NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA (NCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA stock PLN 43.87, price PLN 83.90, that is 47.7% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range 35.70 PLN – 156.00 PLN · fair‑value band 32.90 PLN – 54.83 PLN · the 83.90 PLN price screens above the 43.87 PLN fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.
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NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA develops, produces, and sells OLED emitter material chemical compounds. Its products are used in monitors, TVs, smartphones, wearables, or VR devices. The company is headquartered in Torun, Poland.
Stock analysis
NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA (NCL) currently trades at 83.90 PLN, while our estimate is 43.87 PLN, 48% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.
Scenario range: 32.90 PLN (bear) to 54.83 PLN (bull), the price of 83.90 PLN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA reported revenue of 2.3M PLN in FY2025 versus 5.4K PLN in FY2021, a compound +356.9%/yr. Reported net income was −4.0M PLN in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −48%, NCL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value
Bear32.90 PLNFair Value 43.87 PLNBull54.83 PLN
Price 83.90 PLN · Downside -47.7%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality36/100
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Profitability13
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow22
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility65
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum27
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+66.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+128.3%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−43,474.0% (2021) → −163.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 693 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−47.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−39.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−172.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/B4.61× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 71
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA (NCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is 43.87 PLN versus a price of 83.90 PLN, about 48% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NCL?
Our estimate for NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA is 43.87 PLN (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 83.90 PLN.
What is the quality score of NCL?
NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA (NCL)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of 43.87 PLN (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario 32.90 PLN, optimistic scenario 54.83 PLN. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at 43.87 PLN, about 48% lower versus a price of 83.90 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 32.90 PLN, optimistic scenario 54.83 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA (NCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA it is 43.87 PLN per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of 83.90 PLN.
Is NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, NCL trades above its calculated fair value: price 83.90 PLN, fair value 43.87 PLN, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (83.90 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (43.87 PLN). For NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA the two are 40.03 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA worth?
The market values NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA at about 165M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is 83.90 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 43.87 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NCL?
Our models span a range for NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA: cautious scenario 32.90 PLN, base 43.87 PLN, optimistic 54.83 PLN per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price 83.90 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is NCL from its 52-week high?
NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA trades at 83.90 PLN, about 22% below its 52-week high of 107.00 PLN and 1% above the low of 82.90 PLN (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 43.87 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price 83.90 PLN, calculated fair value 43.87 PLN (−48%), Quality Score 36/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA (NCL)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was 83.90 PLN. Our estimate is 43.87 PLN, about 48% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (54.83 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA
How large is the market capitalisation of NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA (NCL)?
The market capitalisation of NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA is 165M PLN (≈ $42.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA (NCL)?
Earnings per share at NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA are −2.25 PLN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA (NCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA is −85.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA (NCL) generate?
The free cash flow of NOCTILUCA SPÓLKA AKCYJNA is −6.5M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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Thin data
Nov 10, 2026
