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ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ManpowerGroup Inc stock $27.93, price $44.50, that is 37.2% below the price, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

MI ManpowerGroup Inc logo Some data Nov 7, 2026

ManpowerGroup Inc

MAN · US
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 37% below what the stock costs today.

Upbeat coverage
Profit last quarter +87% vs. a year ago.
Quality 53/100
Thin margins · 0.6% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
3.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Some data
Fair value $27.93 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.0 %/yr in USD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 25/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$101.67 $25.16 Fair Value $27.93 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $25.16 – $101.67 · fair‑value band $23.35 – $31.95 · the $44.50 price screens above the $27.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

ManpowerGroup Inc. provides workforce solutions and services under the Manpower, the Experis, and the Talent Solutions brands in the Americas, Southern Europe, Northern Europe, and the Asia Pacific/the Middle East.

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The company offers recruitment services, including permanent, temporary, and contract recruitment of professionals, as well as administrative, industrial, and information technology professional positions; assessment, upskilling, reskilling, training and development, career management, and workforce consulting services; and outsourcing services related to human resources functions primarily in the areas of large-scale recruiting and workforce-intensive initiatives.

It also offers contingent staffing and permanent recruitment services; information technology professional resourcing and project services; and recruitment process outsourcing solutions; and right management services, as well as TAPFIN, a managed service provider solution.

ManpowerGroup Inc. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Stock analysis

ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN) currently trades at $44.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.93, 37% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $54.56 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the $44.50 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $27.93, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $23.35 (bear) to $31.95 (bull), the price of $44.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

ManpowerGroup Inc reported revenue of $18.0B in FY2025 versus $20.7B in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$13.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.1B Mid · P/E ratio 17.6 · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) $2.53 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at −37%, MAN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $23.35 Fair Value $27.93 Bull $31.95
Price $44.50 · Downside -37.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.9347 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV $23.35 $27.93 $31.95 74
ROIC Compounder $23.35 $27.93 $31.95 72
EV/EBITDA $35.37 $58.06 $80.76 65
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $23.35 $27.93 $31.95 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $32.74 $54.56 $76.39 64
EV/EBITDA $35.37 $58.06 $80.76 65
EV/Revenue $14.00 $34.02 $54.05 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9100 $1.22 $1.83 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $23.35 $27.93 $31.95 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 41
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 42
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 45
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 44
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 75
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 74
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 84
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 25/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.7% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.1% (2019) → 1.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MAN screens overvalued: fair value 37% below the price. Compare with Randstad N.V →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: The business shows strength in regional revenue gains and cost cuts that restored operating profit, yet its main weakness remains persistently shrinking cash and limited differentiation in a commoditized market.
Main risk: Liquidity constraints from continued cash shrinkage could limit flexibility to protect margins during cyclical downturns in the staffing business.
ManpowerGroup posted revenue gains across most regions in recent quarters while disciplined cost cuts turned operating profit positive after a prior loss. Cash however has kept shrinking even with the transformation program aimed at permanent savings ahead. Will those efficiency steps protect margins in the next downturn or will liquidity constraints limit flexibility?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Staffing & Employment Services · 83 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −37.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 5.8% · Below median
Return on assets −0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 1.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 4.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.51× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Staffing & Employment Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 17.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.02× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.2× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.94× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 77
FUTURE (revenue growth)22 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)23 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)74 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)65 · sector 68

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Staffing & Employment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
FESCO Group 600861 ¥13.05 ¥39.00 +199% vs MAN
Shanghai Foreign Service Holding 600662 ¥4.34 ¥7.94 +83% vs MAN
TriNet Group TNET $66.63 $106.61 +60% vs MAN
Korn Ferry, KFY $75.38 $104.11 +38% vs MAN
Grupa Pracuj S.A GPP 52.30 PLN 65.88 PLN +26% vs MAN
Adecco Group ADEN CHF 22.68 CHF 25.75 +14% vs MAN
Randstad N.V RAND €41.24 €35.79 −13% vs MAN
Kforce Inc KFRC $54.15 $35.05 −35% vs MAN
Robert Half Inc RHI $41.84 $23.55 −44% vs MAN
Insperity, Inc NSP $49.82 $17.38 −65% vs MAN

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ManpowerGroup Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ManpowerGroup Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MAN

Frequently asked questions

Is ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.93 versus a price of $44.50, about 37% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MAN?
Our model-based fair value for ManpowerGroup Inc is $27.93 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $44.50.
What is the quality score of MAN?
ManpowerGroup Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $27.93 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $23.35, optimistic scenario $31.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ManpowerGroup Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $27.93, about 37% lower versus a price of $44.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $23.35, optimistic scenario $31.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
ManpowerGroup Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.9B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does ManpowerGroup Inc pay a dividend?
ManpowerGroup Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 3.24% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN) and when is the ex-dividend date?
ManpowerGroup Inc pays a dividend of $1.44 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 1, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 1994. The payout ratio is 56.9% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ManpowerGroup Inc it is $27.93 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $44.50. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is ManpowerGroup Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, MAN trades above its calculated fair value: price $44.50, fair value $27.93, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($44.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($27.93). For ManpowerGroup Inc the two are $16.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ManpowerGroup Inc worth?
The market values ManpowerGroup Inc at about $2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $44.50; our models calculate a fair value of $27.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MAN?
Our models span a range for ManpowerGroup Inc: cautious scenario $23.35, base $27.93, optimistic $31.95 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $44.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MAN?
ManpowerGroup Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.6 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $27.93 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2024), reported earnings: 14.2. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 5.2.
What is the PEG ratio of MAN?
The PEG ratio of ManpowerGroup Inc is 0.94 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for ManpowerGroup Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 5.8%, debt of 0.51 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MAN from its 52-week high?
ManpowerGroup Inc trades at $44.50, about 29% below its 52-week high of $62.95 and 77% above the low of $25.16 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $27.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ManpowerGroup Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Randstad N.V, Adecco Group, Korn Ferry,, Robert Half Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ManpowerGroup Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $44.50, calculated fair value $27.93 (−37%), Quality Score 53/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MAN calculated?
We run ManpowerGroup Inc through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $27.93 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. ManpowerGroup Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $44.50. Our model-based fair value is $27.93, about 37% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ManpowerGroup Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($31.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN) come from?
Earnings per share at ManpowerGroup Inc grew −9.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.3 %, EBIT margin −9.6 %, tax rate −2.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of ManpowerGroup Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
The market capitalisation of ManpowerGroup Inc is $2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ManpowerGroup Inc is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
Earnings per share at ManpowerGroup Inc are $2.53 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
The dividend yield of ManpowerGroup Inc is 3.2% (payout 56.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
The net margin of ManpowerGroup Inc is 0.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ManpowerGroup Inc is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ManpowerGroup Inc is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
The operating margin of ManpowerGroup Inc is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
Revenue at ManpowerGroup Inc is growing +4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN)?
Earnings per share at ManpowerGroup Inc are growing +86.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN) generate?
The free cash flow of ManpowerGroup Inc is −$161M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ManpowerGroup Inc (MAN) carry?
The net debt of ManpowerGroup Inc is $1.5B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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