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CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CenterPoint Energy Inc stock $16.73, price $41.04, that is 59.2% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities US

CE CenterPoint Energy Inc logo Some data Oct 31, 2026

CenterPoint Energy Inc

CNP · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 59% below what the stock costs today.

Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin (TTM)
Quality 40/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.8 %/yr in USD)
2.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Moderate moat 58/100 · thin data
Insiders bought $40,700 (6M)
Some data
Fair value $16.73 · Strongly overvalued (−59.2%)
High debt
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Texas regulatory pressure on rates
Watch CenterPoint Energy Inc for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$44.77 $21.53 Fair Value $16.73 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $21.53 – $44.77 · fair‑value band $15.11 – $20.84 · the $41.04 price screens above the $16.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 31, 2026.

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Company profile

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. The company operates through Electric; Natural Gas; and Corporate and Other segments.

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The Electric segment provides electric transmission and distribution services to electric customers and electric generation assets, as well as optimizes assets in the wholesale power market in Indiana Electric's service territory.

The Natural Gas segment engages in the intrastate natural gas sales, and natural gas transportation and distribution for residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Indiana, Minnesota, Ohio, and Texas; permanent pipeline connections through interconnects with various interstate and intrastate pipeline companies; and provides home appliance maintenance and repair services to customers in Minnesota and home repair protection plans to natural gas customers in Indiana, Mississippi, Ohio, and Texas through a third party.

As of December 31, 2025, it served approximately 2,859,313 metered customers; owned 355 substations with transformer capacity of 81,692 megavolt amperes; and owned and operated approximately 208 miles of intrastate pipeline in Louisiana and Texas.

The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Stock analysis

CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) currently trades at $41.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.73, 59% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $22.45 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the $41.04 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $4.52, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $15.11 (bear) to $20.84 (bull), the price of $41.04 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

CenterPoint Energy Inc reported revenue of $9.4B in FY2025 versus $8.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding −8.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $27.3B Large · P/E ratio 23.6 · P/S ratio 2.78 · EPS (TTM) $1.74 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 11.8% · Return on equity 10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −59%, CNP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $15.11 Fair Value $16.73 Bull $20.84
Price $41.04 · Downside -59.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6942 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $15.11 $16.73 $20.84 76
EPV n/a $4.52 $9.53 68
Gordon GGM $8.68 $13.14 $18.18 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.79 $21.88 $27.55 66
EPV n/a $4.52 $9.53 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.68 $13.14 $18.18 68
DDM Multi-Stage $8.68 $12.71 $17.76 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $21.42 $28.57 $35.71 63
P/S Multiple $20.23 $26.98 $33.72 58
P/B Multiple $15.48 $20.65 $25.81 55
EV/EBIT $0.1900 $12.12 $24.06 56
EV/EBITDA $5.56 $19.29 $33.02 61
EV/Revenue n/a n/a $10.25 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.73 $7.68 $11.47 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $15.11 $16.73 $20.84 76
ROIC Compounder n/a $4.52 $9.53 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.71 $22.45 $29.18 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 27
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 48
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 8
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 48
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 97
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 41
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 49
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 66
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $40,700, on Aug 17, 2026.

  • BuyLaurie Lee FitchDirector1,000 shares at $40.70$40,700Aug 17, 2026
  • SalePhillip R SmithDirector6,200 shares at $38.83$240,746Nov 6, 2025

Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+6.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Per share before 2002divided by the spin-off factor 1.1862
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−4.3% vs 2.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 23%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

CNP screens overvalued: fair value 59% below the price. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Strong demand growth from data centers supports rate base expansion in regulated operations, yet high leverage and thin differentiation limit overall durability.
Main risk: Texas regulators could trim approved investments or force rate concessions in future cases, limiting revenue recovery for CenterPoint's distribution network.
Bull case: By demonstrating improved reliability through its resiliency investments, CenterPoint could secure more favorable regulatory outcomes and expand its rate base with data center-driven demand.
Bear case: Persistent regulatory pushback after storms might delay or reduce cost recovery, constraining the company's ability to fund necessary grid upgrades amid rising demand.
CenterPoint faces surging electricity demand from data centers and reshoring manufacturing, with peak load now expected to rise 50 percent by 2029, two years ahead of prior forecasts. This supports substantial rate base growth in its regulated electric operations, yet the company must fund a multi-billion-dollar capital plan while our models see it as overvalued. Will the demand surge deliver earnings growth that outpaces the investment burden or create ongoing pressure on returns?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 156 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −59.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 10.1% · Above median
Return on assets 2.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 11.8% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 30.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 10.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.84× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 23.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.45× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.78× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.14× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)51 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)41 · sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)8 · sector 52
DIVIDEND (yield)45 · sector 63

