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Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS stock TRY 3.60, price TRY 22.22, that is 83.8% below the price, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials TR · ISIN TREGREL00017

GE Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS

GEREL · IS
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 84% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 26.8% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +21%, profit +157%.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +73.6 %/yr in TRY)
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Moderate moat 56/100 · thin data
Fair value 3.60 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−83.8%)
Quality 25/100
Negative free cash flow
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

46.76 TRY 1.32 TRY Fair Value 3.60 TRY Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.32 TRY – 46.76 TRY · fair‑value band 2.52 TRY – 4.68 TRY · the 22.22 TRY price screens above the 3.60 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the electrical materials and electrochemical contracting businesses in Turkey and internationally.

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The company offers power and lighting busbar systems; hot-dip galvanizing, pre-galvanized, stainless steel, and aluminum cable ducts and conveyor systems; standard cable channel and heavy-duty cable trays; and cable carriers, cable carrying systems, and cable ladder clamps.

It also provides earth transition resistance value, current carrying capacity, and equipotential bond grounding systems; distribution panels, surface mounted distribution panels, rack cabinets, and solar panels; and underfloor and raised underfloor cable trays.

In addition, the company offers electric vehicle charging stations; led-bus lighting systems; and g-bus automation systems, as well as after-sales services.

It serves the power transmission line, defense, nuclear power plant, mechanical carrier system, building, industrial facility, factory, airport, oil and gas refinery, shopping mall, hotel, and hospital industries. The company was formerly known as Gersan Ticaret.

Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL) currently trades at 22.22 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.60 TRY, 84% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 4.24 TRY per share, and 1 of the 12 models we run sit above the 22.22 TRY price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.94 TRY, and 11 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 2.52 TRY (bear) to 4.68 TRY (bull), the price of 22.22 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS reported revenue of 2.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 381M TRY in FY2021, a compound +63.1%/yr. Reported net income was 99.3M TRY in FY2025, compounding +94.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 9.0B TRY (≈ $179M) Micro · P/E ratio 9.3 · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) 2.39 TRY · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 30.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −84%, GEREL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (1.65 TRY to 39.14 TRY). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 2.52 TRY Fair Value 3.60 TRY Bull 4.68 TRY
Price 22.22 TRY · Downside -83.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.04 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV 1.48 TRY 1.65 TRY 1.78 TRY 74
ROIC Compounder 1.48 TRY 1.65 TRY 1.78 TRY 72
Residual Income 4.79 TRY 4.97 TRY 5.24 TRY 71
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.81 TRY 2.22 TRY 2.49 TRY 67
EPV 1.48 TRY 1.65 TRY 1.78 TRY 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4.20 TRY 5.60 TRY 7.00 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 3.40 TRY 4.53 TRY 5.67 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 29.35 TRY 39.14 TRY 48.92 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 1.70 TRY 3.22 TRY 4.75 TRY 63
EV/EBITDA 1.74 TRY 3.28 TRY 4.81 TRY 64
EV/Revenue 0.3900 TRY 1.79 TRY 3.19 TRY 48
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.09 TRY 3.17 TRY 3.96 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 4.79 TRY 4.97 TRY 5.24 TRY 71
ROIC Compounder 1.48 TRY 1.65 TRY 1.78 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.97 TRY 4.24 TRY 5.51 TRY 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 26
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 57
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 30
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 40
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 24
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 48
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+108.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+73.6%
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+22.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 5%

GEREL screens overvalued: fair value 84% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 566 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −83.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 30.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 26.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 3.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 21.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 9.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 2.76× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 3.30× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 66
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750 ¥254.22 ¥648.35 +155% vs GEREL
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥81.97 ¥182.32 +122% vs GEREL
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥23.86 ¥29.39 +23% vs GEREL
Vertiv Holdings VRT $182.86 $178.64 −2% vs GEREL
Legrand SA LR €129.65 €82.57 −36% vs GEREL
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €101.00 €64.29 −36% vs GEREL
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 66.98 CHF 29.49 −56% vs GEREL
Samsung SDI Co 006400 468,000 KRW 153,766 KRW −67% vs GEREL
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 177.00 THB 39.14 THB −78% vs GEREL
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 337,500 KRW 53,325 KRW −84% vs GEREL

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Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEREL

Frequently asked questions

Is Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.60 TRY versus a price of 22.22 TRY, about 84% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GEREL?
Our model-based fair value for Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 3.60 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22.22 TRY.
What is the quality score of GEREL?
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.60 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.52 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.68 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.60 TRY, about 84% lower versus a price of 22.22 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.52 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.68 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS it is 3.60 TRY per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 22.22 TRY. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, GEREL trades above its calculated fair value: price 22.22 TRY, fair value 3.60 TRY, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GEREL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22.22 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.60 TRY). For Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS the two are 18.62 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS worth?
The market values Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS at about 9.0B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 22.22 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 3.60 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GEREL?
Our models span a range for Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS: cautious scenario 2.52 TRY, base 3.60 TRY, optimistic 4.68 TRY per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 22.22 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GEREL?
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.3 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.60 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.8, P/S 3.3, EV/EBITDA 10.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 30.8%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GEREL from its 52-week high?
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS trades at 22.22 TRY, about 52% below its 52-week high of 46.76 TRY and 39% above the low of 16.03 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.60 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 22.22 TRY, calculated fair value 3.60 TRY (−84%), Quality Score 25/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GEREL calculated?
We run Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS through 12 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 3.60 TRY builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7% above its aggregate fair value. Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 22.22 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 3.60 TRY, about 84% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.68 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.52 TRY to 4.68 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The market capitalisation of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 9.0B TRY (≈ $179M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 0.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Earnings per share at Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS are 2.39 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The net margin of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 30.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The operating margin of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Revenue at Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is growing +21.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +47.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Earnings per share at Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS are growing +157% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL) generate?
The free cash flow of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is −1.8B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL) carry?
The net debt of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 1.1B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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