Groupe Canal Plus (CAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Groupe Canal Plus stock £3.96, price £2.41, upside +64.6%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 11 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
23‑month range £1.48 – £3.24 · fair‑value band £2.58 – £5.69 · the £2.41 price screens below the £3.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.
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Canal+ SA operates as a media and entertainment company in Europe, Africa, Asia, and internationally. The company is involved in the production, financing, and broadcasting of various contents; and production, acquisition, sale, and distribution of feature films and TV series.
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It also provides Pay-TV services that offers content across sports, films, and series under the CANAL+ and MultiChoice brand; broadband internet access services through optical fibre networks; and local content, including The Office PL, Education, Minute of Silence, Black Daisies, and Simple Matter.
In addition, the company operates Dailymotion, an end-to-end video platform; Thema, a production and distribution business; and L'Olympia and Theatre de L'OEurve, a live entertainment venue.
Further, it distributes free Pay-TV channels and radio channels; operates DTH services; offers various entertainment, including documentaries, children's content, live sports, and Viaplay Select branded contents; and provision of contents through direct-to-home satellite broadcast services, terrestrial television broadcast services, and over-the-top video entertainment streaming services.
Additionally, the company engages in the provision of sports betting, technology, and internet services, as well as insurance products; and ancillary activities comprising licensing and merchandising. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Issy-les-Moulineaux, France.
Stock analysis
Groupe Canal Plus (CAN) currently trades at £2.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £3.96, implying the stock looks roughly 39% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £3.36 per share, and 7 of the 11 models we run sit above the £2.41 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at £1.69, and 4 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: £2.58 (bear) to £5.69 (bull), the price of £2.41 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Groupe Canal Plus reported revenue of €6.9B in FY2025 versus €5.9B in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€47.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap £2.4B Mid · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin −1.1% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 65%, CAN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£2.58Fair Value £3.96Bull£5.69
Price £2.41 · Upside +64.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.41/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.0% (2021) → 3.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.0% a year for the price and +0.8% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: The business gains broader reach across Africa from the completed MultiChoice takeover yet shows persistent losses and weak returns with only thin evidence of a durable advantage.
Main risk: Integration hurdles in subscriber migration and platform shifts after the takeover could disrupt operations and hit subscriber retention across the combined pay-TV base.
Canal+ completed the MultiChoice takeover and is now overhauling DStv packages while preparing its own streaming service in South Africa after closing Showmax. The move broadens reach across Africa but brings integration hurdles in subscriber migration and platform shifts. Our models see the stock as undervalued. Will cross-selling and content synergies drive more lasting growth than the costs and risks of blending two pay-TV operations?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 249 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside+64.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.1% · Above median
Return on assets−0.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−1.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)10.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)39.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.65× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.80× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Groupe Canal Plus Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAN.LSE
Frequently asked questions
Is Groupe Canal Plus (CAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £3.96 versus a price of £2.41, about +65% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CAN?
Our model-based fair value for Groupe Canal Plus is £3.96 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £2.41.
What is the quality score of CAN?
Groupe Canal Plus has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £3.96 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario £2.58, optimistic scenario £5.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Groupe Canal Plus stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £3.96, about +65% upside versus a price of £2.41 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £2.58, optimistic scenario £5.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
Groupe Canal Plus reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €8.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
Does Groupe Canal Plus pay a dividend?
Groupe Canal Plus currently shows a dividend yield of 0.91% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 12, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Groupe Canal Plus pays a dividend of £0.022 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 11, 2026. Free cash flow covers the dividend 15.87 times. Our assessment: Cash covered. The dividend is fully funded by free cash flow. The payout ratio on earnings is not available for this company.
What growth is priced into Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Groupe Canal Plus would have to grow free cash flow by +1.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CAN use?
Our models discount Groupe Canal Plus at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Groupe Canal Plus that is +1.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Groupe Canal Plus (CAN) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Groupe Canal Plus grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +1.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Groupe Canal Plus (+1.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.51 %: that much free cash flow Groupe Canal Plus produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Groupe Canal Plus it is £3.96 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of £2.41. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF).
Is Groupe Canal Plus stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, CAN trades below its calculated fair value: price £2.41, fair value £3.96, a gap of about +65% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£2.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£3.96). For Groupe Canal Plus the two are £1.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Groupe Canal Plus worth?
The market values Groupe Canal Plus at about £2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is £2.41; our models calculate a fair value of £3.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CAN?
Our models span a range for Groupe Canal Plus: cautious scenario £2.58, base £3.96, optimistic £5.69 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price £2.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Groupe Canal Plus (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.65 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CAN from its 52-week high?
Groupe Canal Plus trades at £2.41, about 26% below its 52-week high of £3.24 and 27% above the low of £1.89 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £3.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Groupe Canal Plus?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Groupe Canal Plus stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price £2.41, calculated fair value £3.96 (+65%), Quality Score 43/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CAN calculated?
We run Groupe Canal Plus through 11 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £3.96 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Groupe Canal Plus currently trades 39% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was £2.41. Our model-based fair value is £3.96, about +65% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Groupe Canal Plus right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (£2.58). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (£2.58 to £5.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Groupe Canal Plus
How large is the market capitalisation of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
The market capitalisation of Groupe Canal Plus is £2.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Groupe Canal Plus is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
Earnings per share at Groupe Canal Plus are £−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
The dividend yield of Groupe Canal Plus is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
The net margin of Groupe Canal Plus is −1.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Groupe Canal Plus is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Groupe Canal Plus is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
The operating margin of Groupe Canal Plus is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
Revenue at Groupe Canal Plus is growing +39.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Groupe Canal Plus (CAN)?
Earnings per share at Groupe Canal Plus are growing −57.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Groupe Canal Plus (CAN) carry?
The net debt of Groupe Canal Plus is €2.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 12, 2026