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Data-driven stock valuation

Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Polycab India Limited stock ₹1,402, price ₹7,849, that is 82.1% below the price, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials IN · ISIN INE455K01017

PI Polycab India Limited logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Polycab India Limited

POLYCAB · NSE
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 82% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +53%, profit +43%.
Quality 53/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +26.9 %/yr in INR)
Thin margins · 9.1% net margin (TTM)
0.6% dividend yield · Token dividend
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Wide moat 66/100 · thin data
Fair value ₹1,402 · Strongly overvalued (−82.1%)
Negative free cash flow
Thin data
Extreme value

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩New entrant Ultravolt could pressure wire margins🚩Copper and aluminium price volatility could squeeze margins
Watch Polycab India Limited for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹10,083 ₹1,743 Fair Value ₹1,402 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1,743 – ₹10,083 · fair‑value band ₹1,001 – ₹2,567 · the ₹7,849 price screens above the ₹1,402 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Polycab India Limited manufactures and sells wires and cables under the POLYCAB brand in India and internationally.

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The company operates through three segments: Wires and Cables; Fast Moving Electrical Goods (FMEG); and Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC). The Wires and Cables segment provides wires, such as PolycabSuprema house wires, PolycabMaxima+ Green wire, PolycabPrimma house wires, ETIRA house wires, PolycabOptima+, GREENWIRE 180m, and POLYCAB LF FR 180m; and cables, such as control, rubber, defense, special, fire protection, marine offshore/onshore, domestic appliance and lighting, aerial bunched, industrial, high temperature, LV power, MV power, EHV power, communication and data, and instrumentation.

The Fast Moving Electrical Goods segment offers ceiling, table, pedestal, wall, exhaust, farrata, and air circulated fans; LED lighting and luminaires, such as LED Bulb, downlight, panel light, led batten, outdoor lights, and rope and strip lights; water heaters; switches and accessories; switchgears consisting of isolators, MCB, RCCB, RCBO, distribution board, ACCL, and MCB changeover switches; solar products, including solar panel and invertors; and pumps, conduits, and domestic appliances.

The EPC segment designs, engineers, and supplies materials; and engages in the survey, execution, and commissioning of turn-key power distribution, transmission, and rural electrification projects. The company provides coolers and iron appliances.

It operates a distribution network through authorized dealers and distributors, and retail outlets. The company was founded in 1964 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Stock analysis

Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB) currently trades at ₹7,849, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,402, 82% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹5,153 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹7,849 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹410.95, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹1,001 (bear) to ₹2,567 (bull), the price of ₹7,849 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Polycab India Limited reported revenue of ₹289B in FY2026 versus ₹122B in FY2022, a compound +24.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹26.7B in FY2026, compounding +31.0%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹1.2T (≈ $12.5B) Large · P/E ratio 38.6 · P/S ratio 3.43 · EPS (TTM) ₹203.21 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 9.1% · Return on equity 26.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 28.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 66 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −82%, POLYCAB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹1,001 Fair Value ₹1,402 Bull ₹2,567
Price ₹7,849 · Downside -82.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹94.15 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV ₹1,504 ₹1,702 ₹1,867 74
Owner Earnings ₹252.22 ₹463.48 ₹856.36 73
Residual Income ₹1,001 ₹1,402 ₹2,567 72
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹252.22 ₹463.48 ₹856.36 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹1,206 ₹8,412 ₹11,805 63
Lynch FV ₹2,704 ₹3,863 ₹5,022 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹2,704 ₹3,863 ₹5,022 57
EPV ₹1,504 ₹1,702 ₹1,867 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹283.30 ₹511.88 ₹706.31 68
DDM Multi-Stage ₹283.30 ₹466.92 ₹546.66 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹2,794 ₹3,725 ₹4,656 63
P/S Multiple ₹2,262 ₹3,016 ₹3,769 58
P/B Multiple ₹2,690 ₹3,586 ₹4,483 55
EV/EBIT ₹2,824 ₹3,845 ₹4,866 66
EV/EBITDA ₹2,353 ₹3,217 ₹4,081 67
EV/Revenue ₹1,947 ₹2,884 ₹3,821 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹271.22 ₹410.95 ₹513.68 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹1,001 ₹1,402 ₹2,567 72
ROIC Compounder ₹1,811 ₹2,476 ₹3,345 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹3,607 ₹5,153 ₹6,698 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 71
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 77
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 28
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 75
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 31
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 36
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.7% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.24.6% vs 29.7%, slowing
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

