Saudi Chemical Company (2230) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 8, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Saudi Chemical Company stock SAR 8.26, price SAR 6.25, upside +32.2%, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.92 SAR – 11.83 SAR · fair‑value band 5.88 SAR – 10.65 SAR · the 6.25 SAR price screens below the 8.26 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Saudi Chemical Holding Company engages in the manufacture, distribution, and retail of medicines, medical materials and syrups, pharmaceutical preparations, medical and surgical tools and equipment, supplies of hospitals and medical centers and its related spare parts, and food products.
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The company operates through three segments: Explosives; Medicine and Medical Supplies; and Production of Ammonium Nitrate.
It also manufactures and sells explosives and related products for civilian and military use; provides technical support services in explosions; and the manufacture of ammonium nitrate.
In addition, the company engages in the wholesale and retail trade of cosmetics, perfumes, beauty soups, and other supplies; and packaging and storing of medicines and other medical products.
Further, it manages, invests funds, and owning real estate; provides loans and guarantees, and financing, as well as owning industrial rights. It operates in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Saudi Chemical Company (2230) currently trades at 6.25 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.26 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 24% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 9.87 SAR per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the 6.25 SAR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 4.33 SAR, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 5.88 SAR (bear) to 10.65 SAR (bull), the price of 6.25 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Saudi Chemical Company reported revenue of 6.9B SAR in FY2025 versus 3.4B SAR in FY2021, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was 335M SAR in FY2025, compounding +48.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.2B SAR (≈ $1.4B) Small · P/E ratio 14.9 · P/S ratio 0.74 · EPS (TTM) 0.4200 SAR · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 5.0% · Return on equity 15.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 32%, 2230 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear5.88 SARFair Value 8.26 SARBull10.65 SAR
Price 6.25 SAR · Upside +32.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2744 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
≈ +42.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +40.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 37.1% / 1.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 7%
2025 sits 84% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.083 per share, median 0.23 in 2015 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 549 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+32.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)5.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.19× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saudi Chemical Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2230
Frequently asked questions
Is Saudi Chemical Company (2230) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.26 SAR versus a price of 6.25 SAR, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2230?
Our model-based fair value for Saudi Chemical Company is 8.26 SAR (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 6.25 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2230?
Saudi Chemical Company has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.26 SAR (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.88 SAR, optimistic scenario 10.65 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Saudi Chemical Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.26 SAR, about +32% upside versus a price of 6.25 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 5.88 SAR, optimistic scenario 10.65 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
Saudi Chemical Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.0B SAR (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Saudi Chemical Company pay a dividend?
Saudi Chemical Company currently shows a dividend yield of 1.60% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Saudi Chemical Company (2230) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Saudi Chemical Company pays a dividend of 0.1 SAR per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.6%. The last ex-dividend date was May 14, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2021. The payout ratio is 23.8% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 5.31 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Saudi Chemical Company would have to grow free cash flow by +4.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.8 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2230 use?
Our models discount Saudi Chemical Company at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Saudi Chemical Company that is +4.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Saudi Chemical Company (2230) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Saudi Chemical Company grew +15.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +4.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Saudi Chemical Company (2230) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Saudi Chemical Company (+4.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.54 %: that much free cash flow Saudi Chemical Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Saudi Chemical Company it is 8.26 SAR per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 6.25 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Saudi Chemical Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 2230 trades below its calculated fair value: price 6.25 SAR, fair value 8.26 SAR, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2230?
No. The price is what the market pays today (6.25 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.26 SAR). For Saudi Chemical Company the two are 2.01 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Saudi Chemical Company worth?
The market values Saudi Chemical Company at about 5.2B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 6.25 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 8.26 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2230?
Our models span a range for Saudi Chemical Company: cautious scenario 5.88 SAR, base 8.26 SAR, optimistic 10.65 SAR per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 6.25 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2230?
Saudi Chemical Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.9 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 8.26 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 10.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
Balance-sheet figures for Saudi Chemical Company (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 15.1%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2230 from its 52-week high?
Saudi Chemical Company trades at 6.25 SAR, about 29% below its 52-week high of 8.86 SAR and 14% above the low of 5.46 SAR (as of Nov 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.26 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Saudi Chemical Company?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Merck KGaA, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company, Galderma Group, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Saudi Chemical Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 6.25 SAR, calculated fair value 8.26 SAR (+32%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2230 calculated?
We run Saudi Chemical Company through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 8.26 SAR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Saudi Chemical Company currently trades 24% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
The closing price on Nov 8, 2026 was 6.25 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 8.26 SAR, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Saudi Chemical Company right now?
Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (5.88 SAR to 10.65 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Saudi Chemical Company (2230) come from?
Earnings per share at Saudi Chemical Company grew −1.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.8 %, EBIT margin −5.5 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Saudi Chemical Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
The market capitalisation of Saudi Chemical Company is 5.2B SAR (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Saudi Chemical Company is 0.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
Earnings per share at Saudi Chemical Company are 0.4200 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
The dividend yield of Saudi Chemical Company is 1.6% (payout 23.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
The net margin of Saudi Chemical Company is 5.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Saudi Chemical Company is 15.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Saudi Chemical Company is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
The operating margin of Saudi Chemical Company is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
Revenue at Saudi Chemical Company is growing +4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Saudi Chemical Company (2230)?
Earnings per share at Saudi Chemical Company are growing +16.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Saudi Chemical Company (2230) carry?
The net debt of Saudi Chemical Company is 1.1B SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026