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Geomega Resources Inc (GMA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 3, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Geomega Resources Inc stock C$0.03, price C$0.20, that is 83.0% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CA · ISIN CA37252J1057

GR Geomega Resources Inc logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Geomega Resources Inc

GMA · V
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 83% below what the stock costs today.

Solidly profitable · 17.2% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +59.3 %/yr in CAD)
Revenue last quarter 55% below a year ago.
Fair value C$0.0340 · Strongly overvalued (−83.0%)
Quality 39/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 36/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$0.4550 C$0.0700 Fair Value C$0.0340 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0700 – C$0.4550 · fair‑value band C$0.0255 – C$0.0510 · the C$0.2000 price screens above the C$0.0340 fair value. As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Geomega Resources Inc. engages in the acquisition, evaluation, and exploration of mining properties in Canada. The company explores for rare earth elements and niobium deposits.

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It owns a 100% interest in the Montviel property, which consists of 96 mining claims covering an area of 5,333 hectares located in Quebec. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Boucherville, Canada.

Stock analysis

Geomega Resources Inc (GMA) currently trades at C$0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0340, 83.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$0.0400 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the C$0.2000 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$0.0300, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: C$0.0255 (bear) to C$0.0510 (bull), the price of C$0.2000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Geomega Resources Inc reported revenue of C$2.4M in FY2026 versus C$132K in FY2022, a compound +107.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$557K in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap C$33.4M (≈ $23.9M) Micro · P/S ratio 15.4 · Net margin 23.0% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.2% · Operating margin −263% · Revenue (TTM) C$2.3M · Revenue growth (YoY) −54.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −83%, GMA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0255 Fair Value C$0.0340 Bull C$0.0510
Price C$0.2000 · Downside -83.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income C$0.0300 C$0.0300 C$0.0400 68
EV/EBITDA C$0.0200 C$0.0300 C$0.0400 66
Graham-Dodd C$0.0200 C$0.0300 C$0.0300 65
All 7 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$0.0200 C$0.0300 C$0.0300 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$0.0400 C$0.0600 C$0.0700 63
P/S Multiple C$0.0200 C$0.0200 C$0.0300 58
P/B Multiple C$0.0900 C$0.1300 C$0.1600 55
EV/EBITDA C$0.0200 C$0.0300 C$0.0400 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$0.0300 C$0.0300 C$0.0400 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$0.0300 C$0.0400 C$0.0600 65

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 41
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 53
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 37
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 14
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 12
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 41/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,109.3% (2022) → −2.6% (2026)

GMA screens overvalued: fair value 83% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 373 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −83.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 9.5% · Above median
Return on assets 4.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 17.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −54.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.78× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 14.62× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 96
PAST (return on equity)38 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)90 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$14.19 A$30.70 +116% vs GMA
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.08 ¥32.43 +15% vs GMA
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 55.60 SAR 60.39 SAR +9% vs GMA
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹526.50 ₹556.38 +6% vs GMA
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥30.93 ¥25.57 −17% vs GMA
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹246.90 ₹194.64 −21% vs GMA
Korea Zinc Company 010130 869,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −25% vs GMA
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥34.16 ¥19.72 −42% vs GMA
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.41 ¥6.82 −49% vs GMA
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$8.88 C$4.43 −50% vs GMA

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Geomega Resources Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Geomega Resources Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GMA

Frequently asked questions

Is Geomega Resources Inc (GMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0340 versus a price of C$0.2000, about 83% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GMA?
Our model-based fair value for Geomega Resources Inc is C$0.0340 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.2000.
What is the quality score of GMA?
Geomega Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0340 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0255, optimistic scenario C$0.0510. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Geomega Resources Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0340, about 83% lower versus a price of C$0.2000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0255, optimistic scenario C$0.0510. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
Geomega Resources Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$2.3M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Geomega Resources Inc it is C$0.0340 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of C$0.2000. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Geomega Resources Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, GMA trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.2000, fair value C$0.0340, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GMA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.2000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0340). For Geomega Resources Inc the two are C$0.1660 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Geomega Resources Inc worth?
The market values Geomega Resources Inc at about C$33.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is C$0.2000; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0340 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GMA?
Our models span a range for Geomega Resources Inc: cautious scenario C$0.0255, base C$0.0340, optimistic C$0.0510 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price C$0.2000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Geomega Resources Inc (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 9.5%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GMA from its 52-week high?
Geomega Resources Inc trades at C$0.2000, about 51% below its 52-week high of C$0.4100 and at the low of C$0.2000 (as of Nov 3, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0340 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Geomega Resources Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Geomega Resources Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price C$0.2000, calculated fair value C$0.0340 (−83%), Quality Score 39/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GMA calculated?
We run Geomega Resources Inc through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.0340, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Geomega Resources Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
The closing price on Nov 3, 2026 was C$0.2000. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0340, about 83% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Geomega Resources Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0510). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.0255 to C$0.0510) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Geomega Resources Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
The market capitalisation of Geomega Resources Inc is C$33.4M (≈ $23.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Geomega Resources Inc is 15.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
The net margin of Geomega Resources Inc is 23.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Geomega Resources Inc is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Geomega Resources Inc is −22.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
The operating margin of Geomega Resources Inc is −263% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Geomega Resources Inc (GMA)?
Revenue at Geomega Resources Inc is growing −54.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +59.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Geomega Resources Inc (GMA) generate?
The free cash flow of Geomega Resources Inc is −C$4.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Geomega Resources Inc (GMA) carry?
The net debt of Geomega Resources Inc is C$294K (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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