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Data-driven stock valuation

Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology stock ¥4.54, price ¥18.80, that is 75.9% below the price, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology CN · ISIN CNE100003NM7

HH Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology logo Some data Nov 7, 2026

Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology

688288 · SHG
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 76% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 57/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.9 %/yr in CNY)
Loss over the last twelve months · -2.2% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 4.2%
0.5% dividend yield · Token dividend
Some data
Fair value ¥4.54 · Strongly overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 25/100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥51.36 ¥10.77 Fair Value ¥4.54 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.77 – ¥51.36 · fair‑value band ¥4.49 – ¥4.89 · the ¥18.80 price screens above the ¥4.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Hangzhou Hopechart IoT Technology Co.,Ltd engages in the development, production, and sale of driving systems and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) in the People's Republic of China.

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The company offers intelligent network products, including intelligent driving systems and vehicle networking terminals; hardware, such as various types of driving recorders and T-BOX, sensors; and ADAS and other products that are used to record and store the driving speed, time, mileage, location, and other information of heavy trucks and other vehicles.

It also provides smart cockpit products, which includes human-computer interaction terminals; and specific products, including vehicle central control screens, car instruments, and other cockpit products.

In addition, the company offers vehicle central control panels, such as body control systems, door control systems, gateways, integrated temperature control systems, thermal management controllers, car air-conditioning controllers, car refrigerator controllers, seat Chair controller, and other automotive controller products.

Further, it engages in development of software platform. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288) currently trades at ¥18.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.54, 76% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥10.03 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥18.80 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.4900, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥4.49 (bear) to ¥4.89 (bull), the price of ¥18.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology reported revenue of 698M CNY in FY2025 versus 406M CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was 29.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.9B CNY (≈ $286M) Micro · P/S ratio 2.53 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1600 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −2.2% · Return on equity −2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −76%, 688288 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥4.49 Fair Value ¥4.54 Bull ¥4.89
Price ¥18.80 · Downside -75.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥4.49 ¥4.54 ¥4.89 76
Owner Earnings ¥0.7700 ¥1.26 ¥2.08 72
EPV ¥2.02 ¥2.22 ¥2.38 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥0.7700 ¥1.26 ¥2.08 72
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.00 ¥13.98 ¥19.62 63
Lynch FV ¥4.69 ¥6.70 ¥8.71 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.69 ¥6.70 ¥8.71 57
EPV ¥2.02 ¥2.22 ¥2.38 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3100 ¥0.5000 ¥0.6300 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3100 ¥0.4800 ¥0.5400 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.19 ¥8.25 ¥10.32 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.76 ¥5.01 ¥6.26 58
P/B Multiple ¥18.25 ¥24.33 ¥30.41 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.85 ¥5.62 ¥7.40 62
EV/EBITDA ¥6.14 ¥8.68 ¥11.22 64
EV/Revenue ¥1.22 ¥2.38 ¥3.53 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.93 ¥4.44 ¥5.55 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.49 ¥4.54 ¥4.89 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.02 ¥2.22 ¥2.38 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.02 ¥10.03 ¥13.04 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 44
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 91
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 1
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 76
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 86
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 63
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 22
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 11
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 62
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+33.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−19.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19.9% vs −4.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

688288 screens overvalued: fair value 76% below the price. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 160 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 2.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −2.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −2.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 9.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.52× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 2.63× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 59.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)47 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)11 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Garmin Ltd GRMN $285.57 $314.13 +10% vs 688288
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY $618.60 $680.46 +10% vs 688288
MKS Inc MKSI $192.27 $199.16 +4% vs 688288
Cognex Corporation CGNX $47.78 $38.10 −20% vs 688288
Fortive Corporation FTV $65.37 $35.67 −45% vs 688288
Trimble Inc TRMB $54.11 $29.48 −46% vs 688288
Chroma ATE Inc 2360 1,250 TWD 607.12 TWD −51% vs 688288
Coherent Corp COHR $192.81 $92.93 −52% vs 688288
Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS $272.13 $117.27 −57% vs 688288
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥70.00 ¥12.60 −82% vs 688288

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Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688288

Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.54 versus a price of ¥18.80, about 76% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688288?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is ¥4.54 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥18.80.
What is the quality score of 688288?
Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.54 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.49, optimistic scenario ¥4.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.54, about 76% lower versus a price of ¥18.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.49, optimistic scenario ¥4.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 726M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology currently shows a dividend yield of 0.53% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology pays a dividend of ¥0.1 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 3, 2026. The payout ratio is 33.9% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.5% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.5% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology it is ¥4.54 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥18.80. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 688288 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥18.80, fair value ¥4.54, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688288?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥18.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.54). For Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology the two are ¥14.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology worth?
The market values Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology at about 1.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥18.80; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688288?
Our models span a range for Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology: cautious scenario ¥4.49, base ¥4.54, optimistic ¥4.89 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥18.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −2.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688288 from its 52-week high?
Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology trades at ¥18.80, about 39% below its 52-week high of ¥30.66 and 22% above the low of ¥15.41 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Coherent Corp, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥18.80, calculated fair value ¥4.54 (−76%), Quality Score 57/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688288 calculated?
We run Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥4.54 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥18.80. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.54, about 76% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥4.49 to ¥4.89), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology

How large is the market capitalisation of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The market capitalisation of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is 1.9B CNY (≈ $286M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is 2.53 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology are ¥−0.1600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The dividend yield of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The net margin of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is −2.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is −2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is −2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The operating margin of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is −2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Revenue at Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is growing +9.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +42.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology are growing −92.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288) generate?
The free cash flow of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is −57.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288) carry?
The net debt of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is 146M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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