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Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd stock TWD 128, price TWD 394, that is 67.5% below the price, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology TW · ISIN KYG989221000

ZD Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd logo Some data Nov 3, 2026

Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd

4958 · TW
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 67% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +27% vs. a year ago.
Quality 43/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.8 %/yr in TWD)
Thin margins · 4.8% net margin (TTM)
0.9% dividend yield · Token dividend
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Some data
Fair value 128.12 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−67.5%)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 39/100

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Apple diversification and China+1 shift🚩Glass core and panel-level packaging shift🚩Japanese and Korean substrate incumbents

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

646.00 TWD 81.89 TWD Fair Value 128.12 TWD Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 81.89 TWD – 646.00 TWD · fair‑value band 89.68 TWD – 166.55 TWD · the 394.00 TWD price screens above the 128.12 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhen Ding Technology Holding Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of printed circuit boards (PCB) products in the United States, Mainland China, Taiwan, Singapore, and internationally.

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The company offers flexible circuit boards, substrate-like PCBs, high-density interconnect PCBs, rigid printed circuit boards, IC substrates, rigid-flex PCBs, and modules.

Its products are used in various applications, including mobile phones, computers, wearables, AR/VR, smart home, other consumer, data center, base station, networking, automotive, and robot and industrial.

The company was formerly known as Foxconn Advanced Technology Limited and changed its name to Zhen Ding Technology Holding Limited in June 2011. Zhen Ding Technology Holding Limited was founded in 1995 and is based in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands.

Stock analysis

Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958) currently trades at 394.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 128.12 TWD, 67% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 142.16 TWD per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the 394.00 TWD price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 23.81 TWD, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 89.68 TWD (bear) to 166.55 TWD (bull), the price of 394.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd reported revenue of 183B TWD in FY2025 versus 155B TWD in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was 6.8B TWD in FY2025, compounding −8.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 445B TWD (≈ $13.5B) Large · P/E ratio 44.4 · P/S ratio 2.12 · EPS (TTM) 8.87 TWD · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 190% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −67%, 4958 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (23.81 TWD to 346.78 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 89.68 TWD Fair Value 128.12 TWD Bull 166.55 TWD
Price 394.00 TWD · Downside -67.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.59 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 81.60 TWD 81.60 TWD 85.55 TWD 76
EPV 73.63 TWD 80.06 TWD 85.40 TWD 73
ROIC Compounder 73.63 TWD 80.06 TWD 85.40 TWD 71
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 41.66 TWD 174.19 TWD 237.56 TWD 64
Lynch FV 44.13 TWD 63.04 TWD 81.95 TWD 61
PEG = 1.0 44.13 TWD 63.04 TWD 81.95 TWD 57
EPV 73.63 TWD 80.06 TWD 85.40 TWD 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 20.37 TWD 36.39 TWD 49.73 TWD 68
DDM Multi-Stage 20.37 TWD 33.39 TWD 38.91 TWD 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 128.65 TWD 171.53 TWD 214.41 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 78.11 TWD 104.14 TWD 130.18 TWD 57
P/B Multiple 106.62 TWD 142.16 TWD 177.70 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 155.32 TWD 203.60 TWD 251.89 TWD 65
EV/EBITDA 262.70 TWD 346.78 TWD 430.85 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 83.69 TWD 115.08 TWD 146.46 TWD 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 15.72 TWD 23.81 TWD 29.77 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 81.60 TWD 81.60 TWD 85.55 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 73.63 TWD 80.06 TWD 85.40 TWD 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 89.68 TWD 128.12 TWD 166.55 TWD 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 31
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 42
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 74
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 45
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 9
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 57
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 75
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 29
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.8% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7.8% vs −2.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 8%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

4958 screens overvalued: fair value 67% below the price. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 652 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 8.1% · Above median
Return on assets 3.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 7.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 7.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 26.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 44.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.59× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 3.60× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 17.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.31× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 69
PAST (return on equity)32 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)18 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 235.00 TWD 292.29 TWD +24% vs 4958
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 2,565 TWD 2,737 TWD +7% vs 4958
TE Connectivity plc TEL $220.22 $224.30 +2% vs 4958
Amphenol Corporation APH $79.01 $70.91 −10% vs 4958
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥77.78 ¥66.42 −15% vs 4958
Celestica Inc CLS $236.41 $109.91 −54% vs 4958
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,130 TWD 519.57 TWD −54% vs 4958
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥50.86 ¥18.44 −64% vs 4958
Corning Incorporated GLW $118.77 $33.72 −72% vs 4958
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 944,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −82% vs 4958

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Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4958

Frequently asked questions

Is Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 128.12 TWD versus a price of 394.00 TWD, about 67% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4958?
Our model-based fair value for Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is 128.12 TWD (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 394.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4958?
Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 128.12 TWD (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 89.68 TWD, optimistic scenario 166.55 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 128.12 TWD, about 67% lower versus a price of 394.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 89.68 TWD, optimistic scenario 166.55 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 193B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd pay a dividend?
Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.88% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd it is 128.12 TWD per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 394.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 4958 trades above its calculated fair value: price 394.00 TWD, fair value 128.12 TWD, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4958?
No. The price is what the market pays today (394.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (128.12 TWD). For Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd the two are 265.88 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd worth?
The market values Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd at about 445B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 394.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 128.12 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4958?
Our models span a range for Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd: cautious scenario 89.68 TWD, base 128.12 TWD, optimistic 166.55 TWD per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 394.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4958?
Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.4 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 128.12 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 13.6. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 3.6, P/S 3.6, EV/EBITDA 17.7.
What is the PEG ratio of 4958?
The PEG ratio of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is 0.31 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 8.1%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4958 from its 52-week high?
Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd trades at 394.00 TWD, about 39% below its 52-week high of 646.00 TWD and 190% above the low of 136.00 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 128.12 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 394.00 TWD, calculated fair value 128.12 TWD (−67%), Quality Score 43/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4958 calculated?
We run Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 128.12 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was 394.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 128.12 TWD, about 67% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (166.55 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (89.68 TWD to 166.55 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958) come from?
Earnings per share at Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd grew +0.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.5 %, EBIT margin −2.4 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
The market capitalisation of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is 445B TWD (≈ $13.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is 2.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
Earnings per share at Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd are 8.87 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
The dividend yield of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is 0.9% (payout 38.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
The net margin of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
The operating margin of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
Revenue at Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is growing +26.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958)?
Earnings per share at Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd are growing +246% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is −4.8B TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd (4958) hold?
Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd holds more cash than debt, 18.1B TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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