Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 2, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd stock ¥11.76, price ¥31.87, that is 63.1% below the price, quality 71 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥14.65 – ¥67.77 · fair‑value band ¥11.47 – ¥12.52 · the ¥31.87 price screens above the ¥11.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co., Ltd engages in the research, development, production, testing, and sale of control systems and their components, optical elements and systems, and optoelectronic products primarily in China.
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The company offers infrared thermal imagers, laser sensors, global positioning systems, command information systems, and command and control systems.
It also provides optoelectronic system, such as photovoltaic turret, spectrometer, and industrial testing products; infrared thermal imager and mechanism products; distance measuring and irradiation modules; infrared lens, visible light lens, optical measuring instruments, and coating and custom processing products.
The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China. Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co., Ltd is a subsidiary of Huazhong Institute of Optoelectronics Technology.
Stock analysis
Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516) currently trades at ¥31.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.76, 63.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥7.72 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥31.87 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at ¥1.97, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥11.47 (bear) to ¥12.52 (bull), the price of ¥31.87 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd reported revenue of 681M CNY in FY2025 versus 729M CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was 24.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −25.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.3B CNY (≈ $1.1B) Small · P/E ratio 289.7 · P/S ratio 10.7 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1100 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −63%, 300516 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.6700 to ¥30.80). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥11.47Fair Value ¥11.76Bull¥12.52
Price ¥31.87 · Downside -63.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0597 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF¥9.73¥14.62¥21.9680
Growth DCF¥9.69¥14.18¥20.6278
Owner Earnings¥4.80¥6.68¥9.5077
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥9.73¥14.62¥21.9680
Owner Earnings¥4.80¥6.68¥9.5077
5Y Revenue Exit¥4.91¥5.61¥6.3374
5Y EBITDA Exit¥5.97¥7.72¥9.7277
5Y P/E Exit¥5.81¥7.42¥9.0972
10Y Revenue Exit¥6.66¥7.85¥9.2368
10Y EBITDA Exit¥7.33¥9.27¥11.8070
10Y P/E Exit¥7.23¥9.06¥11.3165
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥0.6500¥2.65¥3.6164
Lynch FV¥0.6600¥0.9500¥1.2361
PEG = 1.0¥0.6600¥0.9500¥1.2357
EPV¥2.05¥2.10¥2.1474
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥0.4000¥0.7500¥1.0667
DDM Multi-Stage¥0.4000¥0.6700¥0.800067
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥2.01¥2.68¥3.3663
P/S Multiple¥1.22¥1.63¥2.0458
P/B Multiple¥23.10¥30.80¥38.5055
EV/EBIT¥1.91¥2.17¥2.4466
EV/EBITDA¥3.41¥4.18¥4.9467
EV/Revenue¥1.53¥1.70¥1.8754
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥2.42¥3.66¥4.5755
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥9.69¥14.18¥20.6278
Rev-Margin DCF¥4.91¥5.75¥6.8574
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥3.18¥3.26¥3.4776
ROIC Compounder¥2.05¥2.10¥2.1472
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥1.38¥1.97¥2.5667
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.8% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−18.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18.7% vs −17.1%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 2%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.8% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 165 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300516
Frequently asked questions
Is Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.76 versus a price of ¥31.87, about 63% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300516?
Our model-based fair value for Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd is ¥11.76 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥31.87.
What is the quality score of 300516?
Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥11.76 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.47, optimistic scenario ¥12.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥11.76, about 63% lower versus a price of ¥31.87 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.47, optimistic scenario ¥12.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 684M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.12% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +17.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.2 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300516 use?
Our models discount Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd that is +17.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd grew -1.2 % a year. The price currently implies +17.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (+17.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.30 %: that much free cash flow Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd it is ¥11.76 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of ¥31.87. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 300516 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥31.87, fair value ¥11.76, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300516?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥31.87); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥11.76). For Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd the two are ¥20.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd at about 7.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is ¥31.87; our models calculate a fair value of ¥11.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300516?
Our models span a range for Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥11.47, base ¥11.76, optimistic ¥12.52 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price ¥31.87). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300516?
Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 289.7 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥11.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.6, P/S 10.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300516 from its 52-week high?
Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd trades at ¥31.87, about 53% below its 52-week high of ¥67.77 and 25% above the low of ¥25.50 (as of Nov 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥11.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Coherent Corp, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price ¥31.87, calculated fair value ¥11.76 (−63%), Quality Score 71/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300516 calculated?
We run Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥11.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
The closing price on Nov 2, 2026 was ¥31.87. Our model-based fair value is ¥11.76, about 63% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (71/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥11.47 to ¥12.52), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
The market capitalisation of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd is 7.3B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd is 10.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
Earnings per share at Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd are ¥0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 289.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
The dividend yield of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd is 0.1% (payout 35.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
The net margin of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd is 4.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
The operating margin of Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
Revenue at Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd is growing +14.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516)?
Earnings per share at Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd are growing +88.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd (300516) hold?
Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 285M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 3, 2026