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Zinc Media Group (ZIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Zinc Media Group £0.08, price £0.51, upside -84.2%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · GB · ISIN GB00BJVLR251

ZM Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Zinc Media Group

ZIN · LSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value £0.0800 · Strongly overvalued (−84%)
!Quality 41/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.2% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£1.68 £0.4100 Fair Value £0.0800 Sep 2019 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.4100 – £1.68 · fair‑value band £0.0700 – £0.1000 · the £0.5050 price screens above the £0.0800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Zinc Media Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, produces television and cross-platform content in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company operates through Television and Content Production segments.

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Zinc Media Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, produces television and cross-platform content in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company operates through Television and Content Production segments. It is involved in the brand and corporate film production, as well as radio and podcast production activities; and provision of communications services. The company was formerly known as Ten Alps plc and changed its name to Zinc Media Group plc in November 2016. Zinc Media Group plc was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Zinc Media Group (ZIN) currently trades at £0.5050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0800, implying the stock looks roughly 531.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £0.1300 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the £0.5050 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.0300, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: £0.0700 (bear) to £0.1000 (bull), the price of £0.5050 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Zinc Media Group reported revenue of £41.5M in FY2025 versus £17.5M in FY2021, a compound +24.1%/yr. Reported net income was −£2.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 17.2M GBX · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) £−0.1000 · Net margin −6.2% · Return on equity −109% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.9% · Operating margin 3.1% · Revenue (TTM) £41.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −84%, ZIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (£0.0300 to £0.7300). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear £0.0700 Fair Value £0.0800 Bull £0.1000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV £0.0700 £0.0800 £0.0900 74
ROIC Compounder £0.0700 £0.0900 £0.1100 72
EV/EBITDA £0.5500 £0.7300 £0.9100 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV £0.0700 £0.0800 £0.0900 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT £0.1000 £0.1300 £0.1700 66
EV/EBITDA £0.5500 £0.7300 £0.9100 67
EV/Revenue £0.0800 £0.1100 £0.1400 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.0200 £0.0300 £0.0400 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder £0.0700 £0.0900 £0.1100 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 39 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13.5% (2020) → 0.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ZIN screens 531% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 263 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.97× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 19.56× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.55× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 17.6× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $72.16 $79.38 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.82 $100.87 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.83 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $169.84 $64.71 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.55 €16.00 +10%
TKO Group TKO $188.87 $95.50 −49%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.62 $104.08 +10%
Fox Corporation FOXA $64.25 $89.49 +39%
Roku, Inc ROKU $154.25 $42.88 −72%
News Corporation NWS A$45.40 A$29.85 −34%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zinc Media Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZIN

Frequently asked questions

Is Zinc Media Group (ZIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.0800 versus a price of £0.5050, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ZIN?
Our model-based fair value for Zinc Media Group is £0.0800 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.5050.
What is the quality score of ZIN?
Zinc Media Group has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.0800 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.0700, optimistic scenario £0.1000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zinc Media Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.0800, about −84% upside versus a price of £0.5050 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.0700, optimistic scenario £0.1000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
Zinc Media Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £41.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zinc Media Group it is £0.0800 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £0.5050. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zinc Media Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ZIN trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.5050, fair value £0.0800, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ZIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.5050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.0800). For Zinc Media Group the two are £0.4250 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zinc Media Group worth?
The market values Zinc Media Group at about 17.2M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £0.5050; our models calculate a fair value of £0.0800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ZIN?
Our models span a range for Zinc Media Group: cautious scenario £0.0700, base £0.0800, optimistic £0.1000 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £0.5050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zinc Media Group (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −109.5%, debt of 2.97 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ZIN from its 52-week high?
Zinc Media Group trades at £0.5050, about 19% below its 52-week high of £0.6250 and 23% above the low of £0.4100 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.0800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zinc Media Group?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zinc Media Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £0.5050, calculated fair value £0.0800 (−84%), Quality Score 41/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ZIN calculated?
We run Zinc Media Group through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.0800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Zinc Media Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £0.5050. Our model-based fair value is £0.0800, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zinc Media Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.1000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Zinc Media Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
The market capitalisation of Zinc Media Group is 17.2M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zinc Media Group is 0.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
Earnings per share at Zinc Media Group are £−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
The net margin of Zinc Media Group is −6.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zinc Media Group is −109% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zinc Media Group is −5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
The operating margin of Zinc Media Group is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zinc Media Group (ZIN)?
Revenue at Zinc Media Group is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Zinc Media Group (ZIN) generate?
The free cash flow of Zinc Media Group is −1.4M GBX (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zinc Media Group (ZIN) carry?
The net debt of Zinc Media Group is 530K GBX (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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