POLYCAB screens overvalued: fair value 82% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

Note from the team Oct 25, 2026
AI conclusion: Decent return on equity points to operational efficiency as Polycab's main strength, while negative free cash flow despite positive operating cash flow stands out as its chief weakness amid limited evidence of durable advantages.
Main risk: Aditya Birla Group's Ultravolt, backed by substantial investment and aggressive distributor incentives, could intensify competition in the house wires segment and force players like Polycab to offer higher incentives or lower prices, squeezing margins.
Polycab posted strong Q2 results with revenue and profit growth well above expectations, driven by wires and cables plus rapid FMEG expansion. A minor commercial dispute of just a few crore triggered an insolvency admission that NCLAT has stayed, with the company underscoring its zero-debt position and substantial net cash. Our models see the shares as overvalued. Will sustained execution overcome the overhang from the legal matter and the upcoming F&O exit, or will caution prevail?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 560 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −82.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 26.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 9.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 13.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 52.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 38.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 9.87× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 3.43× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 24.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)12 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750 ¥264.06 ¥648.35 +146% vs POLYCAB
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥85.14 ¥182.32 +114% vs POLYCAB
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥23.53 ¥29.39 +25% vs POLYCAB
Vertiv Holdings VRT $176.73 $178.64 +1% vs POLYCAB
Legrand SA LR €127.55 €82.57 −35% vs POLYCAB
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €100.20 €64.29 −36% vs POLYCAB
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 67.50 CHF 29.49 −56% vs POLYCAB
Samsung SDI Co 006400 509,000 KRW 153,766 KRW −70% vs POLYCAB
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 187.00 THB 39.14 THB −79% vs POLYCAB
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 346,000 KRW 53,325 KRW −85% vs POLYCAB

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Polycab India Limited: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Polycab India Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/POLYCAB

Frequently asked questions

Is Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,402 versus a price of ₹7,849, about 82% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of POLYCAB?
Our model-based fair value for Polycab India Limited is ₹1,402 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹7,849.
What is the quality score of POLYCAB?
Polycab India Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1,402 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1,001, optimistic scenario ₹2,567. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Polycab India Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1,402, about 82% lower versus a price of ₹7,849 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹1,001, optimistic scenario ₹2,567. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
Polycab India Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹346B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Polycab India Limited pay a dividend?
Polycab India Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 0.60% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Polycab India Limited it is ₹1,402 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ₹7,849. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Polycab India Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, POLYCAB trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹7,849, fair value ₹1,402, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of POLYCAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹7,849); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹1,402). For Polycab India Limited the two are ₹6,447 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Polycab India Limited worth?
The market values Polycab India Limited at about ₹1.2T (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ₹7,849; our models calculate a fair value of ₹1,402 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about POLYCAB?
Our models span a range for Polycab India Limited: cautious scenario ₹1,001, base ₹1,402, optimistic ₹2,567 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ₹7,849). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of POLYCAB?
Polycab India Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.6 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹1,402 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2020 to 2026), reported earnings, FY2026 ex one-offs: 38.5. Other multiples: P/B 9.9, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 24.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Polycab India Limited (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 26.8%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is POLYCAB from its 52-week high?
Polycab India Limited trades at ₹7,849, about 22% below its 52-week high of ₹10,083 and 17% above the low of ₹6,690 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹1,402 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Polycab India Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Polycab India Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ₹7,849, calculated fair value ₹1,402 (−82%), Quality Score 53/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of POLYCAB calculated?
We run Polycab India Limited through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹1,402, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Polycab India Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ₹7,849. Our model-based fair value is ₹1,402, about 82% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Polycab India Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2,567). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹1,001 to ₹2,567) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB) come from?
Earnings per share at Polycab India Limited grew +29.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +17.3 %, EBIT margin −0.1 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +9.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Polycab India Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
The market capitalisation of Polycab India Limited is ₹1.2T (≈ $12.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Polycab India Limited is 3.43 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
Earnings per share at Polycab India Limited are ₹203.21 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
The dividend yield of Polycab India Limited is 0.6% (payout 23.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
The net margin of Polycab India Limited is 9.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Polycab India Limited is 26.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Polycab India Limited is 28.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
The operating margin of Polycab India Limited is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
Revenue at Polycab India Limited is growing +52.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB)?
Earnings per share at Polycab India Limited are growing +42.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB) generate?
The free cash flow of Polycab India Limited is −₹8.0B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB) carry?
The net debt of Polycab India Limited is ₹36.2B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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