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
PG&E Corporation PCG $13.40 $17.29 +29% vs CNP
Exelon Corporation EXC $46.24 $36.01 −22% vs CNP
American Electric Power Company AEP $129.24 $100.03 −23% vs CNP
Xcel Energy Inc XEL $80.50 $53.45 −34% vs CNP
The Southern Company SO $93.12 $57.57 −38% vs CNP
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $129.59 $75.79 −42% vs CNP
Dominion Energy, Inc D $69.75 $37.88 −46% vs CNP
Consolidated Edison, Inc ED $120.30 $47.76 −60% vs CNP
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.45 $29.83 −66% vs CNP
Entergy Corporation ETR $111.90 $37.37 −67% vs CNP

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CenterPoint Energy Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CenterPoint Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNP

Frequently asked questions

Is CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.73 versus a price of $41.04, about 59% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNP?
Our model-based fair value for CenterPoint Energy Inc is $16.73 (as of Oct 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $41.04.
What is the quality score of CNP?
CenterPoint Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.73 (as of Oct 31, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.11, optimistic scenario $20.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CenterPoint Energy Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.73, about 59% lower versus a price of $41.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $15.11, optimistic scenario $20.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
CenterPoint Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 31, 2026).
Does CenterPoint Energy Inc pay a dividend?
CenterPoint Energy Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.24% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 31, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CenterPoint Energy Inc it is $16.73 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026), against a price of $41.04. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CenterPoint Energy Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 31, 2026, CNP trades above its calculated fair value: price $41.04, fair value $16.73, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CNP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($41.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.73). For CenterPoint Energy Inc the two are $24.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CenterPoint Energy Inc worth?
The market values CenterPoint Energy Inc at about $27.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 31, 2026). Per share that is $41.04; our models calculate a fair value of $16.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CNP?
Our models span a range for CenterPoint Energy Inc: cautious scenario $15.11, base $16.73, optimistic $20.84 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026, price $41.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CNP?
CenterPoint Energy Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.6 (as of Oct 31, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.73 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2022, FY2023, FY2025 ex one-offs: 21.8. Other multiples: PEG 2.1, P/B 2.5, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 11.8.
What is the PEG ratio of CNP?
The PEG ratio of CenterPoint Energy Inc is 2.14 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 31, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
Balance-sheet figures for CenterPoint Energy Inc (as of Oct 31, 2026): return on equity 10.1%, debt of 1.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CNP from its 52-week high?
CenterPoint Energy Inc trades at $41.04, about 8% below its 52-week high of $44.77 and 12% above the low of $36.62 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CenterPoint Energy Inc?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CenterPoint Energy Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 31, 2026: price $41.04, calculated fair value $16.73 (−59%), Quality Score 40/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CNP calculated?
We run CenterPoint Energy Inc through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. CenterPoint Energy Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was $41.04. Our model-based fair value is $16.73, about 59% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CenterPoint Energy Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($20.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) come from?
Earnings per share at CenterPoint Energy Inc grew +2.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.7 %, EBIT margin +7.3 %, tax rate +2.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of CenterPoint Energy Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
The market capitalisation of CenterPoint Energy Inc is $27.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CenterPoint Energy Inc is 2.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
Earnings per share at CenterPoint Energy Inc are $1.74 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
The dividend yield of CenterPoint Energy Inc is 2.2% (payout 52.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
The net margin of CenterPoint Energy Inc is 11.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CenterPoint Energy Inc is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CenterPoint Energy Inc is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
The operating margin of CenterPoint Energy Inc is 30.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
Revenue at CenterPoint Energy Inc is growing +10.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP)?
Earnings per share at CenterPoint Energy Inc are growing +11.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) generate?
The free cash flow of CenterPoint Energy Inc is −$2.4B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) carry?
The net debt of CenterPoint Energy Inc is $23.6B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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