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Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. stock ¥5.95, price ¥13.19, that is 54.9% below the price, quality 65 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services CN · ISIN CNE100005VG7

CS Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. logo Some data Nov 5, 2026

Capital Securities Corp. Ltd.

601136 · SHG
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 55% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 65/100
Highly profitable · 44.6% net margin (TTM)
Generates free cash flow
Profit last quarter +47% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +17.1 %/yr in CNY)
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Wide moat 66/100 · thin data
Some data
Fair value ¥5.95 · Strongly overvalued (−54.9%)
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥29.47 ¥9.88 Fair Value ¥5.95 Dec 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

46‑month range ¥9.88 – ¥29.47 · fair‑value band ¥4.19 – ¥7.44 · the ¥13.19 price screens above the ¥5.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Capital Securities Corporation Limited operates in the financial securities industry in China. It operates through Wealth Management Business, Asset Management Business, Investment Business, Investment Banking Business, and Others segments.

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The company offers wealth management services, including mutual and private equity funds, margin and credit trading, trust, and credit services, as well as brokerage services, including trading, research, and product sales support services.

It also provides fixed income services, such as short-term financing, exchange-traded privately placed corporate bonds, treasury bonds, central bank bills, medium-term notes, financial and convertible bonds, and derivatives.

In addition, the company offers investment banking services; equity financing services comprising initial public offerings and refinancing; mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and financial advisory services consisting of major asset purchases or sales, share issuance for asset acquisition, cross-border M&A, mergers and spin-offs, backdoor listings, equity incentives, and market capitalization management; capital intermediary services, including M&A and equity investment funds, M&A and bridge financing, structured and mezzanine financing, and bond resale; and debt financing services, such as corporate bonds, financial bonds, company bonds, and asset securitization services.

Further, it provides stock sponsorship and underwriting; bond issuance and underwriting; securities brokerage; commodity futures and financial futures brokerage; asset management; equity investment management; financial consulting; project investment; and consulting services for non-securities businesses.

The company serves corporate, institutional, retail, and high-net-worth clients. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Capital Securities Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of Beijing Capital Venture Group Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136) currently trades at ¥13.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.95, 55% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥5.95 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥13.19 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.29, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥4.19 (bear) to ¥7.44 (bull), the price of ¥13.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. reported revenue of 2.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding +5.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 36.1B CNY (≈ $5.4B) Mid · P/E ratio 29.3 · P/S ratio 13.0 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.4500 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 44.6% · Return on equity 8.4% · Return on assets 2.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 66 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −55%, 601136 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥4.19 Fair Value ¥5.95 Bull ¥7.44
Price ¥13.19 · Downside -54.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3847 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥4.19 ¥4.47 ¥4.94 73
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.05 ¥5.32 ¥6.59 64
Gordon GGM ¥3.05 ¥6.27 ¥9.84 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.05 ¥6.27 ¥9.84 63
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.05 ¥5.32 ¥6.59 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.77 ¥5.02 ¥6.28 63
P/B Multiple ¥5.15 ¥6.87 ¥8.59 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.45 ¥3.29 ¥4.91 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.19 ¥4.47 ¥4.94 73

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 42
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 68
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 77
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 86
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 16
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+17.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
2025 sits 51% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.7% a year for the price.

601136 screens overvalued: fair value 55% below the price. Compare with Morgan Stanley →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 384 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −54.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 8.4% · Below median
Return on assets 2.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 44.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 55.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 14.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 29.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.62× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 12.99× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 64.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 42
FUTURE (revenue growth)72 · sector 68
PAST (return on equity)33 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)49 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Morgan Stanley MS $181.44 $260.72 +44% vs 601136
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $91.49 $117.60 +29% vs 601136
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥16.46 ¥18.02 +9% vs 601136
Nomura Holdings NMR $9.42 $10.20 +8% vs 601136
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $865.82 $766.86 −11% vs 601136
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥25.72 ¥20.42 −21% vs 601136
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $80.91 $47.60 −41% vs 601136
Macquarie Group MQG A$248.86 A$123.84 −50% vs 601136
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥18.78 ¥6.72 −64% vs 601136
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR $75.82 $17.48 −77% vs 601136

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Capital Securities Corp. Ltd.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601136

Frequently asked questions

Is Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.95 versus a price of ¥13.19, about 55% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601136?
Our model-based fair value for Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. is ¥5.95 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.19.
What is the quality score of 601136?
Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.95 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.19, optimistic scenario ¥7.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.95, about 55% lower versus a price of ¥13.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.19, optimistic scenario ¥7.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 2.43% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. has a dividend yield of 2.4%.
What growth is priced into Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +18.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +4.9 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 601136 use?
Our models discount Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.05, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. that is +18.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. grew +4.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +18.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (+18.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.55 %: that much free cash flow Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. it is ¥5.95 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥13.19. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 601136 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.19, fair value ¥5.95, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601136?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.95). For Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. the two are ¥7.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. worth?
The market values Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. at about 36.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.19; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601136?
Our models span a range for Capital Securities Corp. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥4.19, base ¥5.95, optimistic ¥7.44 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥13.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601136?
Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.3 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥5.95 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 13.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
Balance-sheet figures for Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 8.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601136 from its 52-week high?
Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. trades at ¥13.19, about 37% below its 52-week high of ¥20.87 and 6% above the low of ¥12.50 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Capital Securities Corp. Ltd.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥13.19, calculated fair value ¥5.95 (−55%), Quality Score 65/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601136 calculated?
We run Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥5.95 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥13.19. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.95, about 55% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
The market capitalisation of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. is 36.1B CNY (≈ $5.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. is 13.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
Earnings per share at Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. are ¥0.4500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
The dividend yield of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. is 2.4% (payout 71.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
The net margin of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. is 44.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. is 8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the return on assets of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
The return on assets (ROA) of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to everything the company owns. Harder to inflate than return on equity because debt does not boost it.
What is the operating margin of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
The operating margin of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. is 55.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
Revenue at Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. is growing +14.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136)?
Earnings per share at Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. are growing +47.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. (601136) carry?
The net debt of Capital Securities Corp. Ltd. is 3.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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