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Golden Deeps Ltd (GED) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Golden Deeps Ltd stock A$0.03, price A$0.04, that is 30.3% below the price, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000GED6

GD Golden Deeps Ltd logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Golden Deeps Ltd

GED · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 30% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +49% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +32.6 %/yr in AUD)
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Fair value A$0.0265 · Overvalued
Quality 25/100
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2300 A$0.0170 Fair Value A$0.0265 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0170 – A$0.2300 · fair‑value band A$0.0233 – A$0.0265 · the A$0.0380 price screens above the A$0.0265 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Golden Deeps Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Namibia and Canada. It explores for gold, silver, copper, vanadium, lead, zinc, and cobalt deposits, as well as rare metals, germanium, gallium, and gallium.

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The company was formerly known as Golden Deeps NL. Golden Deeps Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Golden Deeps Ltd (GED) currently trades at A$0.0380, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0265, 30% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0233 (bear) to A$0.0265 (bull), the price of A$0.0380 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Golden Deeps Ltd reported revenue of A$162K in FY2025 versus A$440 in FY2021, a compound +338.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$825K in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$8.7M (≈ $6.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 54.1 · Return on equity −5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −446% · Revenue (TTM) A$152K · Revenue growth (YoY) +49.4% · Free cash flow −A$742K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −30%, GED screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0233 Fair Value A$0.0265 Bull A$0.0265
Price A$0.0380 · Downside -30.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 55

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 79
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 38
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 35
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 8
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−21.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+439.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.5% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,290.6% (2020) → −432.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GED screens overvalued: fair value 30% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −30.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −5.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 49.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.55× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 57.14× · Priciest 25%
PEG 5.32× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs GED
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.25 SAR 64.96 SAR +12% vs GED
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs GED
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs GED
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs GED
BHP Group BHP A$59.20 A$47.85 −19% vs GED
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs GED
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs GED
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs GED
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs GED

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Golden Deeps Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Golden Deeps Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GED

Frequently asked questions

Is Golden Deeps Ltd (GED) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0265 versus a price of A$0.0380, about 30% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GED?
Our model-based fair value for Golden Deeps Ltd is A$0.0265 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0380.
What is the quality score of GED?
Golden Deeps Ltd has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Golden Deeps Ltd (GED)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0265 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0233, optimistic scenario A$0.0265. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Golden Deeps Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0265, about 30% lower versus a price of A$0.0380 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0233, optimistic scenario A$0.0265. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Golden Deeps Ltd (GED)?
Golden Deeps Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$152K (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Golden Deeps Ltd (GED)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Golden Deeps Ltd it is A$0.0265 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.0380. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Golden Deeps Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, GED trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0380, fair value A$0.0265, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GED?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0380); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0265). For Golden Deeps Ltd the two are A$0.0115 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Golden Deeps Ltd worth?
The market values Golden Deeps Ltd at about A$8.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0380; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0265 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GED?
Our models span a range for Golden Deeps Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0233, base A$0.0265, optimistic A$0.0265 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price A$0.0380). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of GED?
The PEG ratio of Golden Deeps Ltd is 5.32 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Golden Deeps Ltd (GED)?
Balance-sheet figures for Golden Deeps Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −5.9%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GED from its 52-week high?
Golden Deeps Ltd trades at A$0.0380, about 43% below its 52-week high of A$0.0670 and 9% above the low of A$0.0350 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0265 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Golden Deeps Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Golden Deeps Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.0380, calculated fair value A$0.0265 (−30%), Quality Score 25/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GED calculated?
We run Golden Deeps Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0265 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Golden Deeps Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Golden Deeps Ltd (GED)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.0380. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0265, about 30% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Golden Deeps Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0265). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0233 to A$0.0265), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Golden Deeps Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Golden Deeps Ltd (GED)?
The market capitalisation of Golden Deeps Ltd is A$8.7M (≈ $6.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Golden Deeps Ltd (GED)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Golden Deeps Ltd is 54.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the return on equity of Golden Deeps Ltd (GED)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Golden Deeps Ltd is −5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Golden Deeps Ltd (GED)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Golden Deeps Ltd is −6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Golden Deeps Ltd (GED)?
The operating margin of Golden Deeps Ltd is −446% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Golden Deeps Ltd (GED)?
Revenue at Golden Deeps Ltd is growing +49.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +439%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Golden Deeps Ltd (GED) generate?
The free cash flow of Golden Deeps Ltd is −A$742K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Golden Deeps Ltd (GED) hold?
Golden Deeps Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$818K net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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