Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, (GEREL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TR · Market cap 16.5B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +35.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.82 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.32 TRY – 46.76 TRY · fair‑value band 2.89 TRY – 4.82 TRY · the 44.24 TRY price screens above the 3.85 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, (GEREL) currently trades at 44.24 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.85 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 91.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, generated revenue of 2.6B TRY at a net margin of 15.0%. Revenue declined 13.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. Net debt stands at 1.1B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.89 TRY (bear case) to 4.82 TRY (bull case); at 44.24 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 181% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -91%, GEREL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (10.91 TRY) versus DCF Models (3.00 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the electrical materials and electrochemical contracting businesses in Turkey and internationally.
Full company description
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the electrical materials and electrochemical contracting businesses in Turkey and internationally. The company offers power and lighting busbar systems; hot-dip galvanizing, pre-galvanized, stainless steel, and aluminum cable ducts and conveyor systems; standard cable channel and heavy-duty cable trays; and cable carriers, cable carrying systems, and cable ladder clamps. It also provides earth transition resistance value, current carrying capacity, and equipotential bond grounding systems; distribution panels, surface mounted distribution panels, rack cabinets, and solar panels; and underfloor and raised underfloor cable trays. In addition, the company offers electric vehicle charging stations; led-bus lighting systems; and g-bus automation systems, as well as after-sales services. It serves the power transmission line, defense, nuclear power plant, mechanical carrier system, building, industrial facility, factory, airport, oil and gas refinery, shopping mall, hotel, and hospital industries. The company was formerly known as Gersan Ticaret. Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, reported revenue of 2.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 381M TRY in FY2021, a compound +63.1%/yr. Reported net income was 99.3M TRY in FY2025, compounding +94.1%/yr from FY2021.
GEREL screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →
Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 527 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$675.50 | HK$391.44 | -42% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 83.82 | CHF 35.46 | -58% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.16 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 334,000 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -40% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 13,210 ARS | 7,948 ARS | -40% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥114.79 | ¥123.83 | +8% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥63.43 | ¥33.04 | -48% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 823,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -55% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 190,000 KRW | 31,517 KRW | -83% |
| Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 | ¥151.73 | ¥71.69 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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