Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp stock $279, price $150, upside +86.0%, quality 75 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $60.80 – $222.49 · fair‑value band $151.18 – $631.22 · the $150.00 price screens below the $278.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Gulfport Energy Corporation engages in the acquisition, exploration, and production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids in the United States. Its principal properties include Utica and Marcellus in eastern Ohio; and the SCOOP Woodford and Springer formations in central Oklahoma.
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Gulfport Energy Corporation was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Stock analysis
Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR) currently trades at $150.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $278.94, implying the stock looks roughly 46% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $911.08 per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the $150.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $64.51, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $151.18 (bear) to $631.22 (bull), the price of $150.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Gulfport Energy Operating Corp reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was $428M in FY2025, compounding +32.7%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $2.7B Mid · P/E ratio 6.0 · P/S ratio 1.98 · EPS (TTM) $25.18 · Net margin 36.5% · Return on equity 27.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 49.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 87 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 86%, GPOR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$151.18Fair Value $278.94Bull$631.22
Price $150.00 · Upside +86.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($21.59 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$266.85$454.05$1,06174
EPV$170.82$208.22$241.3174
Growth DCF$248.77$558.18$1,07474
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$266.85$454.05$1,06174
Owner Earnings$158.93$428.21$1,01169
5Y Revenue Exit$89.69$157.32$296.3369
5Y EBITDA Exit$195.36$371.05$715.2771
5Y P/E Exit$233.01$569.67$1,02867
10Y Revenue Exit$139.24$288.39$360.9167
10Y EBITDA Exit$220.58$519.83$1,03364
10Y P/E Exit$248.51$602.30$1,18259
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$164.51$1,147$1,61063
Lynch FV$536.48$766.41$996.3361
PEG = 1.0$536.48$766.41$996.3357
EPV$170.82$208.22$241.3174
Multiples
P/E Multiple$254.02$338.69$423.3663
P/S Multiple$67.36$89.81$112.2758
P/B Multiple$129.99$173.32$216.6455
EV/EBIT$168.14$239.02$309.9065
EV/EBITDA$160.48$228.81$297.1467
EV/Revenue$18.37$45.31$72.2650
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$48.14$64.51$96.2954
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$248.77$558.18$1,07474
Rev-Margin DCF$99.34$186.93$367.4468
Economic Profit
Residual Income$166.66$229.81$478.7965
ROIC Compounder$246.09$383.38$501.3571
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$637.76$911.08$1,18467
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
SaleJason Joseph MartinezDirector400 shares at $213.40$85,360Apr 2, 2026
SaleLester ZitkusSVP, Land2× since Jan 7, 2026: 6,618 shares, avg. $193.67$1.3MMar 24, 2026
SaleMichael SluiterSVP of Reservoir Engineering2× since Mar 2, 2026: 11,988 shares, avg. $210.53$2.5MMar 5, 2026
SalePatrick K. CraineCLAO and Corp Secretary2× since Jan 5, 2026: 13,929 shares, avg. $194.34$2.7MMar 5, 2026
SaleSilver Point Capital L.P.Director, 10% owner844,156 shares at $204.22$172.4MMar 3, 2026
SaleMichael L HodgesEVP & CFO16,769 shares at $210.70$3.5MMar 2, 2026
SaleMatthew RuckerEVP & COO10,732 shares at $186.61$2.0MJan 6, 2026
Plus 2 more entries from the last 12 months.
Plus 11 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+33.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+33.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28.2% vs 23.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−170% → 38%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.4%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.8% a year for the price and −0.1% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Ongoing additions of high-quality Utica acres, drilling cost reductions and a shift toward liquids form the main strength while the absence of a durable moat leaves the business exposed to commodity swings and higher leverage.
Main risk: Softer near-term natural gas prices combined with higher leverage from land deals would pressure cash flows and debt servicing.
Gulfport keeps adding high-quality Utica acres and cutting drilling costs per foot while its production mix shifts toward liquids. Recent analyst commentary flags the counter-risk of softer near-term natural gas prices and higher leverage from those land deals. Our models see the stock as undervalued. Does sustained inventory growth and efficiency outweigh the exposure to gas price swings and added debt?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 239 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+86.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)27.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets14.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)36.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)49.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−16.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.43× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)6.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.47× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.98× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)9.8× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gulfport Energy Operating Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GPOR
Frequently asked questions
Is Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $278.94 versus a price of $150.00, about +86% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GPOR?
Our model-based fair value for Gulfport Energy Operating Corp is $278.94 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $150.00.
What is the quality score of GPOR?
Gulfport Energy Operating Corp has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $278.94 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $151.18, optimistic scenario $631.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gulfport Energy Operating Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $278.94, about +86% upside versus a price of $150.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $151.18, optimistic scenario $631.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
Gulfport Energy Operating Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Gulfport Energy Operating Corp pay a dividend?
Gulfport Energy Operating Corp does not currently pay a dividend.
What growth is priced into Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Gulfport Energy Operating Corp would have to grow free cash flow by -0.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.6 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GPOR use?
Our models discount Gulfport Energy Operating Corp at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Gulfport Energy Operating Corp that is -0.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Gulfport Energy Operating Corp grew +10.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -0.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (-0.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.24 %: that much free cash flow Gulfport Energy Operating Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gulfport Energy Operating Corp it is $278.94 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $150.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Gulfport Energy Operating Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, GPOR trades below its calculated fair value: price $150.00, fair value $278.94, a gap of about +86% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GPOR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($150.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($278.94). For Gulfport Energy Operating Corp the two are $128.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gulfport Energy Operating Corp worth?
The market values Gulfport Energy Operating Corp at about $2.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $150.00; our models calculate a fair value of $278.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GPOR?
Our models span a range for Gulfport Energy Operating Corp: cautious scenario $151.18, base $278.94, optimistic $631.22 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $150.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GPOR?
Gulfport Energy Operating Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.0 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $278.94 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 5.6 (reported for FY2025: 6.5). Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 3.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 27.4%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GPOR from its 52-week high?
Gulfport Energy Operating Corp trades at $150.00, about 33% below its 52-week high of $222.49 and at the low of $150.00 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $278.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gulfport Energy Operating Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gulfport Energy Operating Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $150.00, calculated fair value $278.94 (+86%), Quality Score 75/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GPOR calculated?
We run Gulfport Energy Operating Corp through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $278.94 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Gulfport Energy Operating Corp currently trades 46% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $150.00. Our model-based fair value is $278.94, about +86% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gulfport Energy Operating Corp right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (75/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The model range is unusually wide ($151.18 to $631.22). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
The market capitalisation of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp is $2.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp is 1.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
Earnings per share at Gulfport Energy Operating Corp are $25.18 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
The net margin of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp is 36.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp is 27.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp is 18.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
The operating margin of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp is 49.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
Revenue at Gulfport Energy Operating Corp is growing −16.2% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
Earnings per share at Gulfport Energy Operating Corp are growing −46.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR) carry?
The net debt of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp is $787M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026