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Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS TRY 3.84, price TRY 25.18, upside -84.7%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · TR · ISIN TREGREL00017

GE Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS

GEREL · IS

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 3.84 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−85%)
!Quality 25/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +73.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 15.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

46.76 TRY 1.32 TRY Fair Value 3.84 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.32 TRY – 46.76 TRY · fair‑value band 2.88 TRY – 4.80 TRY · the 25.18 TRY price screens above the 3.84 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the electrical materials and electrochemical contracting businesses in Turkey and internationally.

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Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the electrical materials and electrochemical contracting businesses in Turkey and internationally. The company offers power and lighting busbar systems; hot-dip galvanizing, pre-galvanized, stainless steel, and aluminum cable ducts and conveyor systems; standard cable channel and heavy-duty cable trays; and cable carriers, cable carrying systems, and cable ladder clamps. It also provides earth transition resistance value, current carrying capacity, and equipotential bond grounding systems; distribution panels, surface mounted distribution panels, rack cabinets, and solar panels; and underfloor and raised underfloor cable trays. In addition, the company offers electric vehicle charging stations; led-bus lighting systems; and g-bus automation systems, as well as after-sales services. It serves the power transmission line, defense, nuclear power plant, mechanical carrier system, building, industrial facility, factory, airport, oil and gas refinery, shopping mall, hotel, and hospital industries. The company was formerly known as Gersan Ticaret. Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL) currently trades at 25.18 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.84 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 555.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 11.09 TRY per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 25.18 TRY price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 3.00 TRY, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 2.88 TRY (bear) to 4.80 TRY (bull), the price of 25.18 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS reported revenue of 2.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 381M TRY in FY2021, a compound +63.1%/yr. Reported net income was 99.3M TRY in FY2025, compounding +94.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 16.5B TRY (≈ $338M) · P/E ratio 18.0 · P/S ratio 0.66 · EPS (TTM) 1.40 TRY · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 15.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% · Operating margin 11.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −85%, GEREL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.88 TRY Fair Value 3.84 TRY Bull 4.80 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.02 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 2.73 TRY 3.25 TRY 3.69 TRY 74
ROIC Compounder 2.73 TRY 3.25 TRY 3.69 TRY 72
Residual Income 6.33 TRY 6.14 TRY 5.20 TRY 71
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 1.13 TRY 3.00 TRY 6.94 TRY 69
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.81 TRY 12.65 TRY 17.75 TRY 63
Lynch FV 5.80 TRY 8.28 TRY 10.77 TRY 61
PEG = 1.0 5.80 TRY 8.28 TRY 10.77 TRY 57
EPV 2.73 TRY 3.25 TRY 3.69 TRY 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4.20 TRY 5.60 TRY 7.00 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 3.40 TRY 4.53 TRY 5.67 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 3.40 TRY 4.53 TRY 5.67 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 4.23 TRY 5.76 TRY 7.28 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 4.27 TRY 5.81 TRY 7.35 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 2.92 TRY 4.32 TRY 5.72 TRY 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.36 TRY 5.85 TRY 8.73 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 6.33 TRY 6.14 TRY 5.20 TRY 71
ROIC Compounder 2.73 TRY 3.25 TRY 3.69 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 7.76 TRY 11.09 TRY 14.41 TRY 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+108.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+73.6%
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+22.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 5%

GEREL screens 555% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 543 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −14% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 5.07× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 6.36× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 54.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 58
PAST (return on equity)63 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Prysmian S.p.A PRY €121.65 €77.45 −36%
Legrand SA LR €135.30 €78.82 −42%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥85.18 ¥212.02 +149%
Hubbell Incorporated HUBB $439.07 $285.77 −35%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥51.59 ¥46.67 −10%
nVent Electric plc NVT $147.65 $40.68 −72%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 712,000 KRW 783,200 KRW +10%

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Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS · Fair Value
3.84 TRY −555%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEREL

Frequently asked questions

Is Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.84 TRY versus a price of 25.18 TRY, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GEREL?
Our model-based fair value for Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 3.84 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 25.18 TRY.
What is the quality score of GEREL?
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.84 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.88 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.80 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.84 TRY, about −85% upside versus a price of 25.18 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.88 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.80 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.6B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS it is 3.84 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 25.18 TRY. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, GEREL trades above its calculated fair value: price 25.18 TRY, fair value 3.84 TRY, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GEREL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (25.18 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.84 TRY). For Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS the two are 21.34 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS worth?
The market values Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS at about 16.5B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 25.18 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 3.84 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GEREL?
Our models span a range for Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS: cautious scenario 2.88 TRY, base 3.84 TRY, optimistic 4.80 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 25.18 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GEREL?
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.84 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.1, P/S 6.4, EV/EBITDA 54.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 15.7%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GEREL from its 52-week high?
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS trades at 25.18 TRY, about 47% below its 52-week high of 47.24 TRY and 60% above the low of 15.76 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.84 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Prysmian S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 25.18 TRY, calculated fair value 3.84 TRY (−85%), Quality Score 25/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GEREL calculated?
We run Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.84 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 25.18 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 3.84 TRY, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.80 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The market capitalisation of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 16.5B TRY (≈ $338M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 0.66 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Earnings per share at Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS are 1.40 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The net margin of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
The operating margin of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 11.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Revenue at Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is growing −13.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +47.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL)?
Earnings per share at Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS are growing +157% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL) generate?
The free cash flow of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is −1.8B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (GEREL) carry?
The net debt of Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 1.1B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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