Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 15, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd stock $39.06, price $57.12, that is 31.6% below the price, quality 80 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.35 – $58.96 · fair‑value band $26.84 – $49.46 · the $57.12 price screens above the $39.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Nissan Chemical Corporation engages in the chemicals, performance materials, agricultural chemicals, and pharmaceuticals businesses in Japan and internationally.
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The company provides high purity and custom chemicals; AdBlue, an urea solution; ammonia, sulfuric, and nitric acid, as well as concrete products; TEPIC, an epoxy compound; Melamine Cyanurate, a salt of melamine and iso cyanuric acid; TEPIC-VL, a liquid epoxy compound; Nissan Reishi, a health food; phenylphosphonic acid; HI-LITE, a chlorinated isocyanulate; FINEOXOCOL, a saturated fatty alcohol and acid; HARDBEADS, a spherical fine particles; STARFINE, a Triazine based adhesion; melamine polyphosphate; and NFG, a highly functional additive.
It also offers performance materials comprising display, semiconductor, and inorganic materials; agricultural chemicals, such as herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, etc. for use on agricultural land, as well as in golf courses and parks; and drug substances for antiparasite drugs for animals.
In addition, the company provides pharmaceutical products, such as LIVALO, a antihypercholesterolemic agent; LANDEL and FINTE, a long-acting calcium channel blocker; and APIs and intermediaries, as well as develops NTC-801, a pharmacological therapeutic agent for treatment of arrhythmia.
Further, it develops healthcare, information and communication, and energy materials. The company was formerly known as Nissan Chemical Industries, Ltd. and changed its name to Nissan Chemical Corporation in July 2018.
Nissan Chemical Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY) currently trades at $57.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.06, 32% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $38.85 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $57.12 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.80, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $26.84 (bear) to $49.46 (bull), the price of $57.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥296B in FY2026 versus ¥208B in FY2022, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥52.7B in FY2026, compounding +8.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $7.7B Mid · P/E ratio 23.5 · P/S ratio 4.18 · EPS (TTM) $2.43 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 17.8% · Return on equity 21.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 80 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −32%, NNCHY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$26.84Fair Value $39.06Bull$49.46
Price $57.12 · Downside -31.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7024 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11.0% vs 10.5%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 23%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.4% a year for the price and +2.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (32 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Nissan Chemical benefits from strong margins in specialty chemicals but faces limited public data confirming the durability of its competitive advantages amid commoditization risks in the sector.
Main risk: Chinese rivals with government support and lower production costs could capture share or force price reductions on anti-reflective coatings and multilayer materials for semiconductors, squeezing margins.
Bull case: By accelerating new material development and expanding local manufacturing in China the company could sustain its technological edge and deepen ties with leading Asian chipmakers.
Bear case: If Chinese competitors narrow the technology gap more rapidly the company could lose meaningful share in its core semiconductor materials business and face slower revenue growth.
Nissan Chemical is setting up a new wholly-owned subsidiary in Zhangjiagang, China, to manufacture anti-reflective coatings and multilayer materials for semiconductors right where demand is growing fastest. The move supports its specialty chemicals focus yet comes with only minimal expected impact on near-term results. Our models see the stock as overvalued. Will closer proximity to Chinese customers expand its semiconductor materials edge more than it adds exposure to local market dynamics?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 336 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score80 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−31.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)21.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets14.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)18.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)27.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)12.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)23.5× · Pricier than median
P/B4.76× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)4.23× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)25.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA14.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)64· sector 69
PAST (return on equity)87· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)45· sector 32
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NNCHY
Frequently asked questions
Is Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $39.06 versus the last price from Oct 15, 2026 of $57.12, about 32% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NNCHY?
Our model-based fair value for Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd is $39.06 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 15, 2026): $57.12.
What is the quality score of NNCHY?
Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd has a Quality Score of 80/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $39.06 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $26.84, optimistic scenario $49.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $39.06, about 32% lower versus the last price from Oct 15, 2026 of $57.12 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $26.84, optimistic scenario $49.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥289B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.23% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd pays a dividend of $1.28 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 31, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2014. The payout ratio is 51.1% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.78 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +10.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.2 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NNCHY use?
Our models discount Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.48, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd that is +10.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd grew +7.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +10.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (+10.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.93 %: that much free cash flow Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd it is $39.06 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $57.12. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, NNCHY trades above its calculated fair value: price $57.12, fair value $39.06, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NNCHY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($57.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($39.06). For Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd the two are $18.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd at about $7.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $57.12; our models calculate a fair value of $39.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NNCHY?
Our models span a range for Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd: cautious scenario $26.84, base $39.06, optimistic $49.46 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $57.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NNCHY?
Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.5 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $39.06 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.8, P/S 4.2, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 21.8%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 80/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NNCHY from its 52-week high?
Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd trades at $57.12, about 3% below its 52-week high of $58.96 and 83% above the low of $31.19 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $39.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $57.12, calculated fair value $39.06 (−32%), Quality Score 80/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NNCHY calculated?
We run Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $39.06 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 15, 2026 and stands at $57.12. Our model-based fair value is $39.06, about 32% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd ADR right now?
A high-quality business (quality 80/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($49.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range ($26.84 to $49.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY) come from?
Earnings per share at Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd grew +10.0 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.8 %, EBIT margin +3.6 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
The market capitalisation of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd is $7.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd is 4.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
Earnings per share at Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd are $2.43 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
The dividend yield of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd is 2.2% (payout 52.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
The net margin of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd is 17.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd is 21.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd is 17.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
The operating margin of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd is 27.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
Revenue at Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd is growing +12.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY)?
Earnings per share at Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd are growing +23.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd (NNCHY) carry?
The net debt of Nissan Chemical Industries Ltd is ¥2.7B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026