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China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.30, price HK$0.43, that is 30.0% below the price, quality 21 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical HK · ISIN KYG211351500

CA China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd

0048 · HK
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 30% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter 50% below a year ago.
Fair value HK$0.2975 · Overvalued
Quality 21/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.3 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -30.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 13/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.9063 HK$0.0544 Fair Value HK$0.2975 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0544 – HK$0.9063 · fair‑value band HK$0.1955 – HK$0.3740 · the HK$0.4250 price screens above the HK$0.2975 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells nonwoven fabric related products for applications in automotive interior decoration parts and other parts in the People's Republic of China.

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It operates through Nonwoven Fabric Products and Supply; and Procurement Operation segment. The company engages in trading rubber and garment accessories, as well as offers financial services.

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in North Point, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048) currently trades at HK$0.4250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2975, 30% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1955 (bear) to HK$0.3740 (bull), the price of HK$0.4250 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 102M CNY in FY2025 versus 182M CNY in FY2021, a compound −13.4%/yr. Reported net income was −20.8M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$215M (≈ $27.4M) Micro · P/S ratio 3.06 · Net margin −20.4% · Return on equity −11.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1.9% · Revenue (TTM) 70.1M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −49.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 213% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −30%, 0048 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1955 Fair Value HK$0.2975 Bull HK$0.3740
Price HK$0.4250 · Downside -30.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2300 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4400 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2300 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4400 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 2
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 62
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 41
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 41
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 90
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 91
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.3% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.7% (2020) → −19.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

0048 screens overvalued: fair value 30% below the price. Compare with Tongkun Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 338 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −30.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −7.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −30.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −1.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −49.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 2.61× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 41.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0048

Frequently asked questions

Is China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2975 versus a price of HK$0.4250, about 30% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0048?
Our model-based fair value for China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2975 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4250.
What is the quality score of 0048?
China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2975 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1955, optimistic scenario HK$0.3740. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2975, about 30% lower versus a price of HK$0.4250 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1955, optimistic scenario HK$0.3740. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 70.1M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2975 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4250. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 0048 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4250, fair value HK$0.2975, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0048?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2975). For China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1275 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd at about HK$215M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4250; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2975 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0048?
Our models span a range for China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1955, base HK$0.2975, optimistic HK$0.3740 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price HK$0.4250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −11.8%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0048 from its 52-week high?
China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.4250, about 13% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4900 and 213% above the low of HK$0.1359 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2975 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price HK$0.4250, calculated fair value HK$0.2975 (−30%), Quality Score 21/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0048 calculated?
We run China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.2975 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was HK$0.4250. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2975, about 30% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3740). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1955 to HK$0.3740) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
The market capitalisation of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd is HK$215M (≈ $27.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd is 3.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
The net margin of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd is −20.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd is −11.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd is −4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
The operating margin of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd is −1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
Revenue at China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd is growing −49.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048)?
Earnings per share at China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd are growing +39.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048) generate?
The free cash flow of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd is −32.9M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd (0048) hold?
China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 3.7M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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