Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹1.4T
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from ₹3,589 to ₹5,357 (+49.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹6,796). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹3,340 to ₹6,796) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1,305 – ₹10,083 · fair‑value band ₹3,340 – ₹6,796 · the ₹9,315 price screens above the ₹5,357 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB) currently trades at ₹9,315, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹5,357, implying the stock looks roughly 42.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Polycab India Limited generated revenue of ₹289B at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue grew 26.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.6%. Net debt stands at ₹36.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹3,340 (bear case) to ₹6,796 (bull case); at ₹9,315, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -43%, POLYCAB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹5,053) versus Asset-Based (₹534.32). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Polycab India Limited manufactures and sells wires and cables under the POLYCAB brand in India and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Wires and Cables; Fast Moving Electrical Goods (FMEG); and Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC).
Full company description
Polycab India Limited manufactures and sells wires and cables under the POLYCAB brand in India and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Wires and Cables; Fast Moving Electrical Goods (FMEG); and Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC). The Wires and Cables segment provides wires, such as PolycabSuprema house wires, PolycabMaxima+ Green wire, PolycabPrimma house wires, ETIRA house wires, PolycabOptima+, GREENWIRE 180m, and POLYCAB LF FR 180m; and cables, such as control, rubber, defense, special, fire protection, marine offshore/onshore, domestic appliance and lighting, aerial bunched, industrial, high temperature, LV power, MV power, EHV power, communication and data, and instrumentation. The Fast Moving Electrical Goods segment offers ceiling, table, pedestal, wall, exhaust, farrata, and air circulated fans; LED lighting and luminaires, such as LED Bulb, downlight, panel light, led batten, outdoor lights, and rope and strip lights; water heaters; switches and accessories; switchgears consisting of isolators, MCB, RCCB, RCBO, distribution board, ACCL, and MCB changeover switches; solar products, including solar panel and invertors; and pumps, conduits, and domestic appliances. The EPC segment designs, engineers, and supplies materials; and engages in the survey, execution, and commissioning of turn-key power distribution, transmission, and rural electrification projects. The company provides coolers and iron appliances. It operates a distribution network through authorized dealers and distributors, and retail outlets. The company was founded in 1964 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Polycab India Limited reported revenue of ₹289B in FY2026 versus ₹122B in FY2022, a compound +24.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹26.7B in FY2026, compounding +31.0%/yr from FY2022.
POLYCAB screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →
Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 519 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$675.50 | HK$391.44 | -42% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 83.82 | CHF 35.46 | -58% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 12.39 SGD | 1.48 SGD | -88% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 334,000 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -40% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 13,210 ARS | 7,948 ARS | -40% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥114.79 | ¥123.83 | +8% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥63.43 | ¥33.04 | -48% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 823,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -55% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 190,000 KRW | 31,517 KRW | -83% |
| Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 | ¥151.73 | ¥71.69 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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