Leone Film Group SpA (LFG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Leone Film Group SpA stock €1.69, price €1.49, upside +13.4%, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Leone Film Group S.p.A. engages in the production and distribution of films and audio visuals in Italy. It distributes films through various distribution channels, including theatrical, home video, pay-per-view, free-TV, Pay TV, SVoD, and digital channels.
Show moreShow less
The company is also involved in the purchase and sale of cinematographic rights; and management of films, television series, and documentaries. The company was formerly known as Andrea Leone Films Srl. and changed its name to Leone Film Group S.p.A. in November 2013.
Leone Film Group S.p.A. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Rome, Italy.
Stock analysis
Leone Film Group SpA (LFG) currently trades at €1.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.69, implying the stock looks roughly 12% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of €2.25 per share, and 6 of the 12 models we run sit above the €1.49 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €2.18, and 6 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €1.02 (bear) to €1.89 (bull), the price of €1.49 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Leone Film Group SpA reported revenue of €44.3M in FY2025 versus €79.1M in FY2021, a compound −13.5%/yr. Reported net income was €100K in FY2025, compounding −63.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €21.0M Micro · P/E ratio 49.7 · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) €0.0300 · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 8.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at 13%, LFG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€0.0500 to €26.15). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear€1.02Fair Value €1.69Bull€1.89
Price €1.49 · Upside +13.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0257 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.3% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−50.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−50.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−50.7% vs −25.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 10%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.0%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 221 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside+13.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.0% · Below median
Return on assets0.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)8.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)30.3% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)49.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.50× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Leone Film Group SpA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LFG.MI
Frequently asked questions
Is Leone Film Group SpA (LFG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.69 versus a price of €1.49, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LFG?
Our model-based fair value for Leone Film Group SpA is €1.69 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.49.
What is the quality score of LFG?
Leone Film Group SpA has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.69 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.02, optimistic scenario €1.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Leone Film Group SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.69, about +13% upside versus a price of €1.49 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.02, optimistic scenario €1.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
Leone Film Group SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €51.8M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Leone Film Group SpA it is €1.69 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of €1.49. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Leone Film Group SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, LFG trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.49, fair value €1.69, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LFG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.49); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.69). For Leone Film Group SpA the two are €0.2000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Leone Film Group SpA worth?
The market values Leone Film Group SpA at about €21.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is €1.49; our models calculate a fair value of €1.69 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LFG?
Our models span a range for Leone Film Group SpA: cautious scenario €1.02, base €1.69, optimistic €1.89 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price €1.49). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LFG?
Leone Film Group SpA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 49.7 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.69 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 16.5. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Leone Film Group SpA (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 1.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LFG from its 52-week high?
Leone Film Group SpA trades at €1.49, about 13% below its 52-week high of €1.71 and 16% above the low of €1.28 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.69 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Leone Film Group SpA?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Leone Film Group SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price €1.49, calculated fair value €1.69 (+13%), Quality Score 50/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LFG calculated?
We run Leone Film Group SpA through 12 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €1.69 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Leone Film Group SpA currently trades 12% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €1.49. Our model-based fair value is €1.69, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Leone Film Group SpA right now?
A fairly wide model range (€1.02 to €1.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Leone Film Group SpA
How large is the market capitalisation of Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
The market capitalisation of Leone Film Group SpA is €21.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Leone Film Group SpA is 0.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
Earnings per share at Leone Film Group SpA are €0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 49.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
The net margin of Leone Film Group SpA is 0.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Leone Film Group SpA is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Leone Film Group SpA is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
The operating margin of Leone Film Group SpA is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
Revenue at Leone Film Group SpA is growing +30.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Leone Film Group SpA (LFG)?
Earnings per share at Leone Film Group SpA are growing +358% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Leone Film Group SpA (LFG) generate?
The free cash flow of Leone Film Group SpA is −€571K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Leone Film Group SpA (LFG) carry?
The net debt of Leone Film Group SpA is €23.9M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Leone Film Group SpA in the live analysis
One click puts Leone Film Group SpA on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 7, 2026