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Kali Metals Ltd (KM1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Kali Metals Ltd stock A$0.03, price A$0.08, that is 61.0% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU

KM Kali Metals Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Kali Metals Ltd

KM1 · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 61% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +27.9 %/yr in AUD)
Revenue last quarter 31% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0328 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 35/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/6)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.7600 A$0.0710 Fair Value A$0.0328 Jan 2024 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

34‑month range A$0.0710 – A$0.7600 · fair‑value band A$0.0257 – A$0.0399 · the A$0.0840 price screens above the A$0.0328 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Kali Metals Limited explores mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for gold, lithium, cesium, and tantalum pegmatite deposits, as well as other critical minerals. Kali Metals Limited was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Kali Metals Ltd (KM1) currently trades at A$0.0840, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0328, 61% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 82/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0257 (bear) to A$0.0399 (bull), the price of A$0.0840 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Kali Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$403K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2023. Reported net income was −A$1.7M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$16.8M (≈ $11.6M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.9% (4-year average) · Operating margin −227% · Revenue growth (YoY) −31.1% · Free cash flow −A$5.7M · Net cash A$9.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −61%, KM1 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0257 Fair Value A$0.0328 Bull A$0.0399
Price A$0.0840 · Downside -61.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 95
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 33
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 16
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

KM1 screens overvalued: fair value 61% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 376 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside −61.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −6.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −31.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.61× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs KM1
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.40 SAR 64.24 SAR +10% vs KM1
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.16 ¥30.98 +10% vs KM1
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs KM1
Boliden AB BOL kr 519.80 kr 464.45 −11% vs KM1
BHP Group BHP A$59.87 A$47.47 −21% vs KM1
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.67 ¥25.57 −22% vs KM1
Korea Zinc Company 010130 935,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −31% vs KM1
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.56 ¥6.82 −50% vs KM1
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.33 ¥4.44 −88% vs KM1

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Kali Metals Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kali Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KM1

Frequently asked questions

Is Kali Metals Ltd (KM1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0328 versus a price of A$0.0840, about 61% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KM1?
Our model-based fair value for Kali Metals Ltd is A$0.0328 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0840.
What is the quality score of KM1?
Kali Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kali Metals Ltd (KM1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0328 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0257, optimistic scenario A$0.0399. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kali Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0328, about 61% lower versus a price of A$0.0840 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0257, optimistic scenario A$0.0399. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Kali Metals Ltd (KM1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kali Metals Ltd it is A$0.0328 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0840. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Kali Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, KM1 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0840, fair value A$0.0328, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KM1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0840); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0328). For Kali Metals Ltd the two are A$0.0512 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kali Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Kali Metals Ltd at about A$16.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0840; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0328 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KM1?
Our models span a range for Kali Metals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0257, base A$0.0328, optimistic A$0.0399 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0840). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kali Metals Ltd (KM1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kali Metals Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −7.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KM1 from its 52-week high?
Kali Metals Ltd trades at A$0.0840, about 63% below its 52-week high of A$0.2250 and 18% above the low of A$0.0710 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0328 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kali Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kali Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0840, calculated fair value A$0.0328 (−61%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KM1 calculated?
We run Kali Metals Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0328 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Kali Metals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kali Metals Ltd (KM1)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was A$0.0840. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0328, about 61% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kali Metals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0399). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Kali Metals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Kali Metals Ltd (KM1)?
The market capitalisation of Kali Metals Ltd is A$16.8M (≈ $11.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Kali Metals Ltd (KM1)?
Earnings per share at Kali Metals Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Kali Metals Ltd (KM1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kali Metals Ltd is −7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kali Metals Ltd (KM1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kali Metals Ltd is −6.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kali Metals Ltd (KM1)?
The operating margin of Kali Metals Ltd is −227% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kali Metals Ltd (KM1)?
Revenue at Kali Metals Ltd is growing −31.1% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Kali Metals Ltd (KM1) generate?
The free cash flow of Kali Metals Ltd is −A$5.7M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Kali Metals Ltd (KM1) hold?
Kali Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$9.2M net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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