Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Woodside Energy Group Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Woodside Energy Group Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$13.64 – A$35.80 · fair‑value band A$21.75 – A$26.39 · the A$32.42 price screens above the A$21.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
Woodside Energy Group Ltd engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing, and sale of hydrocarbons in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and the Europe. It produces liquefied natural gas, pipeline gas, crude oil and condensate, and natural gas liquids.
Show more
Woodside Energy Group Ltd engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing, and sale of hydrocarbons in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and the Europe. It produces liquefied natural gas, pipeline gas, crude oil and condensate, and natural gas liquids. The company holds interests in the Pluto LNG, North West Shelf, Wheatstone and Julimar-Brunello, Bass Strait, Ngujima-Yin FPSO, Okha FPSO, Pyrenees FPSO, Macedon, Shenzi, Mad dog, Greater Angostura, as well as Scarborough, Sangomar, Trion, Calypso, Browse, Liard, Ruby, Sangomar, Atlantis, Woodside Solar opportunity, and Sunrise and Troubadour. It is also involved in the development of new energy products and lower-carbon services. The company was formerly known as Woodside Petroleum Ltd and changed its name to Woodside Energy Group Ltd in May 2022. Woodside Energy Group Ltd was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) currently trades at A$32.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$21.75, implying the stock looks roughly 49.1% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$32.34 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the A$32.42 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at A$8.46, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: A$21.75 (bear) to A$26.39 (bull), the price of A$32.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Woodside Energy Group Ltd reported revenue of $13.4B in FY2025 versus $7.0B in FY2021, a compound +17.8%/yr. Reported net income was $2.8B in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$62.0B (≈ $44.2B) · P/E ratio 15.7 · P/S ratio 3.30 · EPS (TTM) A$2.06 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 21.0% · Return on equity 7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −33%, WDS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$21.75Fair Value A$21.75Bull A$26.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.6316 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.1%
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+8.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4% vs 4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 26%
Compare Woodside Energy Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 301 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Above median
Fair Value upside−35% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)21% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)15.7× · Pricier than median
P/B1.16× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)3.21× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA6.6× · Pricier than median
PEG1.33× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)29· sector 8
HEALTH (low debt)84· sector 87
DIVIDEND (yield)69· sector 72
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Woodside Energy Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WDS
Frequently asked questions
Is Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$21.75 versus a price of A$32.42, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WDS?
Our model-based fair value for Woodside Energy Group Ltd is A$21.75 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$32.42.
What is the quality score of WDS?
Woodside Energy Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$21.75 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$21.75, optimistic scenario A$26.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Woodside Energy Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$21.75, about −33% upside versus a price of A$32.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$21.75, optimistic scenario A$26.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
Woodside Energy Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$13.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
Does Woodside Energy Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Woodside Energy Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 17, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Woodside Energy Group Ltd it is A$21.75 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of A$32.42. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Woodside Energy Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, WDS trades above its calculated fair value: price A$32.42, fair value A$21.75, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WDS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$32.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$21.75). For Woodside Energy Group Ltd the two are A$10.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Woodside Energy Group Ltd worth?
The market values Woodside Energy Group Ltd at about A$62.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is A$32.42; our models calculate a fair value of A$21.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WDS?
Our models span a range for Woodside Energy Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$21.75, base A$21.75, optimistic A$26.39 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price A$32.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WDS?
Woodside Energy Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.7 (as of Sep 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$21.75 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/B 1.2, P/S 3.2, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
What is the PEG ratio of WDS?
The PEG ratio of Woodside Energy Group Ltd is 1.33 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 17, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Woodside Energy Group Ltd (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity 7.2%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WDS from its 52-week high?
Woodside Energy Group Ltd trades at A$32.42, about 9% below its 52-week high of A$35.82 and 52% above the low of A$21.36 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$21.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Woodside Energy Group Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Woodside Energy Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price A$32.42, calculated fair value A$21.75 (−33%), Quality Score 46/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WDS calculated?
We run Woodside Energy Group Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$21.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Woodside Energy Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was A$32.42. Our model-based fair value is A$21.75, about −33% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Woodside Energy Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$26.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) come from?
Earnings per share at Woodside Energy Group Ltd grew +0.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.7 %, EBIT margin −1.6 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Woodside Energy Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
The market capitalisation of Woodside Energy Group Ltd is A$62.0B (≈ $44.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Woodside Energy Group Ltd is 3.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
Earnings per share at Woodside Energy Group Ltd are A$2.06 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
The dividend yield of Woodside Energy Group Ltd is 3.5% (payout 54.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
The net margin of Woodside Energy Group Ltd is 21.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Woodside Energy Group Ltd is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Woodside Energy Group Ltd is 10.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
The operating margin of Woodside Energy Group Ltd is 19.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
Revenue at Woodside Energy Group Ltd is growing −11.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)?
Earnings per share at Woodside Energy Group Ltd are growing −14.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) generate?
The free cash flow of Woodside Energy Group Ltd is −A$1.5B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) carry?
The net debt of Woodside Energy Group Ltd is A$13.9B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Woodside Energy Group Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Woodside Energy Group Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Some data
Sep 17, 2026