11.44, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 68%, XIFR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $34.70 $62.52 $86.07 70
DDM Multi-Stage $34.70 $57.11 $66.79 61
EV/EBITDA $8.57 $27.26 $45.96 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $34.70 $62.52 $86.07 70
DDM Multi-Stage $34.70 $57.11 $66.79 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $8.57 $27.26 $45.96 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.92 $22.67 $33.84 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($57.11) versus Asset-Based ($22.67). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.5%
Net margin 8.7%
Return on equity -1.2%
Free cash flow −$219M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.6
More key figures
Operating margin -6.2%
EPS (TTM) $1.22
Net debt $5.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 62
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

XPLR Infrastructure, LP engages in the energy selling business in the United States. It operates a portfolio of contracted clean energy assets, including wind, solar, and battery storage projects. The company was formerly known as NextEra Energy Partners, LP and changed its name to XPLR Infrastructure, LP in January 2025.

Full company description

XPLR Infrastructure, LP engages in the energy selling business in the United States. It operates a portfolio of contracted clean energy assets, including wind, solar, and battery storage projects. The company was formerly known as NextEra Energy Partners, LP and changed its name to XPLR Infrastructure, LP in January 2025. XPLR Infrastructure, LP was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Juno Beach, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

XPLR Infrastructure, LP reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $722M in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$28.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 26/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
−3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+21.6%
Revenue +13.3%/yr
FY21 $722M
FY22 $969M
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $1.2B
Net income
FY21 $137M
FY22 $477M
FY23 $200M
FY24 −$23.0M
FY25 −$28.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "XPLR Infrastructure, LP Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XIFR

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +68% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.71× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.93× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 15
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 12
HEALTH 15 · sector 68
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥27.99 ¥25.13 -10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 149.70 kr 31.40 -79%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.81 ¥5.57 -43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,537 ₹170.50 -89%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.65 -10%
VERBUND AG OEWA €58.65 €66.19 +13%
BEP BEP $32.33 $73.35 +127%
BEPUN BEPUN C$44.56 C$10.15 -77%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €19.89 €13.90 -30%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥16.21 ¥8.23 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is XPLR Infrastructure, LP (XIFR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.18 versus a price of $11.44, about +68% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of XIFR?
Our model-based fair value for XPLR Infrastructure, LP is $19.18 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.44.
What is the quality score of XIFR?
XPLR Infrastructure, LP has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of XPLR Infrastructure, LP (XIFR)?
XPLR Infrastructure, LP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XIFR?
The net profit margin of XPLR Infrastructure, LP is about 8.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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