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Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Prospect Resources Ltd stock A$0.04, price A$0.24, that is 81.9% below the price, quality 26 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000PSC9

PR Prospect Resources Ltd logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Prospect Resources Ltd

PSC · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 82% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter 9% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0425 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 26/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −11.5 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/7)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$1.01 A$0.0670 Fair Value A$0.0425 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0670 – A$1.01 · fair‑value band A$0.0255 – A$0.0510 · the A$0.2350 price screens above the A$0.0425 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Prospect Resources Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral resources in Africa. The company primarily explores for copper and lithium deposits.

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Its flagship property is the 85% owned Mumbezhi Copper Project covering an area of approximately 356 square kilometers located in the central African copperbelt region of north-western Zambia. The company was formerly known as Ethan Minerals Limited.

Prospect Resources Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC) currently trades at A$0.2350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0425, 82% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0255 (bear) to A$0.0510 (bull), the price of A$0.2350 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Prospect Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$200K in FY2025 versus A$417K in FY2021, a compound −16.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$7.9M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$197M (≈ $136M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −14.6% (5-year average) · Revenue growth (YoY) −9.1% · Free cash flow −A$12.9M · Net cash A$36.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −82%, PSC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0255 Fair Value A$0.0425 Bull A$0.0510
Price A$0.2350 · Downside -81.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 45
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 39
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−75.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−64.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +35.4% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,175.9% (2020) → −3,899.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

PSC screens overvalued: fair value 82% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −9.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −9.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.38× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs PSC
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.25 SAR 64.96 SAR +12% vs PSC
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs PSC
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs PSC
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs PSC
BHP Group BHP A$59.20 A$47.85 −19% vs PSC
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs PSC
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs PSC
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs PSC
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs PSC

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Prospect Resources Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Prospect Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PSC

Frequently asked questions

Is Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0425 versus a price of A$0.2350, about 82% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PSC?
Our model-based fair value for Prospect Resources Ltd is A$0.0425 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2350.
What is the quality score of PSC?
Prospect Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0425 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0510. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Prospect Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0425, about 82% lower versus a price of A$0.2350 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0510. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Prospect Resources Ltd it is A$0.0425 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of A$0.2350. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Prospect Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, PSC trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.2350, fair value A$0.0425, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PSC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2350); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0425). For Prospect Resources Ltd the two are A$0.1925 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Prospect Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Prospect Resources Ltd at about A$197M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2350; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0425 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PSC?
Our models span a range for Prospect Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0255, base A$0.0425, optimistic A$0.0510 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price A$0.2350). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Prospect Resources Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −9.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PSC from its 52-week high?
Prospect Resources Ltd trades at A$0.2350, about 51% below its 52-week high of A$0.4750 and 38% above the low of A$0.1700 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0425 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Prospect Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Prospect Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price A$0.2350, calculated fair value A$0.0425 (−82%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PSC calculated?
We run Prospect Resources Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0425 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Prospect Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.2350. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0425, about 82% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Prospect Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0510). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0255 to A$0.0510) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Prospect Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC)?
The market capitalisation of Prospect Resources Ltd is A$197M (≈ $136M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC)?
Earnings per share at Prospect Resources Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Prospect Resources Ltd is −9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Prospect Resources Ltd is −14.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC)?
Revenue at Prospect Resources Ltd is growing −9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −64.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC) generate?
The free cash flow of Prospect Resources Ltd is −A$12.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Prospect Resources Ltd (PSC) hold?
Prospect Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$36.6M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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