John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc stock $81.31, price $54.96, upside +47.9%, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $52.59 – $115.25 · fair‑value band $47.94 – $121.04 · the $54.96 price screens below the $81.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.
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John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, processes and distributes tree nuts and peanuts in the United States.
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The company offers raw and processed nuts, including almonds, pecans, peanuts, black walnuts, English walnuts, cashews, macadamia nuts, pistachios, pine nuts, Brazil nuts, and filberts in various styles and seasonings; and bar product line, including chewy granola, fruit and grain, sweet and salty, dipped chewy granola, crunchy, energy, fiber, and nut bars.
It also offers peanut butter in various sizes and varieties; salad toppings, dried fruit, and chocolate and yogurt coated products; recipe ingredients; bulk food products; sunflower kernels, pepitas, snack mixes, almond and cashew butter, candy and confections, corn snacks, chickpea snacks, sesame sticks, and other sesame snack and baked cheese snack products; and various toppings for ice cream and yogurt.
In addition, the company operates a retail store. The company provides its products under the Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest, Squirrel Brand, Southern Style Nuts, and Just the Cheese brands as well as under various private brands.
It serves retailers and wholesalers, and commercial ingredient and contract packaging customers through a network of independent brokers, distributors, and suppliers. John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Elgin, Illinois.
Stock analysis
John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS) currently trades at $54.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $81.31, implying the stock looks roughly 32% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $111.92 per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the $54.96 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $39.99, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $47.94 (bear) to $121.04 (bull), the price of $54.96 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2026 versus $956M in FY2022, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $61.9M in FY2026, compounding +0.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $647M Small · P/E ratio 11.8 · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) $4.78 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 5.3% · Return on equity 16.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 48%, JBSS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$47.94Fair Value $81.31Bull$121.04
Price $54.96 · Upside +47.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.39 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $27,586, on Nov 5, 2026.
BuyMichael J FinnSr. VP, Corporate Controller2× since Nov 4, 2026: 500 shares, avg. $55.17$27,586Nov 5, 2026
SaleLisa SanfilippoDirector, 10% owner2,272 shares at $81.43$185,009Mar 2, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleJasper Brian Sanfilippo JrCOO, President, Director, 10% owner7,212 shares at $80.97$583,956Mar 2, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleJeffrey T SanfilippoChief Executive Officer, Director, 10% owner7,212 shares at $80.08$577,537Mar 2, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleJames J SanfilippoDirector, 10% owner1,268 shares at $80.63$102,239Mar 2, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 5 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.1% a year
Revenue growth 34 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0.3% vs 7.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 7%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.7% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (90 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+47.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)16.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)5.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)4.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)11.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.70× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.55× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)18.1× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JBSS
Frequently asked questions
Is John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $81.31 versus a price of $54.96, about +48% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JBSS?
Our model-based fair value for John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc is $81.31 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $54.96.
What is the quality score of JBSS?
John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $81.31 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $47.94, optimistic scenario $121.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $81.31, about +48% upside versus a price of $54.96 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $47.94, optimistic scenario $121.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc pay a dividend?
John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 1.73% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS) and when is the ex-dividend date?
John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc pays a dividend of $0.95 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 17, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2012. The payout ratio is 19.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 4.14 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +10.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.5 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JBSS use?
Our models discount John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc that is +10.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc grew +6.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +10.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (+10.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.52 %: that much free cash flow John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc it is $81.31 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $54.96. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, JBSS trades below its calculated fair value: price $54.96, fair value $81.31, a gap of about +48% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JBSS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($54.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($81.31). For John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc the two are $26.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc worth?
The market values John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc at about $647M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $54.96; our models calculate a fair value of $81.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JBSS?
Our models span a range for John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc: cautious scenario $47.94, base $81.31, optimistic $121.04 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $54.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JBSS?
John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.8 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $81.31 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings, FY2023, FY2026 ex one-offs: 18.5. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 1.7, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
What is the PEG ratio of JBSS?
The PEG ratio of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc is 1.52 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
Balance-sheet figures for John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 16.7%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JBSS from its 52-week high?
John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc trades at $54.96, about 39% below its 52-week high of $89.61 and 5% above the low of $52.59 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $81.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $54.96, calculated fair value $81.31 (+48%), Quality Score 58/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JBSS calculated?
We run John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $81.31 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc currently trades 32% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $54.96. Our model-based fair value is $81.31, about +48% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc right now?
Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($47.94 to $121.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS) come from?
Earnings per share at John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc grew +6.9 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.1 %, EBIT margin +2.7 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
The market capitalisation of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc is $647M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc is 0.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
Earnings per share at John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc are $4.78 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
The dividend yield of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc is 1.7% (payout 19.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
The net margin of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc is 5.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc is 16.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc is 16.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
The operating margin of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
Revenue at John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc is growing +4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS)?
Earnings per share at John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc are growing −38.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc (JBSS) carry?
The net debt of John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc is $108M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 4, 2026