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John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc (JBSS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $929M

JB John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc logo John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc JBSS · US
Price$83.16
Fair Value$88.73
Upside+6.7%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.05% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range $62.11 – $115.35 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $114.42 to $88.73 (−22.5%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −4.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($62.11 to $115.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$116.53 $56.23 Fair Value $88.73 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $56.23 – $116.53 · fair‑value band $62.11 – $115.35 · the $83.16 price screens below the $88.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc (JBSS) currently trades at $83.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $88.73, implying the stock looks roughly 6.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.3%. Net debt stands at $102M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $62.11 (bear case) to $115.35 (bull case); at $83.16, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 7%, JBSS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $29.92 $37.48 $80.80 76
ROIC Compounder $45.29 $54.35 $64.03 72
Gordon GGM $16.17 $29.02 $40.12 70
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $29.48 $41.32 $56.41 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $34.18 $90.63 $118.45 54
PEG = 1.0 $17.49 $24.98 $32.48 46
EPV $43.69 $49.81 $54.91 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.17 $29.02 $40.12 70
DDM Multi-Stage $16.17 $23.58 $30.45 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $79.17 $105.56 $131.95 63
P/S Multiple $64.09 $85.46 $106.82 58
P/B Multiple $64.09 $85.46 $106.82 55
EV/EBIT $90.93 $121.64 $152.35 53
EV/EBITDA $95.43 $127.63 $159.84 54
EV/Revenue $64.56 $92.74 $120.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.38 $20.61 $30.77 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $29.92 $37.48 $80.80 76
ROIC Compounder $45.29 $54.35 $64.03 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $62.11 $88.73 $115.35 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($92.74) versus Asset-Based ($20.61). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.0%
Net margin 5.8%
Return on equity 18.3%
Free cash flow −$20.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.0
More key figures
Operating margin 8.1%
EPS (TTM) $5.29
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -16.9%
Net debt $102M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, processes and distributes tree nuts and peanuts in the United States.

Full company description

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, processes and distributes tree nuts and peanuts in the United States. The company offers raw and processed nuts, including almonds, pecans, peanuts, black walnuts, English walnuts, cashews, macadamia nuts, pistachios, pine nuts, Brazil nuts, and filberts in various styles and seasonings; and bar product line, including chewy granola, fruit and grain, sweet and salty, dipped chewy granola, crunchy, energy, fiber, and nut bars. It also offers peanut butter in various sizes and varieties; salad toppings, dried fruit, and chocolate and yogurt coated products; recipe ingredients; bulk food products; sunflower kernels, pepitas, snack mixes, almond and cashew butter, candy and confections, corn snacks, chickpea snacks, sesame sticks, and other sesame snack and baked cheese snack products; and various toppings for ice cream and yogurt. In addition, the company operates a retail store. The company provides its products under the Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest, Squirrel Brand, Southern Style Nuts, and Just the Cheese brands as well as under various private brands. It serves retailers and wholesalers, and commercial ingredient and contract packaging customers through a network of independent brokers, distributors, and suppliers. John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Elgin, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $858M in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was $58.9M in FY2025, compounding −0.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.1B
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y)
+6.0%
Revenue +6.6%/yr
FY21 $858M
FY22 $956M
FY23 $1,000M
FY24 $1.1B
FY25 $1.1B
Net income −0.3%/yr
FY21 $59.7M
FY22 $61.8M
FY23 $62.9M
FY24 $60.2M
FY25 $58.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JBSS

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.58× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.52× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 42 · sector 29
FUTURE 40 · sector 19
PAST 73 · sector 27
HEALTH 98 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 21 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc (JBSS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $88.73 versus a price of $83.16, about +7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of JBSS?
Our model-based fair value for John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc is $88.73 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $83.16.
What is the quality score of JBSS?
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc (JBSS)?
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JBSS?
The net profit margin of John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc is about 5.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc pay a dividend?
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.21% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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