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Data-driven stock valuation

Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Almonty Industries Inc. stock $4.51, price $8.14, that is 44.6% below the price, quality 23 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials US · Home Canada · ISIN CA0203987072

AI Almonty Industries Inc. logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Almonty Industries Inc.

ALM · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 45% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 125.2% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Upbeat coverage
38% return on equity.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.5 %/yr in CAD)
Fair value $4.51 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 23/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$23.42 $0.6998 Fair Value $4.51 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6998 – $23.42 · fair‑value band $3.38 – $5.63 · the $8.14 price screens above the $4.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for tin and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Canada, Korea, Portugal, Spain, and the United States projects and mines. The company is headquartered in Dillon, Montana.

Stock analysis

Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) currently trades at $8.14, while our estimate is $4.51, 45% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $3.38 (bear) to $5.63 (bull), the price of $8.14 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares reported revenue of C$32.5M in FY2025 versus C$20.8M in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was −C$162M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.3B Mid · P/E ratio 45.2 · P/S ratio 29.2 · EPS (TTM) $0.1800 · Return on equity 38.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 37.5% · Revenue (TTM) C$85.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −45%, ALM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $3.38 Fair Value $4.51 Bull $5.63
Price $8.14 · Downside -44.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 92
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 12
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 27
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 33
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−27.4% (2020) → −89.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ALM screens overvalued: fair value 45% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −44.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 38.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets −27.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 125.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 37.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 497.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.38× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 45.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 9.30× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 38.79× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)81 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs ALM
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs ALM
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs ALM
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs ALM
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs ALM
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs ALM
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs ALM
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs ALM
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs ALM
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs ALM

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Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALM

Frequently asked questions

Is Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $4.51 versus a price of $8.14, about 45% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALM?
Our estimate for Almonty Industries Inc. is $4.51 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.14.
What is the quality score of ALM?
Almonty Industries Inc. has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $4.51 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $3.38, optimistic scenario $5.63. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $4.51, about 45% lower versus a price of $8.14 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.38, optimistic scenario $5.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
Almonty Industries Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$85.8M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Almonty Industries Inc. it is $4.51 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $8.14.
Is Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, ALM trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.14, fair value $4.51, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.51). For Almonty Industries Inc. the two are $3.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares worth?
The market values Almonty Industries Inc. at about $2.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $8.14; our models calculate a fair value of $4.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALM?
Our models span a range for Almonty Industries Inc.: cautious scenario $3.38, base $4.51, optimistic $5.63 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $8.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALM?
Almonty Industries Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.2 (as of Nov 10, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.3, P/S 38.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Almonty Industries Inc. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 38.2%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALM from its 52-week high?
Almonty Industries Inc. trades at $8.14, about 65% below its 52-week high of $23.42 and 46% above the low of $5.59 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $8.14, calculated fair value $4.51 (−45%), Quality Score 23/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Almonty Industries Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $8.14. Our estimate is $4.51, about 45% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Almonty Industries Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
The market capitalisation of Almonty Industries Inc. is $2.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Almonty Industries Inc. is 29.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
Earnings per share at Almonty Industries Inc. are $0.1800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Almonty Industries Inc. is 38.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Almonty Industries Inc. is −3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
The operating margin of Almonty Industries Inc. is 37.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM)?
Revenue at Almonty Industries Inc. is growing +498% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) generate?
The free cash flow of Almonty Industries Inc. is −C$80.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) hold?
Almonty Industries Inc. holds more cash than debt, C$104M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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