Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL stock BRL 16.67, price BRL 15.38, upside +8.4%, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$3.78 – R$17.70 · fair‑value band R$10.70 – R$21.38 · the R$15.38 price screens below the R$16.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 13, 2026.
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Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, study, planning, construction, production, transformation, transportation, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil.
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The company operates through three segments: Generation and Transmission of Electrical Energy; Electrical Energy Distribution; and Commercialization.
It produces electricity from hydroelectric and wind power; and constructs, operates, and maintains substations, as well as lines for energy transmission.
The company was formerly known as Companhia Paranaense de Energia Elétrica and changed its name to Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL in October 1979. Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Curitiba, Brazil.
Stock analysis
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3) currently trades at R$15.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$16.67, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of R$19.01 per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the R$15.38 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at R$7.28, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$10.70 (bear) to R$21.38 (bull), the price of R$15.38 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL reported revenue of R$26.1B in FY2025 versus R$24.0B in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was R$2.7B in FY2025, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$45.7B (≈ $8.1B) Mid · P/E ratio 14.4 · P/S ratio 1.63 · EPS (TTM) R$1.07 · Dividend yield 6.9% · Net margin 11.4% · Return on equity 12.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at 8%, CPLE3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearR$10.70Fair Value R$16.67BullR$21.38
Price R$15.38 · Upside +8.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.0061 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.9% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−1.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.5% vs 7.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 18%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Brazil: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 5.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.3% a year for the price and −1.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (68 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 14/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+8.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)12.8% · Above median
Return on assets4.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)11.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)19.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)11.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)6.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.78× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)14.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.97× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.63× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.9× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPLE3
Frequently asked questions
Is Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$16.67 versus a price of R$15.38, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CPLE3?
Our model-based fair value for Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is R$16.67 (as of Nov 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$15.38.
What is the quality score of CPLE3?
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$16.67 (as of Nov 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$10.70, optimistic scenario R$21.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$16.67, about +8% upside versus a price of R$15.38 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario R$10.70, optimistic scenario R$21.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$28.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 13, 2026).
Does Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL pay a dividend?
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL currently shows a dividend yield of 6.91% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 13, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL pays a dividend of R$1.06 per share a year, a dividend yield of 6.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Apr 30, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2004. The payout ratio is 99.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.91 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL would have to grow free cash flow by +15.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.0 % per year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CPLE3 use?
Our models discount Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL that is +15.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL grew +7.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +15.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (+15.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.27 %: that much free cash flow Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL it is R$16.67 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026), against a price of R$15.38. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 13, 2026, CPLE3 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$15.38, fair value R$16.67, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CPLE3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$15.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$16.67). For Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL the two are R$1.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL worth?
The market values Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL at about R$45.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 13, 2026). Per share that is R$15.38; our models calculate a fair value of R$16.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CPLE3?
Our models span a range for Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL: cautious scenario R$10.70, base R$16.67, optimistic R$21.38 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026, price R$15.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CPLE3?
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.4 (as of Nov 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$16.67 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2021 to 2025), reported earnings, 4 of the years ex one-offs: 12.3. Other multiples: PEG 2.0, P/B 2.0, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 8.9.
What is the PEG ratio of CPLE3?
The PEG ratio of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is 1.98 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (as of Nov 13, 2026): return on equity 12.8%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CPLE3 from its 52-week high?
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL trades at R$15.38, about 13% below its 52-week high of R$17.70 and 31% above the low of R$11.72 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$16.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 13, 2026: price R$15.38, calculated fair value R$16.67 (+8%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CPLE3 calculated?
We run Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of R$16.67 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL currently trades 8% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was R$15.38. Our model-based fair value is R$16.67, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (R$10.70 to R$21.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3) come from?
Earnings per share at Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL grew +8.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.2 %, EBIT margin +2.5 %, tax rate +2.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL
How large is the market capitalisation of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
The market capitalisation of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is R$45.7B (≈ $8.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is 1.63 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
Earnings per share at Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL are R$1.07 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
The dividend yield of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is 6.9% (payout 99.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
The net margin of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is 11.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
The operating margin of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is 19.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
Revenue at Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is growing +11.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3)?
Earnings per share at Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL are growing +50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (CPLE3) carry?
The net debt of Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is R$17.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 13, 2026