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Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Grounded Lithium Corp. stock C$0.02, price C$0.03, that is 5.0% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CA

GL Grounded Lithium Corp. logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

Grounded Lithium Corp.

GRD · V
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Revenue last quarter +32% vs. a year ago.
Fair value C$0.0238 · Fairly valued
Quality 46/100
Mixed vs. peers (4/7)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 5/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$0.4900 C$0.0200 Fair Value C$0.0238 Aug 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

50‑month range C$0.0200 – C$0.4900 · fair‑value band C$0.0213 – C$0.0263 · the C$0.0250 price screens above the C$0.0238 fair value. As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Grounded Lithium Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Canada. It processes lithium metal from brine liquids. The company's flagship project is the Kindersley lithium project located in Saskatchewan, Canada.

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Grounded Lithium Corp. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD) currently trades at C$0.0250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0238, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.3%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0213 (bear) to C$0.0263 (bull), the price of C$0.0250 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Grounded Lithium Corp. reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$303K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$2.0M (≈ $1.4M) Micro · P/S ratio 74.6 · Return on equity −20.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −49.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −807% · Revenue (TTM) C$27.0K · Revenue growth (YoY) +32.1% · Free cash flow −C$78.7K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 5 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −5%, GRD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0213 Fair Value C$0.0238 Bull C$0.0263
Price C$0.0250 · Downside -5.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0100 C$0.0200 C$0.0300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0100 C$0.0200 C$0.0300 50

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 50
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 52
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 18
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 31
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Grounded Lithium Corp. with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/6 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Above median
Fair Value upside −4.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −13.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 32.1% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 73.80× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)27 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs GRD
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.25 SAR 64.96 SAR +12% vs GRD
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs GRD
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs GRD
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs GRD
BHP Group BHP A$59.20 A$47.85 −19% vs GRD
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs GRD
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs GRD
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs GRD
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs GRD

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Grounded Lithium Corp.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grounded Lithium Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRD

Frequently asked questions

Is Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0238 versus a price of C$0.0250, about 5% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GRD?
Our model-based fair value for Grounded Lithium Corp. is C$0.0238 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.0250.
What is the quality score of GRD?
Grounded Lithium Corp. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0238 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0213, optimistic scenario C$0.0263. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grounded Lithium Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0238, about 5% lower versus a price of C$0.0250 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario C$0.0213, optimistic scenario C$0.0263. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD)?
Grounded Lithium Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$27.0K (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grounded Lithium Corp. it is C$0.0238 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of C$0.0250. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Grounded Lithium Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, GRD trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.0250, fair value C$0.0238, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.0250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0238). For Grounded Lithium Corp. the two are C$0.0013 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grounded Lithium Corp. worth?
The market values Grounded Lithium Corp. at about C$2.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is C$0.0250; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0238 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRD?
Our models span a range for Grounded Lithium Corp.: cautious scenario C$0.0213, base C$0.0238, optimistic C$0.0263 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price C$0.0250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grounded Lithium Corp. (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −20.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRD from its 52-week high?
Grounded Lithium Corp. trades at C$0.0250, about 75% below its 52-week high of C$0.1000 and 25% above the low of C$0.0200 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0238 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grounded Lithium Corp.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grounded Lithium Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price C$0.0250, calculated fair value C$0.0238 (−5%), Quality Score 46/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRD calculated?
We run Grounded Lithium Corp. through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$0.0238 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Grounded Lithium Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was C$0.0250. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0238, about 5% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grounded Lithium Corp. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Grounded Lithium Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD)?
The market capitalisation of Grounded Lithium Corp. is C$2.0M (≈ $1.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grounded Lithium Corp. is 74.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the return on equity of Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grounded Lithium Corp. is −20.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grounded Lithium Corp. is −49.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD)?
The operating margin of Grounded Lithium Corp. is −807% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD)?
Revenue at Grounded Lithium Corp. is growing +32.1% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Grounded Lithium Corp. (GRD) generate?
The free cash flow of Grounded Lithium Corp. is −C$78.7K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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