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Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology ¥4.54, price ¥19.90, upside -77.2%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100003NM7

HH Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology

688288 · SHG

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥4.54 · Strongly overvalued (−77%)
!Quality 57/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.3% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
·0.50% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Weak on past: 2 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 10 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥51.36 ¥10.77 Fair Value ¥4.54 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.77 – ¥51.36 · fair‑value band ¥3.85 – ¥4.54 · the ¥19.90 price screens above the ¥4.54 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Hangzhou Hopechart IoT Technology Co.,Ltd engages in the development, production, and sale of driving systems and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) in the People's Republic of China.

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Hangzhou Hopechart IoT Technology Co.,Ltd engages in the development, production, and sale of driving systems and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) in the People's Republic of China. The company offers intelligent network products, including intelligent driving systems and vehicle networking terminals; hardware, such as various types of driving recorders and T-BOX, sensors; and ADAS and other products that are used to record and store the driving speed, time, mileage, location, and other information of heavy trucks and other vehicles. It also provides smart cockpit products, which includes human-computer interaction terminals; and specific products, including vehicle central control screens, car instruments, and other cockpit products. In addition, the company offers vehicle central control panels, such as body control systems, door control systems, gateways, integrated temperature control systems, thermal management controllers, car air-conditioning controllers, car refrigerator controllers, seat Chair controller, and other automotive controller products. Further, it engages in development of software platform. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288) currently trades at ¥19.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.54, implying the stock looks roughly 338.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥10.03 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥19.90 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.5200, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥3.85 (bear) to ¥4.54 (bull), the price of ¥19.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology reported revenue of 698M CNY in FY2025 versus 406M CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was 29.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 2.0B CNY (≈ $301M) · P/E ratio 995.0 · P/S ratio 42.0 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0200 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −77%, 688288 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.85 Fair Value ¥4.54 Bull ¥4.54
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.03 ¥4.72 ¥3.63 76
Owner Earnings ¥3.95 ¥7.52 ¥13.76 70
EPV ¥2.14 ¥2.37 ¥2.55 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥3.95 ¥7.52 ¥13.76 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.00 ¥13.98 ¥19.62 63
Lynch FV ¥4.69 ¥6.70 ¥8.71 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.69 ¥6.70 ¥8.71 57
EPV ¥2.14 ¥2.37 ¥2.55 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3300 ¥0.5500 ¥0.7100 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3300 ¥0.5200 ¥0.5900 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.19 ¥8.25 ¥10.32 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.76 ¥5.01 ¥6.26 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.76 ¥5.01 ¥6.26 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.56 ¥7.33 ¥9.10 63
EV/EBITDA ¥7.85 ¥10.38 ¥12.92 64
EV/Revenue ¥2.93 ¥4.08 ¥5.23 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.79 ¥5.08 ¥7.58 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.03 ¥4.72 ¥3.63 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.14 ¥2.37 ¥2.55 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.02 ¥10.03 ¥13.04 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 91
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 62
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+33.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−19.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20% vs −5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

688288 screens 338% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

Compare Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 160 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 995.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.68× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.85× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 43.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)38 · sector 26
PAST (return on equity)2 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)10 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS $347.32 $115.39 −67%
Garmin Ltd GRMN $284.67 $304.44 +7%
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY $621.05 $683.16 +10%
Chroma ATE Inc 2360 2,295 TWD 618.78 TWD −73%
MKS Inc MKSI $260.37 $201.24 −23%
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥59.95 ¥19.61 −67%
Fortive Corporation FTV $55.95 $34.86 −38%
Trimble Inc TRMB $59.30 $29.11 −51%
Cognex Corporation CGNX $58.19 $38.50 −34%
Wuhan Guide Infrared Co 002414 ¥12.23 ¥9.52 −22%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688288

Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.54 versus a price of ¥19.90, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688288?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is ¥4.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.90.
What is the quality score of 688288?
Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.85, optimistic scenario ¥4.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.54, about −77% upside versus a price of ¥19.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.85, optimistic scenario ¥4.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 710M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.50% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology it is ¥4.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥19.90. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688288 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥19.90, fair value ¥4.54, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688288?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥19.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.54). For Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology the two are ¥15.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology worth?
The market values Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology at about 2.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥19.90; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688288?
Our models span a range for Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology: cautious scenario ¥3.85, base ¥4.54, optimistic ¥4.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥19.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688288 from its 52-week high?
Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology trades at ¥19.90, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥31.10 and 29% above the low of ¥15.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥19.90, calculated fair value ¥4.54 (−77%), Quality Score 57/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688288 calculated?
We run Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥19.90. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.54, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology

How large is the market capitalisation of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The market capitalisation of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is 2.0B CNY (≈ $301M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is 995.0. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is 42.0 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology are ¥0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 995.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The dividend yield of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The net margin of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is 4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is −2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
The operating margin of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Revenue at Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is growing +7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +42.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology are growing −92.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288) generate?
The free cash flow of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is −57.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology (688288) carry?
The net debt of Hangzhou Hopechart Iot Technology is 146M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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