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China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings (0048) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$164M

CA China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings 0048 · HK
PriceHK$0.3650
Fair ValueHK$0.4200
Upside+15.1%
Quality20/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -20.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.3900 – HK$0.4600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.4400 to HK$0.4200 (−4.5%) since Jul 1, 2026.

Below-average quality, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.9063 HK$0.0544 Fair Value HK$0.4200 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0544 – HK$0.9063 · fair‑value band HK$0.3900 – HK$0.4600 · the HK$0.3650 price screens below the HK$0.4200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings (0048) currently trades at HK$0.3650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4200, implying the stock looks roughly 15.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings generated revenue of HK$102M at a net margin of -20.4%. Revenue declined 52.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$3.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3900 (bear case) to HK$0.4600 (bull case); at HK$0.3650, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 192% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 15%, 0048 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$0.3300 HK$0.3600 HK$0.3900 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3300 HK$0.3900 HK$0.4500 61
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2100 HK$0.2900 HK$0.4300 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3300 HK$0.3600 HK$0.3900 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3300 HK$0.3900 HK$0.4500 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2100 HK$0.2900 HK$0.4300 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.3600) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.2900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$102M
Revenue growth (YoY) -52.2%
Net margin -20.4%
Return on equity -11.4%
Free cash flow −HK$32.9M FY2025
Operating margin 5.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +39.3%
Net cash HK$3.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 23
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells nonwoven fabric related products for applications in automotive interior decoration parts and other parts in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Nonwoven Fabric Products and Supply; and Procurement Operation segment.

Full company description

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells nonwoven fabric related products for applications in automotive interior decoration parts and other parts in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Nonwoven Fabric Products and Supply; and Procurement Operation segment. The company engages in trading rubber and garment accessories, as well as offers financial services. China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in North Point, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings reported revenue of HK$102M in FY2025 versus HK$182M in FY2021, a compound −13.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$20.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$102M
Latest YoY
−20.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Revenue −13.4%/yr
FY21 HK$182M
FY22 HK$184M
FY23 HK$114M
FY24 HK$129M
FY25 HK$102M
Net income
FY21 −HK$410K
FY22 −HK$78.6M
FY23 HK$30.0M
FY24 HK$27.4M
FY25 −HK$20.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0048

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth -52% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 53 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings (0048) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4200 versus a price of HK$0.3650, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0048?
Our model-based fair value for China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings is HK$0.4200 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3650.
What is the quality score of 0048?
China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings (0048)?
China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$102M (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0048?
The net profit margin of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings is about -20.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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